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Inteligjenca e Shtetet e Bashkuara t\u00eb Amerik\u00ebs tregon se udh\u00ebheqja e Iranit mbetet kryesisht e paprekur dhe nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb rrezik t\u00eb rr\u00ebzohet n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen e af\u00ebrt, edhe pas gati dy jav\u00ebsh bombardimesh t\u00eb pand\u00ebrprera nga SHBA dhe Izraeli, sipas tre burimeve t\u00eb njohura me \u00e7\u00ebshtjen.<\/span><\/p>\n Nj\u00eb \u201cnum\u00ebr i madh\u201d raportesh t\u00eb inteligjenc\u00ebs japin nj\u00eb \u201canaliz\u00eb t\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshme se regjimi nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb rrezik\u201d t\u00eb shembjes dhe se \u201cruan kontrollin mbi popullin iranian\u201d, tha nj\u00eb nga burimet, t\u00eb cil\u00ebve u \u00ebsht\u00eb garantuar anonimiteti p\u00ebr t\u00eb diskutuar gjetjet e inteligjenc\u00ebs amerikane.<\/span><\/p>\n Raporti m\u00eb i fundit \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrfunduar vet\u00ebm n\u00eb dit\u00ebt e fundit, tha burimi.<\/span><\/p>\n Nd\u00ebrsa presioni politik po rritet p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb rritjes s\u00eb fort\u00eb t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb naft\u00ebs, presidenti i SHBA-s\u00eb Donald Trump ka sugjeruar se operacioni m\u00eb i madh ushtarak amerikan q\u00eb nga viti 2003 mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb \u201cs\u00eb shpejti\u201d. Megjithat\u00eb, gjetja e nj\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimi t\u00eb pranuesh\u00ebm p\u00ebr luft\u00ebn mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb n\u00ebse udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsit radikal\u00eb t\u00eb Iranit mbeten t\u00eb fort\u00eb n\u00eb pushtet.<\/span><\/p>\n Raportet e inteligjenc\u00ebs theksojn\u00eb gjithashtu kohezionin e udh\u00ebheqjes klerikale t\u00eb Iranit, pavar\u00ebsisht vrasjes s\u00eb udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsit suprem, ajatollahut Ali Khamenei, m\u00eb 28 shkurt, dit\u00ebn e par\u00eb t\u00eb sulmeve t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb dhe Izraelit.<\/span><\/p>\n Zyrtar\u00eb izraelit\u00eb, n\u00eb diskutime t\u00eb mbyllura, kan\u00eb pranuar gjithashtu se nuk ka garanci q\u00eb lufta do t\u00eb \u00e7oj\u00eb n\u00eb rr\u00ebzimin e qeveris\u00eb klerikale, tha nj\u00eb zyrtar i lart\u00eb izraelit p\u00ebr Reuters.<\/span><\/p>\n Burimet theksuan se situata n\u00eb terren \u00ebsht\u00eb e paq\u00ebndrueshme dhe se dinamika brenda Iranit mund t\u00eb ndryshoj\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Zyra e Drejtorit t\u00eb Inteligjenc\u00ebs Komb\u00ebtare t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb dhe Agjencia Qendrore e Inteligjenc\u00ebs refuzuan t\u00eb komentojn\u00eb. Edhe Sht\u00ebpia e Bardh\u00eb nuk iu p\u00ebrgjigj menj\u00ebher\u00eb k\u00ebrkesave p\u00ebr koment.<\/span><\/p>\n Objektiva q\u00eb ndryshojn\u00eb<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Q\u00eb nga fillimi i luft\u00ebs, SHBA dhe Izraeli kan\u00eb goditur nj\u00eb s\u00ebr\u00eb objektivash n\u00eb Iran, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb sistemet e mbrojtjes ajrore, objektet b\u00ebrthamore dhe an\u00ebtar\u00eb t\u00eb udh\u00ebheqjes s\u00eb lart\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Administrata e Trump ka dh\u00ebn\u00eb arsye t\u00eb ndryshme p\u00ebr luft\u00ebn. Kur njoftoi fillimin e operacionit ushtarak amerikan, Trump u b\u00ebri thirrje iranian\u00ebve t\u00eb \u201cmarrin n\u00eb dor\u00eb qeverin\u00eb e tyre\u201d, por ndihm\u00ebs t\u00eb lart\u00eb m\u00eb von\u00eb mohuan se q\u00ebllimi ishte rr\u00ebzimi i udh\u00ebheqjes s\u00eb Iranit.<\/span><\/p>\n P\u00ebrve\u00e7 Khameneit, sulmet kan\u00eb vrar\u00eb dhjet\u00ebra zyrtar\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb dhe disa nga komandant\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm t\u00eb Trupat e Gard\u00ebs Revolucionare Islamike, nj\u00eb forc\u00eb paramilitare elitare q\u00eb kontrollon pjes\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb s\u00eb vendit.<\/span><\/p>\n Megjithat\u00eb, raportet e inteligjenc\u00ebs amerikane tregojn\u00eb se Garda Revolucionare dhe udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsit e p\u00ebrkohsh\u00ebm q\u00eb mor\u00ebn pushtetin pas vdekjes s\u00eb Khameneit vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb mbajn\u00eb kontrollin e vendit.<\/span><\/p>\n Asambleja e Ekspert\u00ebve, nj\u00eb grup klerik\u00ebsh t\u00eb lart\u00eb shiit\u00eb, n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj jave shpalli djalin e Khameneit, Mojtaba Khamenei, si udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsin e ri suprem.<\/span><\/p>\n Izraeli nuk ka nd\u00ebrmend t\u00eb lejoj\u00eb q\u00eb ndonj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e qeveris\u00eb s\u00eb m\u00ebparshme t\u00eb mbetet n\u00eb k\u00ebmb\u00eb, tha nj\u00eb burim i kat\u00ebrt i njohur me \u00e7\u00ebshtjen.<\/span><\/p>\n Megjithat\u00eb mbetet e paqart\u00eb se si fushata aktuale ushtarake amerikano-izraelite mund ta rr\u00ebzoj\u00eb qeverin\u00eb iraniane. Sipas nj\u00eb burimi, kjo ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebrkonte nj\u00eb ofensiv\u00eb tok\u00ebsore q\u00eb do t\u2019u lejonte njer\u00ebzve brenda Iranit t\u00eb protestonin n\u00eb rrug\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb sigurt.<\/span><\/p>\n Administrata e Trump nuk e ka p\u00ebrjashtuar mund\u00ebsin\u00eb e d\u00ebrgimit t\u00eb trupave amerikane n\u00eb Iran.<\/span><\/p>\n Inteligjenca sugjeron se kurd\u00ebt nuk kan\u00eb fuqi t\u00eb mjaftueshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb luftuar Iranin<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Reuters raportoi jav\u00ebn e kaluar se milicit\u00eb kurde iraniane t\u00eb bazuara n\u00eb Irak jan\u00eb konsultuar me SHBA-n\u00eb p\u00ebr m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn dhe mund\u00ebsin\u00eb e sulmit ndaj forcave t\u00eb siguris\u00eb iraniane n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn per\u00ebndimore t\u00eb vendit.<\/span><\/p>\n Nj\u00eb nd\u00ebrhyrje e till\u00eb mund t\u00eb ushtronte presion mbi sh\u00ebrbimet e siguris\u00eb iraniane dhe potencialisht t\u2019u krijonte mund\u00ebsi iranian\u00ebve t\u00eb ngriheshin kund\u00ebr qeveris\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Abdullah Mohtadi, kreu i Partia Komala e Kurdistanit Iranian \u2013 pjes\u00eb e nj\u00eb koalicioni me gjasht\u00eb parti kurde iraniane \u2013 tha n\u00eb nj\u00eb intervist\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebrkur\u00ebn se organizatat e tyre jan\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb organizuara brenda Iranit dhe se \u201cdhjet\u00ebra mij\u00ebra t\u00eb rinj jan\u00eb gati t\u00eb marrin arm\u00ebt\u201d kund\u00ebr qeveris\u00eb n\u00ebse marrin mb\u00ebshtetje nga SHBA.<\/span><\/p>\n Mohtadi tha gjithashtu se kishte marr\u00eb raportime nga Kurdistani iranian sipas t\u00eb cilave nj\u00ebsi t\u00eb Gard\u00ebs Revolucionare dhe forca t\u00eb tjera sigurie kan\u00eb braktisur disa baza nga frika e sulmeve amerikane dhe izraelite.<\/span><\/p>\n \u201cPo shohim shenja konkrete dob\u00ebsie n\u00eb zonat kurde,\u201d tha ai.<\/span><\/p>\n Megjithat\u00eb, raportet e fundit t\u00eb inteligjenc\u00ebs amerikane kan\u00eb ngritur dyshime mbi aft\u00ebsin\u00eb e grupeve kurde iraniane p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrballuar forcat e siguris\u00eb iraniane, sipas dy burimeve t\u00eb njohura me k\u00ebto vler\u00ebsime.<\/span><\/p>\n Sipas inteligjenc\u00ebs, k\u00ebto grupe nuk kan\u00eb as numrin dhe as fuqin\u00eb e zjarrit t\u00eb nevojshme p\u00ebr nj\u00eb konflikt t\u00eb till\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Qeveria Rajonale e Kurdistanit, q\u00eb qeveris rajonin autonom t\u00eb Kurdistanit n\u00eb Irak ku bazohen k\u00ebto grupe, nuk iu p\u00ebrgjigj menj\u00ebher\u00eb k\u00ebrkesave p\u00ebr koment.<\/span><\/p>\n Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, grupet kurde iraniane u kan\u00eb k\u00ebrkuar dit\u00ebt e fundit zyrtar\u00ebve t\u00eb lart\u00eb n\u00eb Uashington dhe ligjv\u00ebn\u00ebsve amerikan\u00eb q\u00eb SHBA t\u2019u furnizoj\u00eb arm\u00eb dhe mjete t\u00eb blinduara, tha nj\u00eb person tjet\u00ebr i njohur me \u00e7\u00ebshtjen.<\/span><\/p>\n