{"id":721580,"date":"2025-01-29T08:15:49","date_gmt":"2025-01-29T07:15:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/?p=721580"},"modified":"2025-01-29T08:15:49","modified_gmt":"2025-01-29T07:15:49","slug":"fmn-paralajmeron-se-rivleresimi-i-euros-kthehet-ne-rrezik-te-larte-per-ekonomine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/2025\/01\/29\/fmn-paralajmeron-se-rivleresimi-i-euros-kthehet-ne-rrezik-te-larte-per-ekonomine\/","title":{"rendered":"FMN paralajm\u00ebron se rivler\u00ebsimi i Euros kthehet n\u00eb rrezik t\u00eb lart\u00eb p\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

N\u00ebse kursi i k\u00ebmbimit kthehet n\u00eb vlerat e vitit 2022 at\u00ebher\u00eb kjo ngjarje do t\u00eb ket\u00eb me ndikim t\u00eb lart\u00eb dhe t\u00eb menj\u00ebhersh\u00ebm sidomos n\u00eb sektorin financiar, familjet dhe bizneset, v\u00ebren Fondi Monetar Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar (FMN) n\u00eb konsultimin e fundit t\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjes me Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Fondi v\u00ebren se rreziku p\u00ebr rivler\u00ebsimin e euros \u00ebsht\u00eb mesatar, por n\u00ebse ndodh, rreziku \u00ebsht\u00eb i lart\u00eb. N\u00eb raportin e fundit Fondi i kushtoi m\u00eb shum\u00eb v\u00ebmendje zhvillimeve t\u00eb kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit dhe r\u00ebnd\u00ebsin\u00eb q\u00eb ka mbajtja e regjimit fleksib\u00ebl.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb vitin 2022 euro u k\u00ebmbye mesatarisht mbi 120 lek\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb korrik t\u00eb k\u00ebtij viti euro u k\u00ebmbye p\u00ebr her\u00eb t\u00eb par\u00eb n\u00ebn 100 lek\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cN\u00ebse kursi i k\u00ebmbimit mund t\u00eb marr\u00eb nj\u00eb kthese t\u00eb papritur duke u rikthyer n\u00eb nivelin e vitit\u00a0 2022 do t\u00eb ndikonte negativisht sektorin financiar, bizneset dhe familjet, n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet rritjes s\u00eb kredive me probleme, duke pasur parasysh se nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e madhe e huave jan\u00eb n\u00eb valut\u00eb\u201d v\u00eb n\u00eb dukje FMN.<\/span><\/p>\n

Fondi analizoi se zhvler\u00ebsimi i euros u nxit nga prurjet n\u00eb rritje t\u00eb turizmit, emigrant\u00ebve dhe investimeve t\u00eb huaja, por kishte disa momente kur n\u00ebn\u00e7mimi i nxit nga faktor\u00eb jo themelore (spekulime).<\/span><\/p>\n

Kursi real efektiv i k\u00ebmbimit i Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb mbeti p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsisht i q\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm n\u00eb 10 muajt e par\u00eb t\u00eb 2024 pasi regjistroi nj\u00eb vler\u00ebsim prej 11 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb 2023. Vler\u00ebsimi kumulativ n\u00eb dekad\u00ebn e kaluar \u00ebsht\u00eb rreth 35 pike p\u00ebr qind.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrsa Shqip\u00ebria mbetet konkurruese si destinacion turistik, presionet p\u00ebr ta pozicionuar Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb si konkurrente n\u00eb afatgjat\u00eb do t\u00eb shtohen n\u00ebse rritja e pagave vazhdon t\u00eb tejkaloj\u00eb rritjen e produktivitetit t\u00eb pun\u00ebs\u201d, vler\u00ebson FMN.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb vitin 2024, hyrjet financiare neto u nxit\u00ebn kryesisht nga flukset hyr\u00ebse t\u00eb IHD-ve, t\u00eb cilat p\u00ebrb\u00ebnin rreth 7 p\u00ebr qind e PBB-s\u00eb. FMN analizon se investimet e huaja jan\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrqendruara kryesisht n\u00eb turiz\u00ebm dhe sektor\u00ebt e nd\u00ebrtimit dhe tani mund t\u00eb rriten me ritme m\u00eb t\u00eb ngadalta pasi flukset e turizmit stabilizohen.<\/span><\/p>\n

Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb i shtoi nd\u00ebrhyrjet n\u00eb kursin e k\u00ebmbimit gjat\u00eb vitit 2024. Injektimi total n\u00eb vler\u00eb vitin e kaluar ishte rreth 3 p\u00ebr qind e PBB-s\u00eb. FMN rekomandon se Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb duhet t\u00eb lejoj\u00eb q\u00eb kursi i k\u00ebmbimit t\u00eb p\u00ebrshtatet n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb m\u00eb fleksib\u00ebl, ku nd\u00ebrhyrja do t\u00eb sh\u00ebrbej\u00eb vet\u00ebm si nj\u00eb mjet plot\u00ebsues n\u00eb adresimin e luhatjeve jothemelore.<\/span><\/p>\n

Analiza e FMN konstaton ka pasur disa episode t\u00eb kufizuara edhe vitin 2024, n\u00eb t\u00eb cilin presionet themelore t\u00eb vler\u00ebsimit t\u00eb lekut u nxiten nga forca jo-themelore. N\u00eb t\u00eb tilla rrethana, nd\u00ebrhyrjet ne kursin e k\u00ebmbimit\u00a0 mund t\u00eb sh\u00ebrbejn\u00eb si nj\u00eb mjet plot\u00ebsues p\u00ebr t\u00eb thyer vrullin spekulativ, por t\u00eb tilla nd\u00ebrhyrja duhet t\u00eb jen\u00eb n\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb kufizuar analizon Fondi.\/ B.Hoxha<\/span><\/p>\n

VINI RE<\/strong><\/span>: Ky material \u00ebsht\u00eb pron\u00ebsi intelektuale e Monitor<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

N\u00ebse kursi i k\u00ebmbimit kthehet n\u00eb vlerat e vitit 2022 at\u00ebher\u00eb kjo ngjarje do t\u00eb ket\u00eb me ndikim t\u00eb lart\u00eb dhe t\u00eb menj\u00ebhersh\u00ebm sidomos n\u00eb sektorin financiar, familjet dhe bizneset, v\u00ebren Fondi Monetar Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar (FMN) n\u00eb konsultimin e fundit t\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjes me Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb. Fondi v\u00ebren se rreziku p\u00ebr rivler\u00ebsimin e euros \u00ebsht\u00eb mesatar, por n\u00ebse […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":51,"featured_media":721582,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[65],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-721580","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lajme"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/721580","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/51"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=721580"}],"version-history":[{"count":99999,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/721580\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":721583,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/721580\/revisions\/721583"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/721582"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=721580"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=721580"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=721580"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}