{"id":735677,"date":"2025-04-14T21:53:49","date_gmt":"2025-04-14T19:53:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/?p=735677"},"modified":"2025-04-14T21:53:54","modified_gmt":"2025-04-14T19:53:54","slug":"okb-parashikon-pergjysmim-te-lindjeve-ne-shqiperi-ne-2024-2054","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/2025\/04\/14\/okb-parashikon-pergjysmim-te-lindjeve-ne-shqiperi-ne-2024-2054\/","title":{"rendered":"OKB parashikon p\u00ebrgjysmim t\u00eb lindjeve n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri n\u00eb 2024-2054","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Gjat\u00eb dekad\u00ebs s\u00eb fundit, Shqip\u00ebria klasifikohet nd\u00ebr vendet me zhvillime drastike demografike n\u00eb rang global, duke kryesuar me normat e larta t\u00eb emigrimit, r\u00ebnie t\u00eb lindjeve, plakje t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb etj.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kombet e Bashkuara parashikojn\u00eb se n\u00eb 30 vitet e ardhshme numri i lindjeve n\u00eb vendin ton\u00eb do t\u00eb p\u00ebrgjysmohet n\u00eb projeksionet e fundit mbi ecurin\u00eb globale t\u00eb fertilitetit gjat\u00eb 2024-2054.<\/span><\/p>\n

OKB e klasifikoi Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb me dy vende t\u00eb tjera, Porto Riko dhe Xhamajka me r\u00ebnien m\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb t\u00eb lindjeve n\u00eb rang global deri n\u00eb 2054.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb brendshme nga INSTAT, vitin e kaluar lind\u00ebn rreth 22 mij\u00eb bebe, por n\u00eb vitet 2050 do t\u00eb lindin rreth 10-11 foshnja n\u00eb vit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Realiteti i viteve t\u00eb fundit ka treguar se treguesit demografik\u00eb t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb pat\u00ebn ecuri m\u00eb negative edhe se projeksionet me p\u00ebsimiste p\u00ebr ecurin\u00eb e popullsis\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Askush nuk kishte mundur t\u00eb parashikonte se lindjet n\u00eb vendin ton\u00eb do binin me rreth 40% vet\u00ebm n\u00eb dekad\u00ebn e fundit. N\u00eb vitin 2014 n\u00eb vendin ton\u00eb lind\u00ebn 35,700 foshnja, nd\u00ebrsa m\u00eb 2024 vet\u00ebm pak m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 22 mij\u00eb ose 37% m\u00eb pak se n\u00eb 2014.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kombet e Bashkuara analizuan se lindjet n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri do t\u00eb p\u00ebsojn\u00eb r\u00ebnie t\u00eb fort\u00eb n\u00eb vitet n\u00eb vijim p\u00ebr dy arsye madhore: E para normat e ul\u00ebta t\u00eb fertilitetit n\u00eb grat\u00eb ne mosh\u00ebn e lindjeje dhe nga e dyta emigracioni n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb larta i moshave t\u00eb reja.<\/span><\/p>\n

Normat totale t\u00eb lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb kan\u00eb r\u00ebn\u00eb vazhdimisht gjat\u00eb gjysm\u00ebs s\u00eb shekullit t\u00eb fundit, nga nj\u00eb mesatare totale e lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb prej 4.8 lindje p\u00ebr grua n\u00eb 1970 n\u00eb 2.2 n\u00eb 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n

Grat\u00eb sot lindin mesatarisht nj\u00eb f\u00ebmij\u00eb m\u00eb pak se n\u00eb vitet 1990, kur shkalla globale ishte ishte 3.3 f\u00ebmij\u00eb p\u00ebr grua. R\u00ebnia parashikohet t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb deri n\u00eb fund t\u00eb shekullit, duke arritur n\u00eb 1.8 lindje p\u00ebr grua deri n\u00eb vitin 2100 .<\/span><\/p>\n

OKB v\u00eb n\u00eb dukje se projeksioni i normave t\u00eb lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb deri m\u00eb tani n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen \u00ebsht\u00eb subjekt i pasigurive t\u00eb m\u00ebdha. Me 2024 shkalla totale e fertilitetit n\u00eb rang global ishte 2.2 lindje p\u00ebr grua, shum\u00eb m\u00eb e ul\u00ebt se vlera e parashikuar p\u00ebr t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtin vit mbi nj\u00eb dekad\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb n\u00eb 2013, me 2.4 f\u00ebmij\u00eb p\u00ebr grua.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb brendshme nga INSTAT indeksi sintetik i fertilitetit ra n\u00eb 1,21 f\u00ebmij\u00eb p\u00ebr grua m\u00eb 2022 nga 1,34 f\u00ebmij\u00eb q\u00eb ishte ky tregues m\u00eb 2020 dhe 1,36 q\u00eb ishte n\u00eb vitin 2019.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb vitin 2001, sipas INSTAT, ky tregues ishte 2.1, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb vitet 1970 ishte mbi 5.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb qarqet e Vlor\u00ebs dhe Kor\u00e7\u00ebs shkalla e fertilitetit ishte m\u00eb pak se nj\u00eb f\u00ebmij\u00eb p\u00ebr grua n\u00eb mosh\u00eb riprodhimi. Normat m\u00eb t\u00eb larta t\u00eb Lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb jan\u00eb qarqet e Kuk\u00ebsit, Dibr\u00ebs dhe Lezh\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n

E krahasuar m\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e Eurostat 2021, Shqip\u00ebria shihet t\u00eb ket\u00eb normat e m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta t\u00eb lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb Europ\u00eb duk\u00eb l\u00ebn\u00eb pas vet\u00ebm Spanj\u00ebn (1.19) dhe Malt\u00ebn (1.13).<\/span><\/p>\n

Indeksi i fertilitetit \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00ebn norm\u00ebn e z\u00ebvend\u00ebsimit prej 2,1 f\u00ebmij\u00eb p\u00ebr grua, q\u00eb do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se nj\u00eb \u00e7ift nuk arrin t\u00eb z\u00ebvend\u00ebsoj\u00eb veten.<\/span><\/p>\n

Shtyrja e mosh\u00ebs p\u00ebr martes\u00eb, synimet p\u00ebr karrier\u00eb dhe n\u00eb shum\u00eb raste pamund\u00ebsit\u00eb ekonomike po b\u00ebjn\u00eb q\u00eb grat\u00eb shqiptare t\u00eb lindin gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb pak f\u00ebmij\u00eb.\/ B.Hoxha<\/span><\/p>\n

VINI RE<\/strong><\/span>: Ky material \u00ebsht\u00eb pron\u00ebsi intelektuale e Monitor<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gjat\u00eb dekad\u00ebs s\u00eb fundit, Shqip\u00ebria klasifikohet nd\u00ebr vendet me zhvillime drastike demografike n\u00eb rang global, duke kryesuar me normat e larta t\u00eb emigrimit, r\u00ebnie t\u00eb lindjeve, plakje t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb etj. Kombet e Bashkuara parashikojn\u00eb se n\u00eb 30 vitet e ardhshme numri i lindjeve n\u00eb vendin ton\u00eb do t\u00eb p\u00ebrgjysmohet n\u00eb projeksionet e fundit mbi ecurin\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":51,"featured_media":735679,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[65],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-735677","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lajme"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/735677","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/51"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=735677"}],"version-history":[{"count":99999,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/735677\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":735681,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/735677\/revisions\/735681"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/735679"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=735677"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=735677"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=735677"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}