{"id":802705,"date":"2026-05-24T09:34:52","date_gmt":"2026-05-24T07:34:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/?p=802705"},"modified":"2026-05-24T10:04:48","modified_gmt":"2026-05-24T08:04:48","slug":"izraeli-druhet-se-marreveshja-shba-iran-mund-te-ndale-luften-pa-eliminuar-kercenimin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/2026\/05\/24\/izraeli-druhet-se-marreveshja-shba-iran-mund-te-ndale-luften-pa-eliminuar-kercenimin\/","title":{"rendered":"Izraeli druhet se marr\u00ebveshja SHBA-Iran mund t\u00eb ndal\u00eb luft\u00ebn pa eliminuar k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimin","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00ebrshimi i raportimeve dhe rrjedhjeve t\u00eb informacionit dit\u00ebt e fundit rreth negociatave SHBA-Iran ka qen\u00eb i mbushur me kontradikta, dezinformim, interesa politike dhe shum\u00eb pak fakte konkrete. Mbi t\u00eb gjitha, kjo pasqyron sa shum\u00eb pal\u00eb po nd\u00ebrhyjn\u00eb n\u00eb proces.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00ebr konsumatorin e zakonsh\u00ebm t\u00eb lajmeve, rezultati \u00ebsht\u00eb konfuzion dhe nj\u00eb ndjenj\u00eb e vazhdueshme pasigurie shqet\u00ebsuese. Nj\u00eb moment duket sikur Shtetet e Bashkuara dhe Izraeli jan\u00eb n\u00eb prag t\u00eb sulmeve t\u00eb reja ndaj Iranit. N\u00eb tjetrin, rruga diplomatike duket se po l\u00ebviz drejt mir\u00ebkuptimeve midis administrat\u00ebs Trump dhe Teheranit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sipas raportimeve n\u00eb SHBA dhe n\u00eb rajon, Uashingtoni dhe Teherani po l\u00ebvizin drejt nj\u00eb mir\u00ebkuptimi fillestar p\u00ebrmes nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsimit pakistanez dhe katariot. Kjo ende nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje gjith\u00ebp\u00ebrfshir\u00ebse q\u00eb do t\u2019i jepte fund p\u00ebrplasjes n\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha dimensionet e saj. B\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb dokument parimesh, nj\u00eb memorandum mir\u00ebkuptimi, q\u00eb synon t\u00eb sh\u00ebrbej\u00eb si baz\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb raund m\u00eb t\u00eb detajuar negociatash q\u00eb pritet t\u00eb zgjas\u00eb 30 deri n\u00eb 60 dit\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dhe pik\u00ebrisht kjo e shqet\u00ebson Izraelin.<\/span><\/p>\n

Shqet\u00ebsimi n\u00eb Jerusalem \u00ebsht\u00eb se nj\u00eb mir\u00ebkuptim i p\u00ebrkohsh\u00ebm mund ta ndal\u00eb luft\u00ebn pa \u00e7montuar infrastruktur\u00ebn b\u00ebrthamore t\u00eb Iranit, pa kufizuar programet e tij t\u00eb raketave balistike dhe dron\u00ebve, dhe pa frenuar aktivitetin e p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsuesve t\u00eb tij rajonal\u00eb, sidomos Hezbollahut n\u00eb Liban dhe Houthive n\u00eb Jemen.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb burim i njohur me \u00e7\u00ebshtjet iraniane e p\u00ebrshkroi frik\u00ebn izraelite n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb: sapo SHBA t\u00eb hyj\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb proces t\u00eb zgjatur negociatash me Iranin, Teherani fiton koh\u00eb, ndikim dhe hap\u00ebsir\u00eb p\u00ebr manovrim.<\/span><\/p>\n

Shqet\u00ebsimi izraelit nuk lidhet vet\u00ebm me at\u00eb q\u00eb zyrtar\u00ebt n\u00eb Jerusalem e p\u00ebrkufizojn\u00eb si nj\u00eb \u201cmarr\u00ebveshje t\u00eb keqe\u201d, dometh\u00ebn\u00eb nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje q\u00eb i lejon Iranit t\u00eb ruaj\u00eb kapacitete q\u00eb mund t\u2019i rind\u00ebrtoj\u00eb me kalimin e koh\u00ebs. Ai lidhet gjithashtu me horizontin politik n\u00eb Uashington. Zyrtar\u00ebt izraelit\u00eb kan\u00eb frik\u00eb se n\u00ebse \u00e7\u00ebshtja shtyhet p\u00ebr m\u00eb von\u00eb, nj\u00eb administrat\u00eb e ardhshme amerikane, ose nj\u00eb klim\u00eb politike m\u00eb pak pro-Izrael n\u00eb Kongres dhe mes votuesve amerikan\u00eb, mund ta l\u00ebr\u00eb Izraelin me shum\u00eb m\u00eb pak liri veprimi.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb at\u00eb skenar, Izraeli mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me presion t\u00eb madh diplomatik, kufizime p\u00ebr arm\u00eb dhe pjes\u00eb k\u00ebmbimi, si dhe me nj\u00eb paralajm\u00ebrim t\u00eb qart\u00eb amerikan q\u00eb t\u00eb mos veproj\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb pavarur kund\u00ebr nj\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimi t\u00eb ringjallur iranian.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00ebr momentin, gatishm\u00ebria e Iranit p\u00ebr t\u00eb ecur drejt nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjeje duket se buron para s\u00eb gjithash nga d\u00ebshira p\u00ebr ta ndalur luft\u00ebn. Teherani nuk k\u00ebrkon vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb arm\u00ebpushim t\u00eb p\u00ebrkohsh\u00ebm. Ai k\u00ebrkon nj\u00eb angazhim amerikan p\u00ebr t\u2019i dh\u00ebn\u00eb fund plot\u00ebsisht luft\u00ebs, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb edhe frontet e lidhura me t\u00eb, kryesisht Libanin.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span>Edhe qarqet m\u00eb t\u00eb ashpra n\u00eb Teheran duket se e kuptojn\u00eb se kombinimi i presionit ekonomik amerikan dhe nj\u00eb vale tjet\u00ebr sulmesh amerikano-izraelite, sidomos kund\u00ebr infrastruktur\u00ebs strategjike energjetike komb\u00ebtare, mund ta d\u00ebmtoj\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00eb aft\u00ebsin\u00eb e Iranit p\u00ebr t\u2019u rim\u00ebk\u00ebmbur ekonomikisht nga lufta dhe nga kriza e thell\u00eb q\u00eb po p\u00ebrjeton regjimi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb skenar i till\u00eb mund t\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnoj\u00eb stabilitetin e regjimit. Pik\u00ebrisht p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye Teherani po tregon fleksibilitet mbi struktur\u00ebn e nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjeje t\u00eb p\u00ebrkohshme, nd\u00ebrsa p\u00ebrpiqet t\u00eb ruaj\u00eb asetet e tij m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme strategjike.<\/span><\/p>\n

Edhe Uashingtoni ka interes p\u00ebr ta ndalur p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimin. Presidenti Donald Trump dhe ekipi i tij po p\u00ebrballen me presion ekonomik dhe politik p\u00ebr ta p\u00ebrfunduar luft\u00ebn, ose t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn p\u00ebr t\u00eb parandaluar zgjerimin e saj. Nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje e p\u00ebrkohshme do t\u2019i lejonte Sht\u00ebpis\u00eb s\u00eb Bardh\u00eb t\u00eb pretendonte sukses diplomatik, nd\u00ebrsa pyetjet m\u00eb shp\u00ebrthyese do t\u00eb shtyheshin p\u00ebr m\u00eb von\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Problemi, nga k\u00ebndv\u00ebshtrimi i Izraelit, \u00ebsht\u00eb se shtyrja ka qen\u00eb shpesh karta m\u00eb e fort\u00eb e Iranit.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

K\u00ebrkesat e Iranit<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Irani po vendos disa k\u00ebrkesa qendrore n\u00eb tryez\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

E para \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb angazhim amerikan p\u00ebr t\u2019i dh\u00ebn\u00eb fund luft\u00ebs, jo vet\u00ebm brenda Iranit, por edhe n\u00eb frontet e lidhura me boshtin iranian. N\u00eb praktik\u00eb, kjo mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshij\u00eb Libanin, ku Hezbollahu vazhdon t\u00eb p\u00ebrb\u00ebj\u00eb nj\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb p\u00ebr Izraelin pavar\u00ebsisht marr\u00ebveshjeve formale dhe p\u00ebrpjekjeve t\u00eb p\u00ebrs\u00ebritura diplomatike p\u00ebr stabilizimin e kufirit.<\/span><\/p>\n

K\u00ebrkesa e dyt\u00eb lidhet me Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit. Teherani k\u00ebrkon njohjen e nj\u00eb roli t\u00eb ve\u00e7ant\u00eb iranian n\u00eb menaxhimin e trafikut n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rrug\u00eb strategjike ujore. N\u00eb disa formulime, kjo p\u00ebrfshin ndikim mbi rrug\u00ebt detare dhe mund\u00ebsin\u00eb e mbledhjes s\u00eb pagesave nga anijet n\u00eb k\u00ebmbim t\u00eb asaj q\u00eb Irani e p\u00ebrshkruan si sh\u00ebrbime sigurie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uashingtoni e refuzon iden\u00eb e kontrollit iranian ose t\u00eb tarifave n\u00eb nj\u00eb rrug\u00eb ujore nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare. Edhe shtetet e Gjirit kund\u00ebrshtojn\u00eb \u00e7do marr\u00ebveshje q\u00eb do t\u2019i lejonte Teheranit ta kthente ngushtic\u00ebn n\u00eb nj\u00eb mjet t\u00eb p\u00ebrhersh\u00ebm presioni mbi tregjet globale t\u00eb energjis\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Megjithat\u00eb, diplomat\u00ebt mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqen t\u00eb gjejn\u00eb nj\u00eb formul\u00eb t\u00eb paqart\u00eb q\u00eb Irani mund ta pranoj\u00eb pa marr\u00eb gjith\u00e7ka q\u00eb k\u00ebrkon. Dhe pik\u00ebrisht kjo paqart\u00ebsi i shqet\u00ebson Izraelin dhe shtetet e Gjirit: edhe n\u00ebse Irani nuk merr kontroll formal mbi Hormuzin, ai mund t\u00eb ruaj\u00eb aft\u00ebsin\u00eb praktike p\u00ebr ta k\u00ebrc\u00ebnuar, penguar ose bllokuar ngushtic\u00ebn sa her\u00eb q\u00eb t\u00eb d\u00ebshiroj\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

K\u00ebrkesa e tret\u00eb iraniane \u00ebsht\u00eb qasja n\u00eb fondet e ngrira dhe leht\u00ebsimi i sanksioneve. Teherani k\u00ebrkon lirimin e aseteve t\u00eb ngrira dhe hap\u00ebsir\u00eb financiare pas muajsh lufte, presioni ekonomik dhe d\u00ebmtimesh infrastrukturore. Sipas raportimeve, Irani mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb i gatsh\u00ebm n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb faz\u00eb t\u00eb pranoj\u00eb nj\u00eb lirimin t\u00eb pjessh\u00ebm t\u00eb fondeve, me kusht q\u00eb kjo t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb shpejt.<\/span><\/p>\n

Irani po k\u00ebrkon gjithashtu kompensim p\u00ebr d\u00ebmet e luft\u00ebs. Nj\u00eb mund\u00ebsi e diskutuar n\u00eb kanalet diplomatike \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb \u00e7do marr\u00ebveshje financiare t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshij\u00eb Katarin ose nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebs t\u00eb tjer\u00eb, dhe jo pages\u00eb direkte amerikane p\u00ebr Teheranin.<\/span><\/p>\n

K\u00ebrkesat amerikane<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Pozicioni amerikan mbetet i p\u00ebrqendruar te \u00e7\u00ebshtja b\u00ebrthamore. Uashingtoni k\u00ebrkon q\u00eb Irani t\u00eb angazhohet qart\u00eb se nuk do t\u00eb zot\u00ebroj\u00eb arm\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore. N\u00eb pamje t\u00eb par\u00eb, kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr Teheranin. Irani prej koh\u00ebsh pretendon se programi i tij b\u00ebrthamor \u00ebsht\u00eb paq\u00ebsor, edhe pse nivelet e pasurimit, p\u00ebrpjekjet p\u00ebr fshehje dhe infrastruktura ushtarake kan\u00eb treguar nj\u00eb drejtim shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb rreziksh\u00ebm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mosmarr\u00ebveshja e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb deklarat\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrgjithshme. Ajo lidhet me detajet.<\/span><\/p>\n

Uashingtoni k\u00ebrkon q\u00eb memorandumi, ose t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn procesi pasues, t\u00eb trajtoj\u00eb stokun iranian t\u00eb uraniumit t\u00eb pasuruar n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb larta. K\u00ebrkesa amerikane \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb materiali t\u00eb hiqet nga territori iranian, t\u00eb hollohet ose t\u00eb vendoset n\u00eb nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb ta b\u00ebj\u00eb t\u00eb paarritsh\u00ebm menj\u00ebher\u00eb p\u00ebr Teheranin.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sipas raportimeve, Irani mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb i gatsh\u00ebm t\u00eb diskutoj\u00eb hollimin e uraniumit t\u00eb pasuruar n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb larta, por kund\u00ebrshton \u00e7do k\u00ebrkes\u00eb q\u00eb i gjith\u00eb materiali t\u00eb largohet nga vendi. Teherani d\u00ebshiron q\u00eb t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e materialit t\u00eb mbetet n\u00eb Iran, edhe n\u00ebse n\u00ebn nj\u00eb form\u00eb monitorimi ose kufizimi.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00ebr Izraelin, kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb praktikisht nj\u00eb vij\u00eb e kuqe. \u00c7do marr\u00ebveshje q\u00eb l\u00eb uranium t\u00eb pasuruar n\u00eb territorin iranian, qoft\u00eb edhe p\u00ebrkoh\u00ebsisht, shihet n\u00eb Jerusalem si ruajtje e thelbit t\u00eb aft\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb Iranit p\u00ebr t\u00eb prodhuar arm\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ende nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e qart\u00eb n\u00ebse Uashingtoni do t\u00eb pranoj\u00eb ndonj\u00eb formul\u00eb q\u00eb i lejon Iranit t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb pasurimin n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb ul\u00ebta, ndoshta n\u00eb nivelin e lejuar nga marr\u00ebveshjet e m\u00ebparshme b\u00ebrthamore dhe n\u00eb sasi t\u00eb kufizuara. Nga k\u00ebndv\u00ebshtrimi izraelit, edhe pasurimi n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb ul\u00ebta n\u00eb territorin iranian mbetet problematik, sepse infrastruktura, ekspertiza dhe legjitimiteti i programit do t\u00eb mbeteshin t\u00eb paprekura.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb arsyeja pse m\u00ebnyra si po strukturohet memorandumi n\u00eb zhvillim e shqet\u00ebson kaq shum\u00eb Izraelin. N\u00ebse lufta p\u00ebrfundon e para dhe \u00e7\u00ebshtja e uraniumit shtyhet p\u00ebr nj\u00eb raund t\u00eb m\u00ebvonsh\u00ebm, Irani ruan kart\u00ebn e tij m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme t\u00eb negociimit nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb fiton leht\u00ebsim nga presioni ushtarak.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Raketat dhe dron\u00ebt jasht\u00eb kuadrit<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr shqet\u00ebsim i madh p\u00ebr Izraelin \u00ebsht\u00eb ajo q\u00eb nuk duket t\u00eb jet\u00eb pjes\u00eb qendrore e kuadrit aktual: programet iraniane t\u00eb raketave balistike dhe dron\u00ebve.<\/span><\/p>\n

Memorandumi n\u00eb zhvillim, sipas p\u00ebrshkrimeve n\u00eb raportimet e huaja, p\u00ebrqendrohet n\u00eb ndalimin e luft\u00ebs, zgjidhjen e kriz\u00ebs s\u00eb Hormuzit dhe hapjen e nj\u00eb dritareje p\u00ebr negociata m\u00eb t\u00eb gjera. Por perceptimi izraelit i k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimit nuk kufizohet vet\u00ebm te pasurimi i uraniumit. Arsenali iranian i raketave dhe dron\u00ebve \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim strategjik i drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb p\u00ebr Izraelin, shtetet e Gjirit dhe forcat amerikane n\u00eb rajon.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zyrtar\u00ebt amerikan\u00eb mund t\u00eb argumentojn\u00eb se k\u00ebto \u00e7\u00ebshtje mund t\u00eb trajtohen m\u00eb von\u00eb. Zyrtar\u00ebt izraelit\u00eb kan\u00eb frik\u00eb nga e kund\u00ebrta: sapo t\u00eb n\u00ebnshkruhet kuadri q\u00eb i jep fund luft\u00ebs, \u00e7\u00ebshtjet e raketave dhe dron\u00ebve mund t\u00eb shtyhen, t\u00eb zbuten n\u00eb bisedime teknike ose t\u00eb sakrifikohen n\u00eb em\u00ebr t\u00eb ruajtjes s\u00eb procesit diplomatik m\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00ebr Jerusalemin, ky do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb rezultat i rreziksh\u00ebm. Projekti b\u00ebrthamor i Iranit, programi i raketave, kapacitetet e dron\u00ebve dhe rrjeti i p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsuesve rajonal\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb probleme t\u00eb ndara. Ato jan\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtit sistem strategjik.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje q\u00eb trajton vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb, ose q\u00eb shtyn pjes\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira, mund ta l\u00ebr\u00eb Izraelin p\u00ebrball\u00eb nj\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimi iranian t\u00eb rikthyer dhe m\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb brenda pak vitesh.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsit dhe strategjia e Teheranit<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00ebrpjekja p\u00ebr nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsim \u00ebsht\u00eb udh\u00ebhequr praktikisht nga shefi i ushtris\u00eb pakistaneze, Field Marshal Asim Munir. Gjat\u00eb vizit\u00ebs s\u00eb tij n\u00eb Teheran, ai u takua me zyrtar\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb iranian\u00eb, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb ministrin e Jasht\u00ebm Abbas Araghchi, presidentin Masoud Pezeshkian dhe kryetarin e parlamentit Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf.<\/span><\/p>\n

K\u00ebto takime jan\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme, por vler\u00ebsimet izraelite mbeten t\u00eb kujdesshme. Zyrtar\u00ebt q\u00eb takojn\u00eb nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsuesit e huaj nuk jan\u00eb domosdoshm\u00ebrisht vendimmarr\u00ebsit e vet\u00ebm n\u00eb Teheran. Garda Revolucionare, qarqet politike ultrakonservatore dhe figurat pran\u00eb udh\u00ebheqjes supreme t\u00eb Iranit vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb ken\u00eb ndikim vendimtar mbi \u00e7\u00ebshtjet e siguris\u00eb dhe strategjis\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vler\u00ebsimi n\u00eb Izrael \u00ebsht\u00eb se Teherani po lejon figurat e tij m\u00eb diplomatike t\u00eb menaxhojn\u00eb pist\u00ebn publike dhe nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, nd\u00ebrsa qendrat m\u00eb t\u00eb ashpra t\u00eb pushtetit mbeten prapa sken\u00ebs. Kjo i lejon Iranit t\u00eb paraqes\u00eb nj\u00eb fytyr\u00eb pragmatike p\u00ebr nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsuesit, nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb shmang l\u00ebshime t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejta p\u00ebr \u00e7\u00ebshtjet q\u00eb kan\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nga k\u00ebndv\u00ebshtrimi i Teheranit, detyra nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb. N\u00eb Shtetet e Bashkuara, mb\u00ebshtetja p\u00ebr vazhdimin e luft\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb e kufizuar dhe z\u00ebrat n\u00eb Kongres po paralajm\u00ebrojn\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb kund\u00ebr nj\u00eb vale tjet\u00ebr p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi. Vet\u00eb Trump ka luhatur mes k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimeve p\u00ebr sulme t\u00eb reja dhe deklaratave publike se preferon nj\u00eb zgjidhje diplomatike.<\/span><\/p>\n

Irani e kupton k\u00ebt\u00eb or\u00eb politike. E di q\u00eb Uashingtoni k\u00ebrkon nj\u00eb rrug\u00ebdalje. Dhe e di gjithashtu se sapo t\u00eb fillojn\u00eb negociatat, sistemi nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar ka tendenc\u00eb t\u00eb shp\u00ebrblej\u00eb procesin, durimin dhe vonesat.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\u00c7far\u00eb ndodh n\u00ebse bisedimet d\u00ebshtojn\u00eb<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00ebse negociatat d\u00ebshtojn\u00eb dhe luftimet rifillojn\u00eb, raundi i ardhsh\u00ebm mund t\u00eb duket ndryshe nga i mparshmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Deri tani, SHBA ka shmangur n\u00eb mas\u00eb t\u00eb madhe sulmet e m\u00ebdha ndaj infrastruktur\u00ebs energjetike iraniane, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb prodhimin e naft\u00ebs dhe gazit, transportin, rafinerit\u00eb dhe objektet e p\u00ebrpunimit. Uashingtoni ka pasur frik\u00eb se nj\u00eb goditje e r\u00ebnd\u00eb ndaj ekonomis\u00eb iraniane mund t\u00eb prodhoj\u00eb pasoja t\u00eb paparashikueshme, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb zem\u00ebrim publik q\u00eb mund t\u00eb drejtohet jo vet\u00ebm kund\u00ebr regjimit, por edhe kund\u00ebr Per\u00ebndimit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izraeli ka qen\u00eb m\u00eb i gatsh\u00ebm t\u00eb konsideroj\u00eb sulme ndaj infrastruktur\u00ebs strategjike, duke besuar se presioni i thell\u00eb mbi themelet ekonomike t\u00eb regjimit mund t\u00eb ndihmoj\u00eb n\u00eb arritjen e objektivave m\u00eb t\u00eb gjera t\u00eb luft\u00ebs. Por \u00e7do veprim i till\u00eb do t\u00eb k\u00ebrkonte koordinim t\u00eb kujdessh\u00ebm me Uashingtonin dhe mund t\u00eb sillte rreziqe rajonale, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb hakmarrje ndaj shteteve t\u00eb Gjirit, objekteve energjetike dhe bazave amerikane.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00ebse Trump vendos t\u00eb rifilloj\u00eb aksionin ushtarak, pritet q\u00eb objektivat t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshijn\u00eb infrastruktur\u00ebn energjetike, objektet e raketave, qendrat e prodhimit t\u00eb dron\u00ebve, uzinat e \u00e7elikut dhe industrit\u00eb petrokimike t\u00eb lidhura me prodhimin e arm\u00ebve.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, n\u00eb Uashington ka debat mbi vler\u00ebn ushtarake t\u00eb nj\u00eb fushate tjet\u00ebr sulmesh. Disa raportime amerikane kan\u00eb sugjeruar se Irani ka rikthyer nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb konsiderueshme t\u00eb kapaciteteve t\u00eb tij t\u00eb raketave dhe dron\u00ebve dhe se p\u00ebrs\u00ebritja e sulmeve t\u00eb m\u00ebparshme mund t\u00eb mos prodhoj\u00eb rezultat vendimtar.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vler\u00ebsimet izraelite jan\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb nuancuara. Zyrtar\u00ebt e njohur me t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat b\u00ebjn\u00eb dallim mes sistemeve iraniane me rreze t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr, q\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnojn\u00eb shtetet e Gjirit dhe bazat amerikane, dhe raketave me rreze t\u00eb gjat\u00eb dhe dron\u00ebve sulmues q\u00eb mund t\u00eb arrijn\u00eb Izraelin.<\/span><\/p>\n

Irani ende zot\u00ebron num\u00ebr t\u00eb madh arm\u00ebsh me rreze t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr. Por kur b\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr arsenalin q\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnon drejtp\u00ebrdrejt Izraelin, nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e konsiderueshme raportohet se \u00ebsht\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruar, p\u00ebrdorur ose ka mbetur e bllokuar n\u00ebn tok\u00eb. Objektet e prodhimit, infrastruktura e l\u00ebshimit dhe rrjetet komanduese gjithashtu jan\u00eb d\u00ebmtuar, s\u00eb bashku me personelin e lidhur me k\u00ebto sisteme.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kjo nuk do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se Irani ka humbur aft\u00ebsin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb sulmuar Izraelin. Ai ende mund ta b\u00ebj\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb. Por vler\u00ebsimi \u00ebsht\u00eb se aft\u00ebsia e tij p\u00ebr t\u00eb l\u00ebshuar sulme me rit\u00ebm q\u00eb do t\u00eb mbingarkonte sistemet mbrojt\u00ebse raketore t\u00eb Izraelit \u00ebsht\u00eb reduktuar.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dilema e Izraelit<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb thelbi i dilem\u00ebs s\u00eb Izraelit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb fushat\u00eb e re sulmesh mund t\u00eb d\u00ebmtoj\u00eb m\u00eb tej infrastruktur\u00ebn ushtarake dhe strategjike t\u00eb Iranit, por gjithashtu mund t\u00eb shkaktoj\u00eb hakmarrje, t\u00eb trondit\u00eb tregjet energjetike dhe t\u00eb rris\u00eb presionin diplomatik mbi Uashingtonin p\u00ebr t\u00eb frenuar Izraelin.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, nj\u00eb memorandum diplomatik mund ta ngrij\u00eb luft\u00ebn duke i l\u00ebn\u00eb Iranit mjaftuesh\u00ebm kapacitete b\u00ebrthamore, raketore dhe rajonale p\u00ebr t\u2019u rikuperuar me kalimin e koh\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nga k\u00ebndv\u00ebshtrimi i Izraelit, rreziku nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb se ekziston diplomacia. Rreziku \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb diplomaci q\u00eb ndal luftimet pa e zgjidhur k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimin.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb arsyeja pse Jerusalemi po e ndjek memorandumin n\u00eb zhvillim me shqet\u00ebsim t\u00eb thell\u00eb. Zyrtar\u00ebt izraelit\u00eb kan\u00eb frik\u00eb se ai nuk do t\u00eb garantoj\u00eb \u00e7montimin e projektit b\u00ebrthamor iranian, nuk do t\u00eb kufizoj\u00eb programet e raketave dhe dron\u00ebve dhe nuk do t\u00eb ndal\u00eb aktivitetin e p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsuesve rajonal\u00eb t\u00eb Iranit, sidomos Hezbollahut dhe Houthive.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00ebr Izraelin, rezultati i preferuar nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb domosdoshm\u00ebrisht nj\u00eb sulm i menj\u00ebhersh\u00ebm. \u00cbsht\u00eb vazhdimi i presionit ekonomik, ushtarak dhe diplomatik derisa t\u00eb arrihet nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje m\u00eb e ashp\u00ebr dhe m\u00eb e qart\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje e till\u00eb, nga k\u00ebndv\u00ebshtrimi izraelit, do t\u00eb duhej t\u00eb trajtonte n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb eksplicite kat\u00ebr \u00e7\u00ebshtje: uraniumin e pasuruar n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb larta, pasurimin n\u00eb territorin iranian, raketat balistike dhe dron\u00ebt, si dhe p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsuesit rajonal\u00eb t\u00eb Iranit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Memorandumi n\u00eb zhvillim, sipas m\u00ebnyr\u00ebs si \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrshkruar deri tani, nuk duket se i trajton ende k\u00ebto \u00e7\u00ebshtje.<\/span><\/p>\n

VINI RE<\/strong><\/span>: Ky material \u00ebsht\u00eb pron\u00ebsi intelektuale e Ynet<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V\u00ebrshimi i raportimeve dhe rrjedhjeve t\u00eb informacionit dit\u00ebt e fundit rreth negociatave SHBA-Iran ka qen\u00eb i mbushur me kontradikta, dezinformim, interesa politike dhe shum\u00eb pak fakte konkrete. Mbi t\u00eb gjitha, kjo pasqyron sa shum\u00eb pal\u00eb po nd\u00ebrhyjn\u00eb n\u00eb proces. P\u00ebr konsumatorin e zakonsh\u00ebm t\u00eb lajmeve, rezultati \u00ebsht\u00eb konfuzion dhe nj\u00eb ndjenj\u00eb e vazhdueshme pasigurie shqet\u00ebsuese. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":51,"featured_media":802706,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-802705","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fast-foodi"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/802705","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/51"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=802705"}],"version-history":[{"count":99999,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/802705\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":802715,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/802705\/revisions\/802715"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/802706"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=802705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=802705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=802705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}