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Nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb gjeopolitike mbi fundin e globalizimit dhe lindjen e perandoris\u00eb ekonomike amerikane<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n Nga Enri \u00c7eno<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Nj\u00eb moment q\u00eb ndau historin\u00eb n\u00eb dy epoka<\/span><\/p>\n 26 tetori 2025 do t\u00eb kujtohet si nj\u00eb dat\u00eb q\u00eb ndryshoi kursin e shekullit XXI \u2014 dita kur Shtetet e Bashkuara nuk ishin m\u00eb pjes\u00eb e sistemit nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar, por u b\u00ebn\u00eb vet\u00eb sistemi.<\/span><\/p>\n P\u00ebr m\u00eb shum\u00eb se tridhjet\u00eb vjet, bota kishte jetuar n\u00ebn nj\u00eb rend global t\u00eb bazuar mbi globalizimin ekonomik, ku fuqit\u00eb ishin t\u00eb nd\u00ebrvarura, tregjet t\u00eb hapura, dhe zinxhir\u00ebt e furnizimit shtriheshin p\u00ebrtej kufijve politik\u00eb. Kjo nd\u00ebrvar\u00ebsi u pa si garanci e paqes. Por ajo krijoi edhe var\u00ebsi t\u00eb rrezikshme, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht ndaj Kin\u00ebs, e cila u b\u00eb fabrika e bot\u00ebs \u2014 dhe m\u00eb shum\u00eb se kaq: burimi i saj strategjik.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb vitin 2025, kjo arkitektur\u00eb filloi t\u00eb shembet. Por jo p\u00ebrmes kolapsit spontan \u2014 ajo u rr\u00ebzua q\u00ebllimisht. Dhe dirigjenti i k\u00ebsaj shembjeje ishte Amerika.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n Dominimi i heshtur i Kin\u00ebs: epoka e tokave t\u00eb rralla<\/span><\/p>\n Nga fundi i viteve 1990, Pekini nd\u00ebrtoi n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb sistematike kontrollin mbi sektorin m\u00eb strategjik t\u00eb epok\u00ebs digjitale: materialet e rralla tok\u00ebsore. K\u00ebto jan\u00eb 17 element\u00eb kimik\u00eb q\u00eb, megjith\u00ebse t\u00eb panjohur p\u00ebr publikun, jan\u00eb themeli i \u00e7do teknologjie moderne \u2014 motor\u00eb elektrik\u00eb, panele diellore, turbina ere, raketa, smartphone, satelit\u00eb dhe server\u00eb AI.<\/span><\/p>\n Kina arriti t\u00eb kontrolloj\u00eb mbi 80% t\u00eb p\u00ebrpunimit global t\u00eb k\u00ebtyre elementeve. Dhe p\u00ebrmes nj\u00eb strategjie t\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshme industriale, ajo jo vet\u00ebm q\u00eb i prodhoi m\u00eb lir\u00eb, por shkat\u00ebrroi konkurrenc\u00ebn n\u00eb SHBA, Australi dhe Evrop\u00eb, duke e kthyer veten n\u00eb qendr\u00ebn e vetme t\u00eb furnizimit global.<\/span><\/p>\n Ky avantazh u b\u00eb arma e saj m\u00eb e fuqishme. N\u00eb \u00e7do p\u00ebrplasje tregtare apo diplomatike, Kina e dinte se mund t\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnonte me mbylljen e furnizimeve t\u00eb neodymium-it \u2014 nj\u00eb element pa t\u00eb cilin asnj\u00eb Tesla nuk l\u00ebviz, asnj\u00eb F-35 nuk ngrihet, asnj\u00eb qend\u00ebr t\u00eb dh\u00ebnash nuk funksionon.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb thelb, Kina kontrollonte \u201cneuronet\u201d e teknologjis\u00eb globale.<\/span><\/p>\n Deri n\u00eb momentin kur SHBA vendosi t\u00eb shkuror\u00ebzohej nga kjo var\u00ebsi.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n Ekonomia si arm\u00eb: doktrina e re e Uashingtonit<\/span><\/p>\n Donald Trump, i rikthyer n\u00eb politik\u00eb pas nj\u00eb dekade t\u00eb trazuar, rifilloi at\u00eb q\u00eb shum\u00eb e quanin \u201cluft\u00eb tregtare\u201d, por q\u00eb n\u00eb retrospektiv\u00eb do t\u00eb njihet si strategjia m\u00eb e rafinuar e luft\u00ebs ekonomike q\u00eb ka ekzistuar ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb tetor 2025, ai paralajm\u00ebroi tarifa 100% mbi 300 miliard\u00eb dollar\u00eb mallra kineze, nj\u00eb hap q\u00eb do t\u00eb kishte shkat\u00ebrruar \u00e7do ekonomi tjet\u00ebr, por q\u00eb p\u00ebr SHBA ishte nj\u00eb shantazh i llogaritur.<\/span><\/p>\n Mesazhi ishte i qart\u00eb: ose Pekini pranon ristrukturimin e zinxhir\u00ebve t\u00eb furnizimit, ose humb qasjen n\u00eb tregun m\u00eb t\u00eb pasur t\u00eb bot\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n Kina reagoi menj\u00ebher\u00eb duke k\u00ebrc\u00ebnuar me ndalimin e eksporteve t\u00eb mineraleve t\u00eb rralla. Por p\u00ebr her\u00eb t\u00eb par\u00eb, SHBA ishte p\u00ebrgatitur p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb skenar. Dhe kund\u00ebrgoditja erdhi n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb spektakolare.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n Tre dit\u00ebt q\u00eb ndryshuan bot\u00ebn: \u201c72-Hour Checkmate\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n Nga 24 deri m\u00eb 26 tetor 2025, SHBA orkestroi nj\u00eb seri marr\u00ebveshjesh q\u00eb n\u00eb dukje ishin teknike, por n\u00eb thelb ishin p\u00ebrmbysje e nj\u00eb rendi global.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb vet\u00ebm tre dit\u00eb, Amerika shk\u00ebputi sistemin e saj teknologjik nga dominimi kinez dhe e lidhi me nj\u00eb zinxhir furnizimi t\u00eb ri t\u00eb udh\u00ebhequr nga aleat\u00ebt aziatik\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Pekini \u201cb\u00ebri nj\u00eb hap prapa\u201d \u2013 jo nga d\u00ebshira, por nga mungesa e opsioneve.<\/span><\/p>\n Nga globalizimi n\u00eb \u201cimperializ\u00ebm ekonomik\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb vitet \u201990 dhe 2000, SHBA predikonte globalizimin si m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn p\u00ebr ta p\u00ebrhapur tregun e lir\u00eb dhe demokracin\u00eb. Por globalizimi u kthye kund\u00ebr vet\u00eb krijuesit t\u00eb tij: prodhimi u zhvendos n\u00eb Azi, zinxhir\u00ebt u p\u00ebrqendruan n\u00eb Kin\u00eb, dhe var\u00ebsia amerikane u thellua.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb 2025, ky kapitull u mbyll.<\/span><\/p>\n SHBA nuk po e shkat\u00ebrron globalizimin \u2014 po e rikolonizon at\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb vend q\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqet t\u00eb konkurroj\u00eb n\u00eb terren t\u00eb barabart\u00eb, Uashingtoni ka zgjedhur t\u00eb kontrolloj\u00eb hyrjen n\u00eb vet\u00eb tregun global, duke e b\u00ebr\u00eb at\u00eb mjet presioni politik dhe ekonomik.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb praktik\u00eb, kjo n\u00ebnkupton:<\/span><\/p>\n Ky \u00ebsht\u00eb modeli i ri i perandoris\u00eb ekonomike: jo p\u00ebrmes pushtimit ushtarak, por p\u00ebrmes var\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb strukturuar dhe kontrollit t\u00eb tregjeve.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n Shifrat q\u00eb flasin p\u00ebr fundin e epok\u00ebs s\u00eb vjet\u00ebr<\/span><\/p>\n Midis 2018 dhe 2024, tregtia dypal\u00ebshe SHBA\u2013Kin\u00eb ra nga 758 miliard\u00eb n\u00eb 578 miliard\u00eb dollar\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Por parat\u00eb nuk u zhduk\u00ebn. Ato u rishp\u00ebrndan\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Pjesa m\u00eb e madhe e k\u00ebtij fluksi \u2013 rreth 180 miliard\u00eb dollar\u00eb \u2013 u zhvendos drejt vendeve t\u00eb ASEAN-it, t\u00eb cilat pranuan rolin e \u201cpartner\u00ebve tributues\u201d n\u00eb rendin e ri amerikan.<\/span><\/p>\n K\u00ebto shtete, si Malajzia, Tajlanda, Vietnami dhe Indonezia, pan\u00eb rritje 20% n\u00eb tregtin\u00eb me SHBA, duke e b\u00ebr\u00eb rajonin epiqendr\u00ebn e furnizimit global pas-Kin\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n P\u00ebr her\u00eb t\u00eb par\u00eb n\u00eb 30 vjet, pjesa e Kin\u00ebs n\u00eb tregun global t\u00eb elementeve t\u00eb rralla ra, dhe kjo r\u00ebnie ishte simbolike: fundi i monopolit strategjik t\u00eb Pekinit.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n Strategjia amerikane: nga \u201cFree Trade\u201d n\u00eb \u201cControlled Trade\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n Shtetet e Bashkuara po aplikojn\u00eb nj\u00eb strategji q\u00eb n\u00eb thelb \u00ebsht\u00eb invers i globalizimit klasik.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb vend q\u00eb t\u00eb ndjekin konkurrenc\u00ebn e lir\u00eb, ato po organizojn\u00eb tregtin\u00eb globale si nj\u00eb sistem t\u00eb kontrolluar hierarkikisht, me qend\u00ebr n\u00eb Uashington dhe deg\u00eb n\u00eb Azi, Evrop\u00eb dhe Amerik\u00ebn Latine.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb sistem:<\/span><\/p>\n Ky \u00ebsht\u00eb kapitalizmi imperial \u2014 nj\u00eb rend ku ekonomia \u00ebsht\u00eb instrument i politik\u00ebs s\u00eb jashtme.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n \u201cTributi modern\u201d dhe rikthimi i var\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb kontrolluar<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb thelb, ky nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb sistem tregtar, por nj\u00eb mekaniz\u00ebm tributues.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb Rom\u00ebn e lasht\u00eb, provincat i d\u00ebrgonin ar dhe burime Perandoris\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebmbim t\u00eb mbrojtjes dhe tregut.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb 2025, modeli \u00ebsht\u00eb i nj\u00ebjt\u00eb \u2014 vet\u00ebm se tributi paguhet n\u00eb zinxhir\u00eb furnizimi, licenca teknologjike dhe qasje tregtare.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rend t\u00eb ri:<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n Diplomacia e frik\u00ebs: 63% kundrejt 4%<\/span><\/p>\n Nga viti 2018 deri m\u00eb 2025, SHBA ka aplikuar nj\u00eb model tarifash q\u00eb ndan bot\u00ebn n\u00eb miq dhe rival\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n 63% e mallrave kineze jan\u00eb goditur me tarifa maksimale, nd\u00ebrsa vet\u00ebm 4% e mallrave nga vendet aleate jan\u00eb prekur.<\/span><\/p>\n \u00c7do kriz\u00eb tregtare \u00ebsht\u00eb shfryt\u00ebzuar si mjet presioni p\u00ebr riorientim strategjik:<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb \u00e7do k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim, tregjet rr\u00ebzoheshin, Pekini reagonte, nd\u00ebrsa Uashingtoni jepte p\u00ebrjashtime p\u00ebr aleat\u00ebt.<\/span><\/p>\n Rezultati: zinxhir\u00ebt global\u00eb e shmangnin Kin\u00ebn, jo nga frika e Pekinit, por nga rreziku i sanksioneve amerikane.<\/span><\/p>\n \u00c7do \u201ckaos\u201d i duksh\u00ebm ishte nj\u00eb l\u00ebvizje e menduar p\u00ebr t\u00eb zhvendosur kapitalin.<\/span><\/p>\n Takimi q\u00eb do t\u00eb fiksoj\u00eb epok\u00ebn: Xi\u2013Trump n\u00eb APEC<\/span><\/p>\n Takimi i 1 n\u00ebntorit n\u00eb APEC do t\u00eb jet\u00eb simbolik, por thelb\u00ebsor.<\/span><\/p>\n Kina do t\u00eb k\u00ebrkoj\u00eb t\u00eb shp\u00ebtoj\u00eb fytyr\u00ebn e saj, duke pranuar pjes\u00ebrisht marr\u00ebveshjen p\u00ebr \u201cstabilizim tregtar\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb realitet, kjo do t\u00eb jet\u00eb kapitullimi i par\u00eb diplomatik i Pekinit ndaj Uashingtonit q\u00eb nga viti 1972.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb k\u00ebm\u00ebbim t\u00eb leht\u00ebsimit t\u00eb tarifave, Kina do t\u00eb pranoj\u00eb:<\/span><\/p>\n Por n\u00ebn sip\u00ebrfaqe, Amerika do t\u00eb ket\u00eb fituar kontrollin mbi t\u00eb ardhmen teknologjike t\u00eb njer\u00ebzimit.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n Epoka pas-globaliste: monopoli i vlerave dhe i burimeve<\/span><\/p>\n Epoka q\u00eb po lind nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb multipolare. \u00cbsht\u00eb monocentrike, e p\u00ebrqendruar rreth nj\u00eb perandorie q\u00eb nuk p\u00ebrdor flamur\u00eb apo koloni, por standarde, tregje dhe teknologji.<\/span><\/p>\n \u2192 tregun amerikan, ose<\/span><\/p>\n \u2192 zinxhir\u00ebt kinez\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Jo t\u00eb dyja. Asnj\u00ebher\u00eb m\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n Perandoria q\u00eb fitoi pa luft\u00eb<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb histori, vet\u00ebm disa fuqi kan\u00eb arritur t\u00eb ndryshojn\u00eb rendin bot\u00ebror pa e djegur me luft\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Roma e b\u00ebri me rrug\u00ebt dhe legjionet.<\/span><\/p>\n Britania me flot\u00ebn dhe tregtin\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Amerika e vitit 2025 e b\u00ebri me ekonomi, inteligjenc\u00eb artificiale dhe zinxhir\u00eb furnizimi.<\/span><\/p>\n M\u00eb 26 tetor 2025, SHBA nuk shpalli perandori \u2014 ajo e krijoi n\u00eb heshtje.<\/span><\/p>\n Dhe nd\u00ebrsa bota ende flet p\u00ebr \u201cfundin e globalizimit\u201d, e v\u00ebrteta \u00ebsht\u00eb e thjesht\u00eb:<\/span><\/p>\n Globalizimi nuk vdiq. Ai u pushtua.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb gjeopolitike mbi fundin e globalizimit dhe lindjen e perandoris\u00eb ekonomike amerikane Nga Enri \u00c7eno Nj\u00eb moment q\u00eb ndau historin\u00eb n\u00eb dy epoka 26 tetori 2025 do t\u00eb kujtohet si nj\u00eb dat\u00eb q\u00eb ndryshoi kursin e shekullit XXI \u2014 dita kur Shtetet e Bashkuara nuk ishin m\u00eb pjes\u00eb e sistemit nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar, por u […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":32,"featured_media":768321,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-768320","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ballina","category-super-click"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/768320","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=768320"}],"version-history":[{"count":99999,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/768320\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":768323,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/768320\/revisions\/768323"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/768321"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=768320"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=768320"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=768320"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}\n
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