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Kthimi i Donald Trump n\u00eb Sht\u00ebpin\u00eb e Bardh\u00eb po nxit nj\u00eb ringjallje t\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjeve q\u00eb mund t\u00eb rris\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurat bankare t\u00eb investimeve n\u00eb 316 miliard\u00eb dollar\u00eb globalisht vitin e ardhsh\u00ebm, nj\u00eb rritje prej rreth 5.7% n\u00eb vitin 2024, sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb para nga Reuters.<\/span><\/p>\n Bankier\u00ebt e M&A (mergers & acquisitions) parashikohen t\u00eb mbledhin rreth 27.6 miliard\u00eb dollar\u00eb n\u00eb tarifa, sipas shifrave t\u00eb paraportuara m\u00eb par\u00eb nga kompania analitike \u201cCoalition Greenwich\u201d, n\u00eb at\u00eb q\u00eb mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb viti i tyre i dyt\u00eb m\u00eb i mir\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn dy dekada.<\/span><\/p>\n T\u00eb ardhurat globale t\u00eb bankave nga investimet kan\u00eb kaluar 300 miliard\u00eb dollar\u00eb vet\u00ebm pes\u00eb her\u00eb n\u00eb 20 vitet e fundit, tregojn\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat, me fuqin\u00eb e fitimeve n\u00eb vitet e fundit t\u00eb mbytur nga pandemia, inflacioni dhe shqet\u00ebsimi politik global.<\/span><\/p>\n Prirjet pro-biznesit t\u00eb Trumpit pritet t\u00eb ndihmojn\u00eb nj\u00eb ekonomi tashm\u00eb t\u00eb lul\u00ebzuar t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb, e cila nga ana tjet\u00ebr mund t\u00eb nxis\u00eb v\u00ebllime m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha t\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjeve dhe investimeve nd\u00ebrkufitare nga firmat evropiane q\u00eb ndjekin rritjen, than\u00eb bankier\u00ebt.<\/span><\/p>\n “Un\u00eb e di se \u00ebsht\u00eb kjo koh\u00eb e vitit ku bankier\u00ebt duan t\u00eb jen\u00eb agresiv\u00eb dhe me vet\u00ebbesim t\u00eb lart\u00eb, por ne n\u00eb fakt mendojm\u00eb se klima e tanishme, qart\u00ebsia politike dhe stabiliteti makro, do ndihmoj\u00eb n\u00eb nxitjen e M&A,”<\/em> tha Richard King, kreu i bankingut t\u00eb korporatave, EMEA, n\u00eb Bank of America.<\/span><\/p>\n “Ka shum\u00eb k\u00ebrkesa t\u00eb ngulitura q\u00eb ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb plot\u00ebsohen n\u00eb 2025,”<\/em> tha ai, duke treguar p\u00ebr kapitalin privat, si dhe bler\u00ebsit tregtar\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb s\u00ebr\u00eb sektor\u00ebsh, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb kujdesin sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsor, teknologjin\u00eb dhe energjin\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Administrata e Trump mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht e favorshme p\u00ebr M&A sepse ai shihet se ka gjasa t\u00eb zhbllokoj\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje p\u00ebrmes atyre q\u00eb ishin bllokuar n\u00ebn administrat\u00ebn e m\u00ebparshme p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb konkurrenc\u00ebs ose shqet\u00ebsimeve t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsis\u00eb strategjike t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb, than\u00eb bankier\u00ebt.<\/span><\/p>\n Nd\u00ebrsa punonj\u00ebsit q\u00eb sjelin klient\u00eb e marr\u00ebveshje t\u00eb reja po b\u00ebhen gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb t\u00eb z\u00ebn\u00eb, bankier\u00ebt q\u00eb menaxhojn\u00eb shitjet e borxhit p\u00ebr kompanit\u00eb dhe qeverit\u00eb mund t\u00eb shohin gjithashtu nj\u00eb rritje t\u00eb veprimtaris\u00eb, duke sjell\u00eb deri n\u00eb 49 miliard\u00eb dollar\u00eb, nj\u00eb rekord i ri, sipas \u201cCoalition Greenwich\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n T\u00eb ardhurat nga tregtimi i letrave me vler\u00eb – kontribuesi m\u00eb i madh n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurat e bankave t\u00eb investimeve \u2013 parashikohen n\u00eb 220 miliard\u00eb dollar\u00eb p\u00ebr vitin 2025 dhe do ishin m\u00eb t\u00eb lartat q\u00eb nga viti 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n Produktet makro t\u00eb lidhura me kredin\u00eb dhe tregjet n\u00eb zhvillim ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb shohin rritjen m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe n\u00eb shifrat e vitit 2024 vitin e ardhsh\u00ebm, me nj\u00eb rritje prej 6% secila nd\u00ebrsa tregtimi i produkteve t\u00eb lidhura me normat e interesit mund t\u00eb tkurret deri n\u00eb 3.5%.<\/span><\/p>\n “Ne kemi bilanc t\u00eb sh\u00ebndetsh\u00ebm t\u00eb korporatave, por kemi nj\u00eb mjedis normash q\u00eb ka rritur koston e kapitalit k\u00ebshtu q\u00eb bizneset nuk mund t\u00eb zvarriten,”<\/em> tha Taylor Wright, bashk\u00ebdrejtues i bankingut global n\u00eb Barclays, duke parashikuar q\u00eb firmat e kapitalit privat do jen\u00eb aktive si bler\u00ebs ashtu edhe si shit\u00ebs t\u00eb bizneseve.<\/span><\/p>\n “Rreziku gjeopolitik, sipas mendimit ton\u00eb, \u00ebsht\u00eb kart\u00eb e pasigurt. \u00cbsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb planifikohet p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb, por n\u00eb munges\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj, ne shohim shum\u00eb faktor\u00eb q\u00eb sugjerojn\u00eb se 12 deri n\u00eb 24 muajt e ardhsh\u00ebm duhet t\u00eb jen\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb p\u00ebr bankingun e investimeve.”<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n Kthimi i majmjes<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Me rritjen e t\u00eb ardhurave, pagesat e bankier\u00ebve duken t\u00eb destinuara t\u00eb ndjekin shembullin, megjith\u00ebse bonuset do mbeten tani p\u00ebr tani n\u00ebn nivelet e vitit 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n Kompania p\u00ebr konsulenca e pagesave me baz\u00eb n\u00eb Nju Jork, \u201cJohnson Associates\u201d tha muajin e kaluar se priste q\u00eb pagat e bankier\u00ebve t\u00eb rriteshin pothuajse n\u00eb \u00e7do nj\u00ebsi biznesi, me p\u00ebrjashtim t\u00eb investimit n\u00eb pasuri t\u00eb paluajtshme.<\/span><\/p>\n Departamentet q\u00eb merren me pun\u00ebsimin po raportojn\u00eb gjithashtu k\u00ebrkesa t\u00eb reja pun\u00ebsimi nga disa banka pas rizgjedhjes s\u00eb Trump, dhe nj\u00eb fokus n\u00eb shtimin e stafit n\u00eb tremujorin e par\u00eb, tradicionalisht nj\u00eb koh\u00eb kur shumica e bankave k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb t\u00eb ulin numrin e punonj\u00ebsve.<\/span><\/p>\n Pun\u00ebsimi \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb tregtimin e letrave me vler\u00eb, q\u00eb nga pozicionet e reja deri te ato t\u00eb larta, tha Natalie Nicolaou, menaxhere e lart\u00eb n\u00eb \u201cRobert Walters UK\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/chart.png\")
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