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Nga Ben Caspit<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n TEL AVIV – N\u00eb mes t\u00eb r\u00ebnies s\u00eb regjimit t\u00eb Assad-it n\u00eb Siri, Izraeli po shqyrton opsionet p\u00ebr t\u00eb nd\u00ebrprer\u00eb aksesin e Iranit drejt Libanit p\u00ebrmes territorit sirian.<\/span><\/p>\n Izraeli po koordinohet me Shtetet e Bashkuara n\u00eb lidhje me ndryshimet e shpejta n\u00eb Siri, duke shpresuar q\u00eb amerikan\u00ebt t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorin ndikimin e tyre p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndikuar te rebel\u00ebt q\u00eb kan\u00eb marr\u00eb kontrollin e qeveris\u00eb n\u00eb Damask.<\/span><\/p>\n A do p\u00ebrfshihen SHBA-t\u00eb?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n \u201cN\u00ebse Shtetet e Bashkuara nuk hyjn\u00eb fuqish\u00ebm n\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00ebn boshe q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb krijuar midis Damaskut dhe Bejrutit, kjo mund\u00ebsi historike do humbas\u00eb,\u201d<\/em> tha nj\u00eb burim i lart\u00eb diplomatik izraelit p\u00ebr Al-Monitor, duke folur n\u00eb kushte anonimaiteti.<\/span><\/p>\n \u201cKjo nuk do ndodh\u00eb pa veprime aktive p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndikuar dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur ndikimin ndaj atyre q\u00eb tani do marrin n\u00eb dor\u00eb Sirin\u00eb. Ata do ken\u00eb nevoj\u00eb p\u00ebr ndihm\u00eb dhe jan\u00eb t\u00eb hapur p\u00ebr sugjerime.\u201d<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n Megjith\u00ebse administrata Biden ka deklaruar se nuk ka synim t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshihet, z\u00ebdh\u00ebn\u00ebsi i Departamentit t\u00eb Shtetit, Matthew Miller, tha k\u00ebt\u00eb jav\u00eb se sanksionet e SHBA-s\u00eb ndaj Siris\u00eb dhe rifillimi i lidhjeve diplomatike me Damaskun mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrdoren si mjete p\u00ebr t\u00eb nxitur krer\u00ebt e rinj t\u00eb Siris\u00eb t\u00eb promovojn\u00eb nj\u00eb proces politik gjith\u00ebp\u00ebrfshir\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n Presidenti i zgjedhur Donald Trump shkroi t\u00eb shtun\u00ebn n\u00eb Truth Social: \u201cKjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb lufta jon\u00eb. L\u00ebreni t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb. Mos u p\u00ebrfshini.\u201d<\/em> <\/span><\/p>\n CNN raportoi se senatori republikan Markwayne Mullin tha t\u00eb diel\u00ebn: \u201cKur kjo b\u00ebhet interes i siguris\u00eb komb\u00ebtare dhe k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim p\u00ebr Shtetet e Bashkuara, at\u00ebher\u00eb do p\u00ebrfshihemi.\u201d<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n R\u00ebnia e regjimit t\u00eb Assad-it<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Kolapsi i shpejt\u00eb i qeveris\u00eb s\u00eb Assad-it e zuri Izraelin krejt\u00ebsisht t\u00eb pap\u00ebrgatitur, ashtu si shumic\u00ebn e sh\u00ebrbimeve t\u00eb inteligjenc\u00ebs dhe v\u00ebzhguesve. Inteligjenca e njohur ushtarake izraelite, e njollosur r\u00ebnd\u00eb nga d\u00ebshtimi p\u00ebr t\u00eb parandaluar sulmin e Hamas-it m\u00eb 7 tetor 2023, mbeti e shokuar nga forca dhe shpejt\u00ebsia e zhvillimeve.<\/span><\/p>\n Hyrja e Izraelit n\u00eb loj\u00eb<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n T\u00eb premten e kaluar, nj\u00eb burim i lart\u00eb i inteligjenc\u00ebs izraelite tha p\u00ebr Al-Monitor, n\u00eb kushtet e anonimatit: \u201cFati i regjimit t\u00eb Assad-it \u00ebsht\u00eb i vulosur, por kjo nuk do ndodh\u00eb aq shpejt. Mbrojtja e Divizionit t\u00eb 4-t\u00eb rreth Damaskut do jet\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u2019u thyer.\u201d<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n T\u00eb nes\u00ebrmen, Divizioni i 4-t\u00eb u shp\u00ebrb\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Forcat ushtarake izraelite nd\u00ebrmor\u00ebn masa t\u00eb shpejta pas r\u00ebnies s\u00eb plot\u00eb t\u00eb forcave qeveritare siriane n\u00eb or\u00ebt e para t\u00eb m\u00ebngjesit t\u00eb s\u00eb diel\u00ebs. Operacioni i par\u00eb u krye nga nj\u00ebsia komando Shaldag e forcave ajrore p\u00ebr t\u00eb marr\u00eb kontrollin e pjes\u00ebs siriane t\u00eb malit Hermon, nj\u00eb vend strategjik me nj\u00eb lart\u00ebsi prej 2,814 metrash (9,232 k\u00ebmb\u00eb), q\u00eb ofron nj\u00eb pamje t\u00eb gjer\u00eb t\u00eb Siris\u00eb. <\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, p\u00ebrforcime ushtarake u vendos\u00ebn n\u00eb Rrafshnalt\u00ebn e Golanit, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb nj\u00ebsit\u00eb parashutiste dhe ato t\u00eb tankeve. Disa nga k\u00ebto forca kaluan n\u00eb zon\u00ebn tampon midis Izraelit dhe Siris\u00eb dhe u vendos\u00ebn disa qindra metra n\u00eb lindje t\u00eb gardhit kufitar izraelit p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndaluar \u00e7do p\u00ebrpjekje t\u00eb rebel\u00ebve sirian\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb dep\u00ebrtuar n\u00eb Izrael.<\/span><\/p>\n Forca ajrore izraelite nisi gjithashtu nj\u00eb seri bombardimesh precize mbi rreth 300 objektiva strategjik\u00eb n\u00eb gjith\u00eb Sirin\u00eb, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb portin mesdhetar t\u00eb Latakias, ku bazoheshin forcat detare siriane.<\/span><\/p>\n \u201cNe nuk do lejojm\u00eb q\u00eb ndonj\u00eb lloj arme strategjike, vendimtare ose me r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi t\u00eb bjer\u00eb n\u00eb duar t\u00eb gabuara,\u201d<\/em> tha nj\u00eb burim i lart\u00eb ushtarak izraelit p\u00ebr Al-Monitor, n\u00eb kushte anonimiteti. Sipas raporteve t\u00eb mediave t\u00eb huaja, sulmet shkat\u00ebrruan mbetjet e arm\u00ebve kimike t\u00eb Siris\u00eb, si dhe pozicionet e arm\u00ebve kund\u00ebrajrore, depot e raketave me rreze t\u00eb gjat\u00eb veprimi dhe avion\u00ebt luftarak\u00eb e helikopter\u00ebt e prodhimit sovjetik.<\/span><\/p>\n Izraeli mori vendimin p\u00ebr t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruar k\u00ebto vende sapo rebel\u00ebt sirian\u00eb filluan t\u00eb l\u00ebvizin drejt Alepos rreth dy jav\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb, menj\u00ebher\u00eb pas n\u00ebnshkrimit t\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjes s\u00eb arm\u00ebpushimit m\u00eb 26 n\u00ebntor midis Izraelit, Hezbollah-ut dhe Libanit. Fushata e bombardimeve p\u00ebrfitoi nga dritarja midis t\u00ebrheqjes dhe shp\u00ebrb\u00ebrjes s\u00eb ushtris\u00eb siriane dhe p\u00ebrparimit t\u00eb forcave rebele drejt Damaskut.<\/span><\/p>\n Perspektivat p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhmen<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Megjith\u00ebse Izraeli ende nuk ka vendosur si t\u00eb veproj\u00eb n\u00eb lidhje me grupet e ndryshme rebele, ai mir\u00ebpret zhdukjen e regjimit t\u00eb Assad-it p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb rolit q\u00eb ka luajtur nd\u00ebr vite si pjes\u00eb e boshtit t\u00eb drejtuar nga Irani q\u00eb mund\u00ebsonte furnizimin e Hezbollah-ut me arm\u00eb n\u00eb Liban.<\/span><\/p>\n Disa ekspert\u00eb t\u00eb inteligjenc\u00ebs sugjerojn\u00eb se rezultati m\u00eb i mir\u00eb p\u00ebr Izraelin do ishte ndarja e Siris\u00eb n\u00eb disa shtete m\u00eb t\u00eb vogla, n\u00eb p\u00ebrputhje me p\u00ebrkat\u00ebsit\u00eb fetare t\u00eb popullat\u00ebs s\u00eb tyre, n\u00eb nj\u00eb lloj modeli federal. Ky proces i ashtuquajtur \u201ckantonizim\u201d mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshij\u00eb, p\u00ebr shembull, nj\u00eb zon\u00eb Druze, nj\u00eb zon\u00eb Sunite dhe nj\u00eb zon\u00eb Alavite-Shiite.<\/span><\/p>\n Reagimi ndaj r\u00ebnies s\u00eb Assad-it<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Sipas burimeve t\u00eb inteligjenc\u00ebs izraelite, Izraeli \u00ebsht\u00eb i k\u00ebnaqur me zhvillimet e jav\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit, pavar\u00ebsisht pasiguris\u00eb. \u201cSulmi i papritur i Hamas-it ndaj Izraelit do hyj\u00eb n\u00eb histori si nj\u00eb nga sulmet m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb,\u201d<\/em> tha nj\u00eb burim i lart\u00eb ushtarak.<\/span><\/p>\n \u201cAta donin t\u00eb ndryshonin fytyr\u00ebn e Lindjes s\u00eb Mesme, dhe ia dol\u00ebn – por jo ashtu si\u00e7 mendonin. Ata soll\u00ebn katastrof\u00eb mbi veten dhe mbi boshtin e rezistenc\u00ebs, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb \u2018unaz\u00ebn e zjarrit\u2019 t\u00eb Iranit.\u201d<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n Kryeministri izraelit Benjamin Netanyahu u shpreh euforik n\u00eb nj\u00eb konferenc\u00eb p\u00ebr shtyp t\u00eb h\u00ebn\u00ebn n\u00eb mbr\u00ebmje, duke shpallur nj\u00eb \u201cfitore t\u00eb plot\u00eb\u201d dhe duke e vler\u00ebsuar Izraelin p\u00ebr \u201cndryshimin e fytyr\u00ebs s\u00eb Lindjes s\u00eb Mesme.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n Izraeli ka arritur nj\u00eb fitore mbres\u00ebl\u00ebn\u00ebse mbi armiqt\u00eb e tij, por historia tregon se euforia n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme mund t\u00eb zhduket shpejt.<\/span><\/p>\n \u201cEkziston gjithashtu mund\u00ebsia q\u00eb t\u00eb na mungoj\u00eb Assad-i,\u201d<\/em> tha nj\u00eb burim i lart\u00eb i siguris\u00eb izraelite.<\/span><\/p>\n \u201cSiria e dy Assad-\u00ebve ka qen\u00eb vendi m\u00eb i q\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm n\u00eb kufirin e Izraelit q\u00eb nga Lufta e Yom Kippur-it n\u00eb vitin 1973.\u201d<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n N\u00eb p\u00ebrfundim, burime diplomatike izraelite vler\u00ebsuan se, n\u00eb afat t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr, zhvillimet jan\u00eb shum\u00eb pozitive. Me nd\u00ebrprerjen e rrug\u00ebve t\u00eb furnizimit t\u00eb Hezbollah-ut nga Irani, kjo organizat\u00eb do p\u00ebrqendrohet te ruajtja e ndikimit t\u00eb saj n\u00eb Liban.<\/span><\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/2024-07-18T172929Z_469361980_RC2TX8AKS4JD_RTRMADP_3_ISRAEL-PALESTINIANS-NETANYAHU-1200x998-1.jpg\")
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