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Euro po fiton terren n\u00eb kursin e k\u00ebmbimit me lekun n\u00eb dit\u00ebt e fundit t\u00eb janarit. Sipas kursit zyrtar t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit t\u00eb Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, monedha europiane u k\u00ebmbye me 98.75 lek\u00eb, n\u00eb rritje me 0.55 lek\u00eb n\u00eb harkun e nj\u00eb jave.<\/span><\/p>\n Kursi euro-lek ka arritur nivelin m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb p\u00ebr vitin 2025 dhe nj\u00ebkoh\u00ebsisht m\u00eb t\u00eb lartin q\u00eb prej dat\u00ebs 16 tetor t\u00eb vitit t\u00eb kaluar.<\/span><\/p>\n Sipas agjent\u00ebve t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit valutor, rritja e kursit t\u00eb euros n\u00eb dit\u00ebt e fundit ka ardhur kryesisht p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb nj\u00eb k\u00ebrkese n\u00eb rritje p\u00ebr blerje valute nga shoq\u00ebrit\u00eb tregtare p\u00ebr nevojat e tyre. N\u00eb 2-3 vitet e m\u00ebparshme bizneset kishin nj\u00eb tendenc\u00eb t\u00eb rrisnin k\u00ebrkes\u00ebn p\u00ebr blerje valute qysh n\u00eb fund t\u00eb dhjetorit, ndoshta edhe si p\u00ebrpjekje p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrfituar nga nivelet e ul\u00ebta t\u00eb kursit.<\/span><\/p>\n Kjo p\u00ebrkonte edhe me rritjen e shpenzimeve buxhetore n\u00eb dit\u00ebt e fundit t\u00eb vitit dhe rritjen e ofert\u00ebs s\u00eb lekut n\u00eb treg.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb dhjetorin e vitit t\u00eb kaluar nj\u00eb gj\u00eb e till\u00eb nuk ndodhi dhe kursi q\u00ebndroi n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb ul\u00ebta, madje Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb realizoi blerje me q\u00ebllim shmangien e r\u00ebnies s\u00eb m\u00ebtejshme deri n\u00eb dit\u00ebt e fundit t\u00eb vitit. Me sa duket, k\u00ebt\u00eb vit k\u00ebrkesa p\u00ebr valut\u00eb nga bizneset po shfaqet m\u00eb e vonuar, n\u00eb p\u00ebrputhje edhe me ciklin e konsumit n\u00eb ekonomi dhe rritjen e pritshme t\u00eb nevoj\u00ebs p\u00ebr importe gjat\u00eb muajve n\u00eb vazhdim.<\/span><\/p>\n Pavar\u00ebsisht rritjes s\u00eb dit\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit, kursi i euros ngelet n\u00eb r\u00ebnie vjetore me af\u00ebrsisht 5%.<\/span><\/p>\n Kursi i k\u00ebmbimit euro-lek e mbylli vitin 2024 n\u00eb nivelin 98.15 lek\u00eb, shum\u00eb af\u00ebr nivelit minimal historik t\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha koh\u00ebrave, t\u00eb regjistruar n\u00eb n\u00ebntor 2024. N\u00eb jav\u00ebt e para t\u00eb janarit, kursi u shfaq i q\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm pran\u00eb nivelit t\u00eb 98.2 lek\u00ebve, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb dit\u00ebt e fundit po shfaq nj\u00eb tendenc\u00eb t\u00eb leht\u00eb n\u00eb rritje.<\/span><\/p>\n Vitin e kaluar kursi mesatar i k\u00ebmbimit euro-lek p\u00ebsoi r\u00ebnie p\u00ebr t\u00eb kat\u00ebrtin vit radhazi dhe preku nj\u00eb minimum t\u00eb ri historik. Sipas Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, euro u k\u00ebmbye mesatarisht vitin e kaluar me 100.71 lek\u00eb, niveli m\u00eb i ul\u00ebt i regjistruar ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb. Kursi mesatar i k\u00ebmbimit t\u00eb euros me lekun ka r\u00ebn\u00eb me 7.4% krahasuar me vitin 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n Analizat e Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb kan\u00eb arritur n\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimin se rritja e flukseve hyr\u00ebse i detyrohet kryesisht rritjes s\u00eb eksportit t\u00eb sh\u00ebrbimeve dhe sidomos t\u00eb turizmit, rritjes s\u00eb investimeve t\u00eb huaja, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb pasuri t\u00eb paluajtshme, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb deklarimet e tij Guvernatori Sejko nuk ka p\u00ebrjashtuar as rolin e prurjeve valutore informale.<\/span><\/p>\n T\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e bilancit t\u00eb pagesave treguan se flukset valutore hyr\u00ebse edhe p\u00ebr 2024 kan\u00eb qen\u00eb t\u00eb larta, por n\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00ebsi deficiti i llogaris\u00eb korrente \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur krahasuar me vitin 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n P\u00ebr 9-mujorin 2024 pozicioni i jasht\u00ebm i ekonomis\u00eb rezultoi n\u00eb deficit, p\u00ebr nj\u00eb vler\u00eb totale prej 230 milion\u00eb eurosh. Ky pozicion \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsuar ndjesh\u00ebm krahasuar me nj\u00eb vit m\u00eb par\u00eb, me nj\u00eb rritje prej 9.5 her\u00eb t\u00eb deficitit t\u00eb jasht\u00ebm, por sidoqoft\u00eb ky deficit ishte n\u00eb vler\u00ebn e dyt\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt historike, pas vitit 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n Sipas statistikave t\u00eb Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, investimet e huaja direkte vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb mbulojn\u00eb vler\u00ebn e deficitit t\u00eb llogaris\u00eb korrente. P\u00ebr 9-mujorin 2024, vlera progresive e investimeve t\u00eb huaja direkte arriti n\u00eb 1.16 miliard\u00eb euro, shif\u00ebr kjo 6.6% m\u00eb e lart\u00eb krahasuar me t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn periudh\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00eb viti m\u00eb par\u00eb. Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, edhe politika fiskale ka luajtur nj\u00eb rol shtes\u00eb n\u00eb forcimin e lekut n\u00eb kursin e k\u00ebmbimit.<\/span><\/p>\n Suficiti buxhetor rekord n\u00eb pjes\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb vitit ka ulur ofert\u00ebn e monedh\u00ebs vendase dhe ka shtyr\u00eb m\u00eb tej n\u00eb r\u00ebnie kursin euro-lek. Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb Ministris\u00eb s\u00eb Financave, p\u00ebr 11-mujorin 2024, suficiti buxhetor kishte bler\u00ebn rekord t\u00eb 71.7 miliard\u00eb lek\u00ebve, n\u00eb rritje me 90% krahasuar me t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn periudh\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00eb viti m\u00eb par\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n