{"id":687815,"date":"2024-07-13T19:59:50","date_gmt":"2024-07-13T17:59:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/?p=687815"},"modified":"2024-07-13T19:59:50","modified_gmt":"2024-07-13T17:59:50","slug":"analiza-e-dinamikes-se-popullsise-2011-2023-bazuar-ne-cens-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/2024\/07\/13\/analiza-e-dinamikes-se-popullsise-2011-2023-bazuar-ne-cens-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Analiza e Dinamik\u00ebs s\u00eb Popullsis\u00eb 2011-2023, bazuar n\u00eb Cens 2023","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/harta-censi.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-687816\" src=\"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/harta-censi.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"731\" height=\"495\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/harta-censi.jpg 731w, https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/harta-censi-300x203.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 731px) 100vw, 731px\" \/><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Nga Ines Heba*, Eksperte e Statistikave, Assoc. Prof. PhD<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">1) Emigrimi dhe mosha e t\u00eb larguarve<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Emigrimi<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb fundit t\u00eb INSTAT, rezultoi se popullsia shqiptare n\u00eb 18 shtator 2023, \u00ebsht\u00eb 2.402.113. N\u00eb vitin 2011, popullsia ka qen\u00eb 2.821.997. Ndryshimi \u00ebsht\u00eb me 420 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb n\u00eb r\u00ebnie.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">P\u00ebr t\u00eb llogaritur popullsin\u00eb q\u00eb ka emigruar duhet shtuar dhe shtesa natyrore q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb diferenca lindje-vdekje.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">N\u00eb tabel\u00ebn e m\u00ebposhtme jepet shtesa natyrore gjat\u00eb dy dekadave 2001-2023:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.monitor.al\/images\/2024\/07\/Tabela-1-1139.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Po t\u00eb b\u00ebjm\u00eb krahasimet midis nj\u00eb dhjet\u00ebvje\u00e7ari (2002-2011) dhe 12 viteve t\u00eb m\u00ebpasshme, ka nj\u00eb p\u00ebrgjysmim t\u00eb shtes\u00ebs natyrore, si pasoj\u00eb e r\u00ebnies s\u00eb lindjeve n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb drastike.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Duke i shtuar ndryshimit t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb prej 420 mij\u00eb edhe shtes\u00ebn natyrore prej 88.443, popullsia q\u00eb ka emigruar shkon 508.443.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Gjithashtu, k\u00ebsaj shifre duhet t\u2019i shtohen edhe ata emigrant\u00eb q\u00eb jan\u00eb kthyer, q\u00eb tregon sesa kan\u00eb tentuar t\u00eb largohen nga Shqip\u00ebria gjat\u00eb k\u00ebtyre 12 viteve. Shifra e atyre q\u00eb jan\u00eb rikthyer sipas INSTAT, \u00ebsht\u00eb 108.503 emigrant\u00eb p\u00ebr 12 vjet.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Si konkluzion, gjithmon\u00eb bazuar n\u00eb shifrat e INSTAT, jan\u00eb larguar nga Shqip\u00ebria p\u00ebr 12 vjet, 508.443 dhe kan\u00eb tentuar t\u00eb largohen mbi 600 mij\u00eb vet\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Mosha e emigrimit<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb tjet\u00ebr q\u00eb duhet par\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb edhe mosha e t\u00eb larguarve bazuar n\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e publikuara nga INSTAT. Duke b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb t\u00eb holl\u00ebsishme t\u00eb grupmoshave me krahasimin e dy regjistrimeve, del q\u00eb mosha q\u00eb ka emigruar m\u00eb shum\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb midis 20 dhe 39 vje\u00e7, duke p\u00ebrb\u00ebr\u00eb 54% t\u00eb largimeve.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Pra, gjat\u00eb viteve 2012 \u2013 2023, \u00ebsht\u00eb larguar mosha m\u00eb vitale e popullsis\u00eb, e cila ka lidhje direkt si me tregun e pun\u00ebs dhe me lindshm\u00ebrin\u00eb q\u00eb ka r\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb nivele drastike (vendi i dyt\u00eb n\u00eb Europ\u00eb p\u00ebr lindshm\u00ebri m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Kjo ka b\u00ebr\u00eb q\u00eb mosha mesatare e popullsis\u00eb t\u00eb shkoj\u00eb n\u00eb 42.5 nga 35.3 q\u00eb ka qen\u00eb n\u00eb Censin e vitit 2011.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">P\u00ebrb\u00ebrja e familjeve<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Nj\u00eb faktor tjet\u00ebr q\u00eb tregon shpopullimin e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb edhe p\u00ebrb\u00ebrja e familjeve. N\u00eb vitin 2011, pjesa m\u00eb e madhe e familjeve ishin me 4 an\u00ebtar\u00eb (23.1%). Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2023, pjesa m\u00eb e madhe e familjeve jan\u00eb me dy an\u00ebtar\u00eb, 28.5%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Kjo tregon q\u00eb familjet e reja kan\u00eb ulur tendenc\u00ebn p\u00ebr t\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb f\u00ebmij\u00eb ose\/dhe n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri kan\u00eb mbetur prind\u00ebrit pa f\u00ebmij\u00ebt e tyre q\u00eb kan\u00eb emigruar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Banesat dhe p\u00ebrdorimi i tyre<\/span><\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Bazuar te regjistrimi i fundit, 32.9% e banesave jan\u00eb t\u00eb pabanuara, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb 2011 jan\u00eb t\u00eb pabanuara 21.7%. P\u00ebr 12 vjet jan\u00eb populluar vet\u00ebm 16460 banesa, gj\u00eb q\u00eb tregon nd\u00ebrtimet e pakontrolluara, dhe jo me q\u00ebllim strehimin e popullsis\u00eb gjat\u00eb k\u00ebtyre viteve.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">2) R\u00ebnia e popullsis\u00eb n\u00ebp\u00ebr qarqe<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">T\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e INSTAT p\u00ebr qarqe tregojn\u00eb se popullsia jo vet\u00ebm ka r\u00ebn\u00eb, por pjesa m\u00eb e madhe e qarqeve ka nj\u00eb popullsi t\u00eb moshuar, kryesisht mbi 50 vje\u00e7.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Tabela e m\u00ebposhtme, tregon ndryshimin e popullsis\u00eb 2011-2023 sipas qarqeve, si dhe p\u00ebrqindjet e ndryshimeve:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.monitor.al\/images\/2024\/07\/Tabela-2-1139.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Nga tabela konstatohet se:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Vet\u00ebm Tirana ka nj\u00eb rritje minimale me 9148 individ\u00eb q\u00eb p\u00ebrb\u00ebjn\u00eb 1.2%.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">T\u00eb gjitha qarqet e tjera kan\u00eb nj\u00eb rritje negative, sidomos qarqet e m\u00ebdha: Fier, Elbasan, Shkod\u00ebr, Kor\u00e7\u00eb, q\u00eb jan\u00eb dhe qarqet m\u00eb t\u00eb populluara n\u00eb vend. N\u00eb k\u00ebto qarqe, rritja negative varion nga -47 mij\u00eb deri af\u00ebrsisht \u201369 mij\u00eb.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Kjo hedh posht\u00eb, dhe teorin\u00eb 12-vje\u00e7are q\u00eb njer\u00ebzit kan\u00eb ardhur drejt Tiran\u00ebs, duke qen\u00eb e dukshme q\u00eb Tirana ka nj\u00eb rritje minimale. Nga ana tjet\u00ebr konfirmon, q\u00eb edhe sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave q\u00eb publikon vet\u00eb INSTAT, se njer\u00ebzit jan\u00eb larguar jasht\u00eb vendit.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Nj\u00eb e dh\u00ebn\u00eb tjet\u00ebr, e cila \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb problematike, \u00ebsht\u00eb edhe grupmosha e popullsis\u00eb n\u00ebp\u00ebr qarqe. N\u00eb tabel\u00ebn e m\u00ebposhtme jepet shp\u00ebrndarja e grupmoshave sipas qarqeve. Megjith\u00ebse INSTAT ka nxjerr\u00eb vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb tabel\u00eb t\u00eb reduktuar, sipas llogaritjeve q\u00eb kam b\u00ebr\u00eb, kemi k\u00ebt\u00eb shp\u00ebrndarje sipas grupmoshave:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.monitor.al\/images\/2024\/07\/Tabela-3-1139.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Pjesa m\u00eb e madhe e qarqeve e kan\u00eb p\u00ebrqindjen e popullsis\u00eb mbi mesataren e popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb nxjerr\u00eb nga INSTAT (42.5 vje\u00e7). Ajo q\u00eb bie n\u00eb sy \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb qarku i dyt\u00eb p\u00ebr nga madh\u00ebsia, q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb Fieri, e ka mosh\u00ebn mesatare mbi 50 vje\u00e7 (49.3% e popullsis\u00eb).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Nj\u00eb tregues tjet\u00ebr q\u00eb popullsia shqiptare \u00ebsht\u00eb duke u plakur, \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb pjesa m\u00eb e madhe e qarqeve kan\u00eb p\u00ebrqindjen m\u00eb t\u00eb vog\u00ebl t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb n\u00eb mosh\u00ebn 0-14 vje\u00e7. Nga qarqet e m\u00ebdha, Vlora ka popullsin\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb vog\u00ebl n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb mosh\u00eb, me 13.04%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Kjo tregon dhe nj\u00eb her\u00eb, q\u00eb edhe po t\u00eb bazohemi n\u00eb k\u00ebto shifra, Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb i ka ikur pjesa m\u00eb vitale e saj.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">VINI RE:<\/span> Ky material \u00ebsht\u00eb pron\u00ebsi intelektuale e <span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.monitor.al\/analiza-e-dinamikes-se-popullsise-2011-2023-bazuar-ne-cens-2023-2\/\">Monitor<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nga Ines Heba*, Eksperte e Statistikave, Assoc. Prof. PhD &nbsp; 1) Emigrimi dhe mosha e t\u00eb larguarve &nbsp; Emigrimi Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb fundit t\u00eb INSTAT, rezultoi se popullsia shqiptare n\u00eb 18 shtator 2023, \u00ebsht\u00eb 2.402.113. N\u00eb vitin 2011, popullsia ka qen\u00eb 2.821.997. Ndryshimi \u00ebsht\u00eb me 420 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb n\u00eb r\u00ebnie. P\u00ebr t\u00eb llogaritur popullsin\u00eb [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":32,"featured_media":687816,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-687815","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fast-foodi"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/687815","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=687815"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/687815\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/687816"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=687815"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=687815"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=687815"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}