{"id":649294,"date":"2024-01-25T18:37:41","date_gmt":"2024-01-25T17:37:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/?p=649294"},"modified":"2024-01-25T18:39:52","modified_gmt":"2024-01-25T17:39:52","slug":"raporti-rusia-mund-te-perdore-arme-berthamore-jostrategjike-pas-humbjeve-ushtarake-ne-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/2024\/01\/25\/raporti-rusia-mund-te-perdore-arme-berthamore-jostrategjike-pas-humbjeve-ushtarake-ne-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"Raporti – Rusia mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrdor\u00eb arm\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore jostrategjike pas humbjeve ushtarake n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

Humbjet e m\u00ebdha t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb gjat\u00eb agresionin kund\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebs n\u00ebnkuptojn\u00eb q\u00eb Moska tani po i sheh arm\u00ebt taktike b\u00ebrthamore si gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme p\u00ebr t\u00eb frenuar dhe mundur NATO-n, thuhet n\u00eb nj\u00eb raport t\u00eb ri nga Instituti Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar p\u00ebr Studime Strategjike, IISS, me seli n\u00eb Lond\u00ebr, i cili paralajm\u00ebron se Per\u00ebndimi duhet t\u00eb zgjohet nga k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimi b\u00ebrthamor n\u00eb rritje.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00eb 24 shkurt 2022, teksa tanket e para ruse kaluan kufirin ukrainas duke sh\u00ebnuar fillimin e sulmit, Presidenti Vladimir Putin mbajti nj\u00eb fjalim televiziv duke paralajm\u00ebruar bot\u00ebn p\u00ebr \u201cpasoja me t\u00eb cilat nuk jeni p\u00ebrballur kurr\u00eb n\u00eb historin\u00eb tuaj\u201d, n\u00ebse dikush do t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqej ta ndalonte Rusin\u00eb, nj\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim i par\u00eb gjer\u00ebsisht si demonstrim i forc\u00ebs b\u00ebrthamore nga Kremlini.<\/span><\/p>\n

Raporti i Institutit Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar p\u00ebr Studime Strategjike, IISS, thot\u00eb se frika nga p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimi me Rusin\u00eb ka b\u00ebr\u00eb q\u00eb Per\u00ebndimi t\u00eb hezitoj\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb furnizuar Kievin me arm\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Por gati dy vjet m\u00eb von\u00eb, nj\u00eb raport i zbulimit amerikan i deklasifikuar muajin e kaluar, vler\u00ebson se Rusia ka humbur rreth 315,000 trupa n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb q\u00eb nga fillimi i sulmit, ose gati 90% t\u00eb forcave t\u00eb saj t\u00eb paraluft\u00ebs, pjesa m\u00eb e madhe nga arm\u00ebt e dhuruara nga Per\u00ebndimi.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cRusia tani ka m\u00eb pak besim n\u00eb aft\u00ebsit\u00eb e saj konvencionale p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb gjith\u00e7kaje q\u00eb ka humbur n\u00eb luft\u00ebn me Ukrain\u00ebn\u201d,<\/em> thot\u00eb William Alberque, autor i raportit dhe Drejtor i Strategjis\u00eb, Teknologjis\u00eb dhe Kontrollit t\u00eb Arm\u00ebve n\u00eb IISS.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kjo do t\u00eb thot\u00eb q\u00eb arm\u00ebt b\u00ebrthamore t\u00eb Mosk\u00ebs me rreze m\u00eb t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr veprimi, t\u00eb njohura si am\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore jostrategjike ose NSNW \u2013 t\u00eb prodhuara p\u00ebr p\u00ebrdorim n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e betej\u00ebs \u2013 po b\u00ebhen gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme p\u00ebr Kremlinin, sipas zotit Alberque.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cRusia ka raketa me rreze t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr dhe t\u00eb mesme, q\u00eb l\u00ebshohen nga ajri, toka dhe deti, t\u00eb afta p\u00ebr t\u00eb goditur rajonin me mbushje b\u00ebrthamore dhe n\u00eb gjendje p\u00ebr t\u00eb rrezikuar t\u00eb gjith\u00eb NATO-n. Aleanc\u00ebs i mungon aft\u00ebsia p\u00ebr ta balancuar k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimin rus<\/em>\u201d, thot\u00eb ai.<\/span><\/p>\n

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P\u00ebrpjekjet parandaluese<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusia ka vendosur arm\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore jostrategjike n\u00eb territorin e Bjellorusis\u00eb aleate, vend fqinj me disa shtete t\u00eb NATO-s. Jav\u00ebn e kaluar, Bjellorusia njoftoi se kishte miratuar nj\u00eb doktrin\u00eb t\u00eb re ushtarake.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cVendosja e arm\u00ebve b\u00ebrthamore taktike n\u00eb territorin e Bjellorusis\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb komponent i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm i frenimit t\u00eb kund\u00ebrshtar\u00ebve t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm nga nj\u00eb agresion i armatosur kund\u00ebr Bjellorusis\u00eb\u201d,<\/em> tha Ministri i Mbrojtjes s\u00eb Bjellorusis\u00eb, Viktor Khrenin, m\u00eb 20 janar.<\/span><\/p>\n

Raporti i Institutit Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar p\u00ebr Studime Strategjike, p\u00ebrmend gjithashtu analiz\u00ebn e publikuar n\u00eb qershor nga analisti i njohur politik dhe ushtarak rus Sergei Karaganov, kreu i K\u00ebshillit p\u00ebr Politik\u00ebn e Jashtme dhe t\u00eb Mbrojtjes n\u00eb Mosk\u00eb, n\u00eb t\u00eb cil\u00ebn ai rekomandon goditjen me nj\u00eb arm\u00eb taktike b\u00ebrthamore t\u00eb nj\u00eb vendi evropian q\u00eb p\u00ebrkrah Ukrain\u00ebn, n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb t\u00eb rivendoset politika e frenimit kund\u00ebr NATO-s.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb analiz\u00ebn e titulluar \u201cNj\u00eb vendim i v\u00ebshtir\u00eb, por i domosdosh\u00ebm\u201d, analisti Karaganov shkruan se: \u201c\u00cbsht\u00eb e nevojshme t\u00eb zgjohet instinkti i vet\u00ebp\u00ebrmbajtjes q\u00eb Per\u00ebndimi e ka humbur dhe t\u00eb bindet se p\u00ebrpjekjet p\u00ebr t\u00eb dob\u00ebsuar Rusin\u00eb, duke armatosur ukrainasit jan\u00eb kund\u00ebrproduktive p\u00ebr vet\u00eb Per\u00ebndimin. Ne do t\u00eb duhet ta b\u00ebjm\u00eb frenimin b\u00ebrthamor p\u00ebrs\u00ebri nj\u00eb argument bind\u00ebs, duke ulur pragun p\u00ebr p\u00ebrdorimin e arm\u00ebve b\u00ebrthamore\u201d.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cMoralisht, kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb zgjedhje e tmerrshme, pasi ne do t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorim arm\u00ebn e Zotit, duke e d\u00ebnuar k\u00ebshtu veten me humbje t\u00eb r\u00ebnda shpirt\u00ebrore. Por n\u00ebse nuk e b\u00ebjm\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb, jo vet\u00ebm q\u00eb Rusia mund t\u00eb vdes\u00eb, por ka shum\u00eb t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb, q\u00eb e gjith\u00eb bota e qytet\u00ebruar t\u00eb pushoj\u00eb s\u00eb ekzistuari. Duke thyer vullnetin e Per\u00ebndimit p\u00ebr t\u00eb vazhduar agresionin, ne jo vet\u00ebm q\u00eb do t\u00eb shp\u00ebtojm\u00eb veten dhe p\u00ebrfundimisht do ta \u00e7lironim bot\u00ebn nga zgjedha pes\u00ebshekullore per\u00ebndimore, por do ta shp\u00ebtojm\u00eb edhe njer\u00ebzimin\u201d,<\/em> shkruante analisti Karaganov.<\/span><\/p>\n

William Alberque v\u00eb n\u00eb dukje se pas publikimit t\u00eb analiz\u00ebs s\u00eb zotit Karaganov, n\u00eb debatin b\u00ebrthamor, jan\u00eb p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb edhe disa politolog\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb t\u00eb njohur rus\u00eb. Madje edhe presidenti rus ka dh\u00ebn\u00eb p\u00eblqimin p\u00ebr analiz\u00ebn.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb tetor t\u00eb vitit t\u00eb kaluar, gjat\u00eb nj\u00eb konference vjetore politike n\u00eb Valdai, nj\u00eb qytet buz\u00eb liqenit midis Mosk\u00ebs dhe Sh\u00ebn Petersburgut, vet\u00eb Putini iu drejtua analistit Karaganov, q\u00eb ishte i pranish\u00ebm n\u00eb sall\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cI kam lexuar t\u00eb gjitha shkrimet e tua\u201d, i tha Presidenti Putin analistit Karaganov. \u201cMendoj se nuk kemi nevoj\u00eb ta godasim NATO-n, por mendoj se kam nevoj\u00eb p\u00ebr alternativa shtes\u00eb kur flitet p\u00ebr p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzim me Shtetet e Bashkuara dhe NATO-n p\u00ebr t\u00eb ruajtur politik\u00ebn e frenimit\u201d,<\/em> thot\u00eb zoti Alberque, duke shtuar se k\u00ebto alternativa p\u00ebrfshijn\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb arm\u00ebt b\u00ebrthamore jostrategjike.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cAta mendojn\u00eb vazhdimisht se \u00e7far\u00eb lloj doze arm\u00ebsh b\u00ebrthamore do t’u duheshin p\u00ebr t\u00eb na b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb pajtohemi, p\u00ebr t\u00eb na b\u00ebr\u00eb n\u00eb thelb t\u00eb k\u00ebrkojm\u00eb paqe, pa e p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzuar konfliktin jasht\u00eb kontrollit t\u00eb tyre, ku ne n\u00eb fakt fillojm\u00eb t\u00eb godasim objektiva thell\u00eb brenda Rusis\u00eb. Pra, n\u00eb thelb, si t\u00eb na pengojn\u00eb q\u00eb t\u00eb godasim Mosk\u00ebn? Si t\u00eb mbahet konflikti n\u00eb nj\u00eb zon\u00eb t\u00eb caktuar?\u201d<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

\u200b\u201cMendoj se ata besojn\u00eb se p\u00ebrdorimi i arm\u00ebve t\u00eb vogla b\u00ebrthamore mund t\u00eb mbahet n\u00ebn kontroll dhe ato mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb dobishme p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb. Pra, kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb ajo q\u00eb ne do ta konsideronim p\u00ebrdorim i arm\u00ebve b\u00ebrthamore p\u00ebr t\u00eb fituar betej\u00ebn, p\u00ebr t\u2019i mbajtur Shtetet e Bashkuara jasht\u00eb hyrjes n\u00eb luftime, p\u00ebr shembull, duke mos na lejuar t\u00eb merrnin p\u00ebrforcimet e Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara nga p\u00ebrtej oqeanit<\/em>\u201d, thot\u00eb p\u00ebr Z\u00ebrin e Amerik\u00ebs zoti Alberque<\/span><\/p>\n

Pas agresionit rus ndaj Ukrain\u00ebs, Sekretari i P\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm i NATO-s, Jens Stoltenberg tha se p\u00ebrdorimi i \u00e7do lloj arme b\u00ebrthamore nga Rusia n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb do ta “ndryshonte rr\u00ebnj\u00ebsisht natyr\u00ebn e konfliktit” dhe do t\u00eb kishte “pasoja”.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusia beson se NATO-ja nuk e ka vendosm\u00ebrin\u00eb p\u00ebr t’u p\u00ebrgjigjur me arm\u00ebt e veta b\u00ebrthamore, sipas raportit nga IISS, i cili thot\u00eb se \u00ebsht\u00eb jetike q\u00eb Per\u00ebndimi ta rikalibroj\u00eb strategjin\u00eb e frenimit b\u00ebrthamor.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cA duhet t\u00eb kemi edhe ne gati t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtat sisteme arm\u00ebsh b\u00ebrthamore jostrategjike? Apo do t\u2019ia b\u00ebjm\u00eb t\u00eb pamundur Rusis\u00eb p\u00ebrdorimin e tyre p\u00ebrmes nj\u00eb sistemi m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb dhe t\u00eb integruar t\u00eb mbrojtjes ajrore dhe nga raketat? K\u00ebto jan\u00eb ato q\u00eb duhet t\u00eb zgjidhim. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb dilem\u00eb e re, apo, ndoshta nj\u00eb dilem\u00eb, t\u00eb cil\u00ebn e kemi injoruar p\u00ebr nj\u00eb koh\u00eb kaq t\u00eb gjat\u00eb\u201d,<\/em> thot\u00eb zoti Alberque p\u00ebr Z\u00ebrin e Amerik\u00ebs.\/VOA<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Humbjet e m\u00ebdha t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb gjat\u00eb agresionin kund\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebs n\u00ebnkuptojn\u00eb q\u00eb Moska tani po i sheh arm\u00ebt taktike b\u00ebrthamore si gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme p\u00ebr t\u00eb frenuar dhe mundur NATO-n, thuhet n\u00eb nj\u00eb raport t\u00eb ri nga Instituti Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar p\u00ebr Studime Strategjike, IISS, me seli n\u00eb Lond\u00ebr, i cili paralajm\u00ebron se Per\u00ebndimi duhet t\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":30,"featured_media":649295,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-649294","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nderkombetare"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/649294","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/30"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=649294"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/649294\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/649295"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=649294"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=649294"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=649294"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}