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M\u00eb 15 qershor, n\u00eb nj\u00eb sall\u00eb konferencash n\u00eb selin\u00eb e NATO-s n\u00eb Bruksel, Sekretari i Mbrojtjes Lloyd Austin, i rrethuar nga komandant\u00ebt e lart\u00eb t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb, u ul rreth nj\u00eb tavoline me homologun e tij ukrainas, t\u00eb cilit iu bashkuan ndihm\u00ebs nga Kievi. Dhoma ishte e r\u00ebnduar nga di\u00e7ka zhg\u00ebnjyese q\u00eb ndihej n\u00eb aj\u00ebr.<\/span><\/p>\n Austin, n\u00eb baritonin e tij t\u00eb q\u00ebllimsh\u00ebm, pyeti ministrin ukrainas t\u00eb Mbrojtjes Oleksii Reznikov p\u00ebr vendimmarrjen e Ukrain\u00ebs n\u00eb dit\u00ebt e hapjes s\u00eb kund\u00ebrofensive t\u00eb saj t\u00eb shum\u00ebpritur, duke e ngacmuar at\u00eb se pse forcat e tij nuk po p\u00ebrdornin pajisje p\u00ebr pastrimin e minave n\u00eb terren t\u00eb furnizuara nga per\u00ebndimi p\u00ebr t\u00eb mund\u00ebsuar p\u00ebrdorimin m\u00eb t\u00eb madh t\u00eb mjeteve t\u00eb mekanizuara e blinduara si tanket e blindat.<\/span><\/p>\n Ose pse nuk p\u00ebrdornin tymin p\u00ebr t\u00eb fshehur p\u00ebrparimet e tyre. Pavar\u00ebsisht linjave t\u00eb thella mbrojt\u00ebse t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb, tha Austin, trupat e Kremlinit nuk ishin t\u00eb pathyeshme.<\/span><\/p>\n Reznikov, nj\u00eb avokat tullac dhe me syze, tha se komandant\u00ebt ushtarak\u00eb t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs ishin ata q\u00eb i merrnin ato vendime. Por ai vuri n\u00eb dukje se automjetet e blinduara t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs po shkat\u00ebrroheshin nga helikopter\u00ebt, dron\u00ebt dhe artileria ruse n\u00eb \u00e7do p\u00ebrpjekje p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrparuar n\u00eb fush\u00ebbetej\u00eb. <\/span><\/p>\n Pa mb\u00ebshtetje ajrore, tha ai, e vetmja mund\u00ebsi ishte p\u00ebrdorimi i artileris\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb bombarduar linjat ruse, p\u00ebr t\u00eb zbritur nga automjetet e blinduara dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb vijuar n\u00eb k\u00ebmb\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n “Ne nuk mund t\u00eb manovrojm\u00eb p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb densitetit t\u00eb minave tok\u00ebsore dhe pritat e tankeve,”<\/em> tha Reznikov, sipas nj\u00eb zyrtari q\u00eb ishte i pranish\u00ebm.<\/span><\/p>\n Oleksii Reznikov, n\u00eb qend\u00ebr, at\u00ebher\u00eb minist\u00ebr i Mbrojtjes i Ukrain\u00ebs, i shoq\u00ebruar nga Sekretari i P\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm i NATO-s Jens Stoltenberg dhe Sekretari i Mbrojtjes i SHBA-s\u00eb Lloyd Austin n\u00eb nj\u00eb konferenc\u00eb n\u00eb Bruksel m\u00eb 15 qershor<\/span><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n Takimi n\u00eb Bruksel, m\u00eb pak se dy jav\u00eb pas fushat\u00ebs, tregon se si nj\u00eb kund\u00ebrofensiv\u00eb nga e cila kishte shum\u00eb shpresa ka d\u00ebshtuar t\u00eb jap\u00eb grushtin e pritsh\u00ebm, duke krijuar f\u00ebrkime dhe hamend\u00ebsime midis Uashingtonit dhe Kievit dhe duke ngritur pyetje m\u00eb t\u00eb thella n\u00eb lidhje me aft\u00ebsin\u00eb e Ukrain\u00ebs p\u00ebr t\u00eb rimarr\u00eb sasi vendimtare territori.<\/span><\/p>\n Nd\u00ebrsa dimri afrohet dhe vijat e frontit ngrijn\u00eb n\u00eb vend, zyrtar\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb ushtarak\u00eb t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs pranojn\u00eb se lufta ka arritur n\u00eb nj\u00eb ng\u00ebr\u00e7.<\/span><\/p>\n Ky ekzaminim i drejtimit t\u00eb kund\u00ebrsulmit t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb regjistruar n\u00eb intervistat me m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 30 zyrtar\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb nga Ukraina, Shtetet e Bashkuara dhe vendet evropiane. Ai ofron njohuri t\u00eb reja dhe holl\u00ebsi t\u00eb paraportuara m\u00eb par\u00eb n\u00eb lidhje me p\u00ebrfshirjen e thell\u00eb t\u00eb Amerik\u00ebs n\u00eb planifikimin ushtarak t\u00eb kund\u00ebrofensiv\u00ebs dhe faktor\u00ebt q\u00eb ndikuan n\u00eb zhg\u00ebnjimet e saj. <\/span><\/p>\n Pjesa e dyt\u00eb e k\u00ebtij rr\u00ebfimi me dy pjes\u00eb shqyrton se si u shpalos beteja n\u00eb terren gjat\u00eb ver\u00ebs dhe vjesht\u00ebs, dhe t\u00eb \u00e7arat n\u00eb rritje midis Uashingtonit dhe Kievit. Disa nga zyrtar\u00ebt fol\u00ebn n\u00eb kushte anonimiteti.<\/span><\/p>\n Elementet kryesore q\u00eb form\u00ebsuan kund\u00ebrsulmin dhe rezultatin fillestar p\u00ebrfshijn\u00eb:<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n Viti filloi me vendosm\u00ebrin\u00eb per\u00ebndimore n\u00eb kulmin e tij, forcat ukrainase me shum\u00eb besim dhe presidenti Volodymyr Zelensky parashikoi nj\u00eb fitore vendimtare. Por tani, ka pasiguri n\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha frontet. Morali n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb po bie. <\/span><\/p>\n V\u00ebmendja nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare \u00ebsht\u00eb zhvendosur n\u00eb Lindjen e Mesme. Edhe n\u00eb mesin e mb\u00ebshtet\u00ebsve t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs, ka nj\u00eb ngurrim politik n\u00eb rritje p\u00ebr t\u00eb kontribuar m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb kauz\u00eb t\u00eb pasigurt. Pothuajse n\u00eb \u00e7do pik\u00eb p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb frontit, pritshm\u00ebrit\u00eb dhe rezultatet kan\u00eb ndryshuar pasi Ukraina \u00ebsht\u00eb zhvendosur n\u00eb nj\u00eb rr\u00ebshqitje t\u00eb ngadalt\u00eb q\u00eb ka rimarr\u00eb vet\u00ebm copa territori.<\/span><\/p>\n “Ne donim rezultate m\u00eb t\u00eb shpejta,”<\/em> tha Zelensky n\u00eb nj\u00eb intervist\u00eb me Associated Press jav\u00ebn e kaluar. \u201cNga kjo perspektiv\u00eb, p\u00ebr fat t\u00eb keq, ne nuk arrit\u00ebm rezultatet e d\u00ebshiruara. Dhe ky \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb fakt.\u201d<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n S\u00eb bashku, t\u00eb gjith\u00eb k\u00ebta faktor\u00eb e b\u00ebjn\u00eb fitoren p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn shum\u00eb m\u00eb pak t\u00eb mundshme sesa vitet e luft\u00ebs dhe shkat\u00ebrrimit.<\/span><\/p>\n Muajt \u200b\u200be tanish\u00ebm aspak bind\u00ebs dhe shkurajues t\u00eb fushat\u00ebs paraqesin pyetje t\u00eb kthjellta p\u00ebr mb\u00ebshtet\u00ebsit per\u00ebndimor\u00eb t\u00eb Kievit p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhmen, pasi Zelensky, i mb\u00ebshtetur nga nj\u00eb shumic\u00eb d\u00ebrrmuese e ukrainasve, zotohet t\u00eb luftoj\u00eb derisa Ukraina t\u00eb rivendos\u00eb kufijt\u00eb e vendosur n\u00eb pavar\u00ebsin\u00eb e saj t\u00eb vitit 1991 nga Bashkimi Sovjetik.<\/span><\/p>\n “Kjo do marr\u00eb vite dhe shum\u00eb gjak,”<\/em> tha nj\u00eb zyrtar britanik i siguris\u00eb, n\u00ebse \u00ebsht\u00eb edhe e mundur.<\/span><\/p>\n \u201cA \u00ebsht\u00eb Ukraina e gatshme p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb? Cilat jan\u00eb implikimet e fuqis\u00eb pun\u00ebtore? Implikimet ekonomike? Implikimet p\u00ebr mb\u00ebshtetjen per\u00ebndimore?\u201d<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n Viti do p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb tani me presidentin rus Vladimir Putin m\u00eb t\u00eb sigurt se kurr\u00eb se ai mund t\u00eb pres\u00eb nj\u00eb Per\u00ebndim t\u00eb paq\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm dhe t\u00eb thith\u00eb plot\u00ebsisht territorin ukrainas tashm\u00eb t\u00eb kapur nga trupat e tij.<\/span><\/p>\n Gjeneral Valery Zaluzhny, n\u00eb qend\u00ebr, komandanti i lart\u00eb ushtarak i Ukrain\u00ebs, me zyrtar\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb ky\u00e7 n\u00eb nj\u00eb ceremoni t\u00eb 24 gushtit n\u00eb Kiev p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrkujtuar 32-vjetorin e Pavar\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs<\/span><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n P\u00ebrgatitja e planit t\u00eb betej\u00ebs<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb nj\u00eb telefonat\u00eb n\u00eb fund t\u00eb vjesht\u00ebs 2022, pasi Kievi kishte fituar p\u00ebrs\u00ebri territorin n\u00eb veri dhe jug, Austin foli me gjeneralin Valery Zaluzhny, komandantin e lart\u00eb ushtarak t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs, dhe e pyeti at\u00eb se \u00e7far\u00eb do i duhej p\u00ebr nj\u00eb ofensiv\u00eb pranverore. Zaluzhny u p\u00ebrgjigj se ai kishte nevoj\u00eb p\u00ebr 1000 automjete t\u00eb blinduara dhe n\u00ebnt\u00eb brigada t\u00eb reja, t\u00eb st\u00ebrvitura n\u00eb Gjermani dhe t\u00eb gatshme p\u00ebr betej\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n “Kam g\u00eblltitur di\u00e7ka q\u00eb po m\u00eb ngec n\u00eb fyt,”<\/em> tha Austin m\u00eb von\u00eb, sipas nj\u00eb zyrtari me njohuri p\u00ebr telefonat\u00ebn.<\/span><\/p>\n “Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb pothuajse e pamundur,”<\/em> u tha ai koleg\u00ebve.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb muajt e par\u00eb t\u00eb vitit 2023, zyrtar\u00ebt ushtarak\u00eb nga Britania, Ukraina dhe Shtetet e Bashkuara p\u00ebrfunduan nj\u00eb seri st\u00ebrvitjesh n\u00eb nj\u00eb baz\u00eb t\u00eb ushtris\u00eb amerikane n\u00eb \u00cbiesbaden, Gjermani, ku oficer\u00ebt ukrainas ishin t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb me nj\u00eb komand\u00eb t\u00eb sapokrijuar p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebse p\u00ebr mb\u00ebshtetjen e luft\u00ebs s\u00eb Kievit.<\/span><\/p>\n Sekuenca e tet\u00eb st\u00ebrvitjeve t\u00eb nivelit t\u00eb lart\u00eb n\u00eb tavolin\u00eb formoi shtyll\u00ebn kurrizore p\u00ebr p\u00ebrpjekjet e mund\u00ebsuara nga SHBA p\u00ebr t\u00eb zhvilluar nj\u00eb plan t\u00eb zbatuesh\u00ebm, t\u00eb holl\u00ebsish\u00ebm t\u00eb fushat\u00ebs dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrcaktuar se \u00e7far\u00eb do duhej t\u00eb siguronin kombet per\u00ebndimore p\u00ebr t’i dh\u00ebn\u00eb asaj mjetet p\u00ebr t\u00eb pasur sukses.<\/span><\/p>\n “Ne mblodh\u00ebm t\u00eb gjith\u00eb aleat\u00ebt dhe partner\u00ebt s\u00eb bashku dhe me t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb i shtr\u00ebnguam fort p\u00ebr t\u00eb marr\u00eb automjete shtes\u00eb t\u00eb mekanizuara,”<\/em> tha nj\u00eb zyrtar i lart\u00eb i mbrojtjes amerikane.<\/span><\/p>\n Gjat\u00eb simulimeve, secila prej t\u00eb cilave zgjati disa dit\u00eb, pjes\u00ebmarr\u00ebsit u caktuan t\u00eb luanin rolin ose t\u00eb forcave ruse – aft\u00ebsit\u00eb dhe sjellja e t\u00eb cilave u informuan nga inteligjenca ukrainase dhe aleate – ose trupat dhe komandant\u00ebt ukrainas, performanca e t\u00eb cil\u00ebve ishte e kufizuar nga realiteti me t\u00eb cilin do p\u00ebrballeshin, me kufizime serioze n\u00eb fuqi pun\u00ebtore dhe municione.<\/span><\/p>\n Planifikuesit i zhvilluan st\u00ebrvitjet duke p\u00ebrdorur softuer t\u00eb specializuar p\u00ebr loj\u00ebra lufte dhe tabela Excel dhe, ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb, thjesht duke l\u00ebvizur copat n\u00eb nj\u00eb hart\u00eb. Simulimet p\u00ebrfshinin ushtrime me p\u00ebrb\u00ebr\u00ebs \u00a0m\u00eb t\u00eb vegj\u00ebl ku secila p\u00ebrqendrohej n\u00eb nj\u00eb element t\u00eb ve\u00e7ant\u00eb t\u00eb betej\u00ebs – operacione sulmuese ose logjistik\u00eb. M\u00eb pas, p\u00ebrfundimet u kthyen n\u00eb planin e fushat\u00ebs n\u00eb zhvillim.<\/span><\/p>\n Zyrtar\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb gjeneralin Mark A. Milley, at\u00ebher\u00eb kryetar i Shtabit t\u00eb P\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb, dhe \u00a0Gjeneral Kolonelin Oleksandr Syrsky, komandant i forcave tok\u00ebsore t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs, mor\u00ebn pjes\u00eb n\u00eb disa nga simulimet dhe u informuan mbi rezultatet.<\/span><\/p>\n Gjeneral Kolonel Oleksandr Syrsky, komandant i forcave tok\u00ebsore t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs, i cili ndoqi disa nga loj\u00ebrat e luft\u00ebs n\u00eb Gjermani, planifikoi kund\u00ebrsulmin e Ukrain\u00ebs<\/em><\/span><\/p><\/div>\n Gjat\u00eb nj\u00eb vizite n\u00eb Wiesbaden, Milley foli me trupat e operacioneve speciale ukrainase – t\u00eb cil\u00ebt po punonin me Beretat e Gjelb\u00ebrta Amerikane – me shpres\u00ebn p\u00ebr t’i frym\u00ebzuar ata p\u00ebrpara operacioneve n\u00eb zonat e kontrolluara nga armiku.<\/span><\/p>\n “Nuk duhet t\u00eb ket\u00eb asnj\u00eb rus q\u00eb shkon t\u00eb flej\u00eb pa e pyetur veten n\u00ebse mund t’i pritet fyti n\u00eb mes t\u00eb nat\u00ebs,”<\/em> tha Milley, sipas nj\u00eb zyrtari me njohuri p\u00ebr ngjarjen.<\/span><\/p>\n “Duhet t\u00eb ktheheni atje dhe t\u00eb krijoni nj\u00eb fushat\u00eb lufte guerrile prapa linjave.”<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n Zyrtar\u00ebt ukrainas shpresonin se ofensiva mund t\u00eb rikrijonte suksesin e vjesht\u00ebs s\u00eb vitit 2022, kur ata rimor\u00ebn pjes\u00eb t\u00eb rajonit t\u00eb Kharkiv n\u00eb verilindje dhe qytetin e Khersonit n\u00eb jug, n\u00eb nj\u00eb fushat\u00eb q\u00eb befasoi edhe mb\u00ebshtet\u00ebsit m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdhenj t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs. P\u00ebrs\u00ebri, fokusi i tyre do ishte n\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se nj\u00eb vend.<\/span><\/p>\n Por zyrtar\u00ebt per\u00ebndimor\u00eb than\u00eb se simulimet e luft\u00ebs konfirmuan vler\u00ebsimin e tyre se Ukrain\u00ebs do t’i sh\u00ebrbente m\u00eb s\u00eb miri duke p\u00ebrqendruar forcat e saj n\u00eb nj\u00eb objektiv t\u00eb vet\u00ebm strategjik – nj\u00eb sulm masiv p\u00ebrmes zonave t\u00eb kontrolluara nga Rusia deri n\u00eb Detin Azov, duke shk\u00ebputur rrug\u00ebn tok\u00ebsore t\u00eb Kremlinit nga Rusia n\u00eb Krime, nj\u00eb linj\u00eb shum\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme furnizimi.<\/span><\/p>\n Provat i dhan\u00eb Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara mund\u00ebsin\u00eb p\u00ebr t’u th\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb disa pika ukrainasve: “Ne e dim\u00eb q\u00eb ju v\u00ebrtet v\u00ebrtet d\u00ebshironi ta b\u00ebni k\u00ebt\u00eb, por nuk do funksionoj\u00eb,”<\/em> tha nj\u00eb ish-zyrtar amerikan.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb fund t\u00eb dit\u00ebs, megjithat\u00eb, do ishin Zelensky, Zaluzhny dhe lider\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb ukrainas q\u00eb do merrnin vendimin, vuri n\u00eb dukje ish-zyrtari.<\/span><\/p>\n Zyrtar\u00ebt u p\u00ebrpoq\u00ebn t\u00eb caktonin probabilitete p\u00ebr skenar\u00eb t\u00eb ndrysh\u00ebm, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb nj\u00eb kapitullim rus – i konsideruar si nj\u00eb “gjas\u00eb shum\u00eb e ul\u00ebt” – ose nj\u00eb penges\u00eb e madhe ukrainase q\u00eb do krijonte nj\u00eb hapje p\u00ebr nj\u00eb kund\u00ebrsulm t\u00eb madh rus – gjithashtu nj\u00eb probabilitet i vog\u00ebl.<\/span><\/p>\n “At\u00ebher\u00eb ajo q\u00eb keni \u00ebsht\u00eb realiteti n\u00eb mes, me shkall\u00eb suksesi,”<\/em> tha nj\u00eb zyrtar britanik.<\/span><\/p>\n Skenari m\u00eb optimist p\u00ebr prerjen e ur\u00ebs tok\u00ebsore ishte 60 deri n\u00eb 90 dit\u00eb. St\u00ebrvitjet parashikuan gjithashtu nj\u00eb luft\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb dhe t\u00eb p\u00ebrgjakshme, me humbje t\u00eb ushtar\u00ebve dhe pajisjeve deri n\u00eb 30 deri n\u00eb 40 p\u00ebr qind, sipas zyrtar\u00ebve amerikan\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Oficer\u00ebt ushtarak\u00eb amerikan\u00eb kishin par\u00eb q\u00eb viktimat ishin shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta se sa ishte parashikuar n\u00eb betejat kryesore t\u00eb Irakut dhe Afganistanit. Ata i konsideruan vler\u00ebsimet nj\u00eb pik\u00ebnisje p\u00ebr planifikimin e kujdesit mjek\u00ebsor dhe evakuimin e fush\u00ebbetej\u00ebs, n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb humbjet t\u00eb mos arrijn\u00eb kurr\u00eb nivelet e parashikuara.<\/span><\/p>\n Numrat \u201cmund t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb qart\u00eb\u201d, tha zyrtari i lart\u00eb i mbrojtjes amerikane.<\/span><\/p>\n “Por ato kurr\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb aq t\u00eb larta sa parashikohet, sepse ne e dim\u00eb se duhet t\u00eb b\u00ebjm\u00eb gj\u00ebra p\u00ebr t’u siguruar q\u00eb do ndodh\u00eb.”<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n Zyrtar\u00ebt amerikan\u00eb gjithashtu besonin se m\u00eb shum\u00eb trupa ukrainase do vriteshin p\u00ebrfundimisht n\u00ebse Kievi nuk arrinte t\u00eb kryente nj\u00eb sulm vendimtar dhe konflikti do kthehej n\u00eb nj\u00eb luft\u00eb t\u00eb zgjatur.<\/span><\/p>\n Por ata e pranuan delikates\u00ebn e sugjerimit t\u00eb nj\u00eb strategjie q\u00eb do sillte humbje t\u00eb konsiderueshme, pavar\u00ebsisht nga shifra p\u00ebrfundimtare.<\/span><\/p>\n “Ishte e leht\u00eb p\u00ebr ne t’u thoshim atyre n\u00eb nj\u00eb st\u00ebrvitje n\u00eb tavolin\u00eb, ‘Mir\u00eb, ju duhet vet\u00ebm t\u00eb p\u00ebrendroheni n\u00eb nj\u00eb vend dhe t\u00eb shtyni shum\u00eb fort’,”<\/em> tha nj\u00eb zyrtar i lart\u00eb amerikan.<\/span><\/p>\n \u201cAta do humbnin shum\u00eb njer\u00ebz dhe do humbnin shum\u00eb pajisje.\u201d<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n K\u00ebto zgjedhje, tha zyrtari i lart\u00eb, b\u00ebhen “shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e betej\u00ebs”.<\/span><\/p>\n P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb, nj\u00eb zyrtar i lart\u00eb ushtarak ukrainas ra dakord. Loj\u00ebrat e luft\u00ebs “nuk funksionojn\u00eb”, tha zyrtari n\u00eb retrospektiv\u00eb, pjes\u00ebrisht p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb teknologjis\u00eb s\u00eb re q\u00eb po shnd\u00ebrronte fush\u00ebn e betej\u00ebs. <\/span><\/p>\n Ushtar\u00ebt ukrainas po b\u00ebnin nj\u00eb luft\u00eb ndryshe nga \u00e7do gj\u00eb q\u00eb kishin p\u00ebrjetuar forcat e NATO-s: Nj\u00eb konflikt i madh konvencional, me llogore t\u00eb stilit t\u00eb Luft\u00ebs s\u00eb Par\u00eb Bot\u00ebrorre, t\u00eb mbuluara nga dron\u00ebt e gjith\u00ebpranish\u00ebm dhe mjete t\u00eb tjera futuriste – dhe pa ep\u00ebrsin\u00eb ajrore q\u00eb ushtria amerikane ka pasur n\u00eb \u00e7do konflikt modern q\u00eb ka luftuar.<\/span><\/p>\n “T\u00eb gjitha k\u00ebto metoda…mund t’i marr\u00ebsh dhe t’i hedh\u00ebsh tutje, e dnii?”<\/em>, tha nj\u00eb zyrtar i lart\u00eb ukrainas p\u00ebr skenar\u00ebt e loj\u00ebrave t\u00eb luft\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n “Dhe do i hedhim ato sepse nuk funksionon k\u00ebshtu tani.”<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n Qyteti i rr\u00ebnuar lindor i Bakhmutit, t\u00eb cilin zyrtar\u00ebt ukrainas k\u00ebmb\u00ebngul\u00ebn ta p\u00ebrfshinin n\u00eb kund\u00ebrofensiv\u00eb, nga frika se Rusia do merrte nj\u00eb p\u00ebrpar\u00ebsi m\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb atje<\/em><\/span><\/p><\/div>\n Mosmarr\u00ebveshjet rreth dislokimeve<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Amerikan\u00ebt kishin v\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb pik\u00ebpyetje prej koh\u00ebsh men\u00e7urin\u00eb e vendimit t\u00eb Kievit p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbajtur forcat rreth qytetit t\u00eb rrethuar lindor t\u00eb Bakhmutit.<\/span><\/p>\n Ukrainasit e pan\u00eb ndryshe.<\/span><\/p>\n “Bakhmut do q\u00ebndroj\u00eb” ishte b\u00ebr\u00eb stenografi p\u00ebr krenarin\u00eb n\u00eb rezistenc\u00ebn e ashp\u00ebr t\u00eb trupave t\u00eb tyre kund\u00ebr nj\u00eb armiku m\u00eb t\u00eb madh. P\u00ebr muaj t\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00eb, artileria ruse dhe ukrainase e kishin pluhurosur qytetin. Ushtar\u00ebt vran\u00eb dhe plagos\u00ebn nj\u00ebri-tjetrin me mij\u00ebra p\u00ebr t\u00eb kapur territore t\u00eb vogla n\u00eb blloqet e qytetit.<\/span><\/p>\n Qyteti m\u00eb n\u00eb fund ra n\u00eb duart e Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb maj.<\/span><\/p>\n Zelensky, i mb\u00ebshtetur nga komandanti i tij i lart\u00eb, q\u00ebndroi i vendosur n\u00eb lidhje me nevoj\u00ebn p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbajtur nj\u00eb prani t\u00eb madhe rreth Bakhmutit dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb goditur forcat ruse atje si pjes\u00eb e kund\u00ebrofensive. P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb q\u00ebllim, Zaluzhny mbajti m\u00eb shum\u00eb forca pran\u00eb Bakhmutit sesa n\u00eb jug, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb nj\u00ebsit\u00eb m\u00eb me p\u00ebrvoj\u00eb t\u00eb vendit, v\u00ebzhguan me zhg\u00ebnjim zyrtar\u00ebt amerikan\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Zyrtar\u00ebt ukrainas argumentuan se ata duhej t\u00eb mbanin nj\u00eb prani t\u00eb fort\u00eb n\u00eb zon\u00ebn e Bakhmutit, sepse p\u00ebrndryshe Rusia do p\u00ebrpiqej t\u00eb ripushtonte pjes\u00eb t\u00eb rajonit t\u00eb Kharkiv dhe t\u00eb p\u00ebrparonte n\u00eb Donetsk – nj\u00eb objektiv kryesor p\u00ebr Putinin, i cili d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb pushtoj\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb at\u00eb rajon.<\/span><\/p>\n \u201cNe u tham\u00eb amerikan\u00ebve: \u2018N\u00ebse do merrnit vendet e gjeneral\u00ebve tan\u00eb, do shihni se n\u00ebse nuk e b\u00ebjm\u00eb Bakhmutin nj\u00eb pik\u00eb p\u00ebrplasjeje, rus\u00ebt do e b\u00ebjn\u00eb\u201d<\/em>, tha nj\u00eb zyrtar i lart\u00eb ukrainas.<\/span><\/p>\n “Ne nuk mund ta lejojm\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb.”<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n P\u00ebrve\u00e7 k\u00ebsaj, Zaluzhny parashikoi ta b\u00ebnte gjat\u00ebsin\u00eb e frikshme t\u00eb frontit prej 965 kilometrash nj\u00eb problem p\u00ebr Rusin\u00eb, sipas zyrtarit t\u00eb lart\u00eb britanik. Gjenerali ukrainas donte t\u00eb shp\u00ebrndante forc\u00ebn pushtuese shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb – e panjohur me terrenin dhe tashm\u00eb p\u00ebrball\u00eb sfidave me moralin dhe logjistik\u00ebn – p\u00ebr t\u00eb zbehur fuqin\u00eb e saj luftarake.<\/span><\/p>\n Zyrtar\u00ebt per\u00ebndimor\u00eb pan\u00eb probleme me k\u00ebt\u00eb qasje, e cila gjithashtu do zvog\u00eblonte fuqin\u00eb e zjarrit t\u00eb ushtris\u00eb s\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs n\u00eb \u00e7do pik\u00eb t\u00eb vetme sulmi. Doktrina ushtarake per\u00ebndimore diktoi nj\u00eb shtytje t\u00eb p\u00ebrqendruar drejt nj\u00eb objektivi t\u00eb vet\u00ebm.<\/span><\/p>\n Megjithat\u00eb, amerikan\u00ebt u dor\u00ebzuan.<\/span><\/p>\n \u201cAta e njohin terrenin. Ata i njohin rus\u00ebt\u201d<\/em>, tha nj\u00eb zyrtar i lart\u00eb amerikan.<\/span><\/p>\n \u201cNuk \u00ebsht\u00eb lufta jon\u00eb. Dhe na u desh t\u00eb bindeshim p\u00ebrs\u00ebri n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb.\u201d<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n Prodhimi i predhave t\u00eb artileris\u00eb 155 mm n\u00eb shkurt n\u00eb Uzin\u00ebn e Municioneve t\u00eb Ushtris\u00eb Scranton n\u00eb Pensilvani. Prodhimi amerikan nuk mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrmbushte nevojat e parashikuara t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs<\/em><\/span><\/p><\/div>\n Arm\u00ebt q\u00eb i duheshin Kievit<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n M\u00eb 3 shkurt, Jake Sullivan, k\u00ebshilltari p\u00ebr sigurin\u00eb komb\u00ebtare i Presidentit Biden, thirri s\u00eb bashku zyrtar\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb administrat\u00ebs s\u00eb siguris\u00eb komb\u00ebtare p\u00ebr t\u00eb rishikuar planin kund\u00ebrsulmues.<\/span><\/p>\n Dhoma n\u00ebntok\u00ebsore e Sht\u00ebpis\u00eb s\u00eb Bardh\u00eb po rinovohej, k\u00ebshtu q\u00eb nivelet m\u00eb t\u00eb larta t\u00eb departamenteve t\u00eb Shtetit, Mbrojtjes dhe Thesarit, s\u00eb bashku me CIA-n, u mblodh\u00ebn n\u00eb nj\u00eb dhom\u00eb t\u00eb sigurt konferencash n\u00eb nd\u00ebrtes\u00ebn ngjitur t\u00eb Zyr\u00ebs Ekzekutive Eisenhower.<\/span><\/p>\n Shumica ishin tashm\u00eb t\u00eb njohur me qasjen trepal\u00ebshe t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs. Q\u00ebllimi ishte q\u00eb k\u00ebshilltar\u00ebt e lart\u00eb t\u00eb Biden t’i shprehnin miratimin ose rezervat e tyre nj\u00ebri-tjetrit dhe t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqeshin t\u00eb arrinin konsensus mbi k\u00ebshillat e tyre t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebta p\u00ebr presidentin.<\/span><\/p>\n Pyetjet e b\u00ebra nga Sullivan ishin t\u00eb thjeshta, tha nj\u00eb person q\u00eb mori pjes\u00eb. S\u00eb pari, a mundet Uashingtoni dhe partner\u00ebt e tij ta p\u00ebrgatisin me sukses Ukrain\u00ebn p\u00ebr t\u00eb thyer mbrojtjen e fortifikuar t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb?<\/span><\/p>\n Dhe pastaj, edhe n\u00ebse ukrainasit ishin t\u00eb p\u00ebrgatitur, “a mund ta b\u00ebnin ata n\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb?”<\/span><\/p>\n Jake Sullivan, k\u00ebshilltari i siguris\u00eb komb\u00ebtare i Presidentit Biden, i cili udh\u00ebhoqi zyrtar\u00ebt e lart\u00eb t\u00eb administrat\u00ebs n\u00eb rishikimin e planit kund\u00ebrsulmues n\u00eb p\u00ebrgatitje p\u00ebr informimin e presidentit<\/em><\/span><\/p><\/div>\n Milley, me hartat e tij t\u00eb gjelbra gjithnj\u00eb t\u00eb gatshme t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs, shfaqi qasjet e mundshme t\u00eb sulmit dhe vendosjen e forcave ukrainase dhe ruse. Ai dhe Austin shpjeguan p\u00ebrfundimin e tyre se “Ukraina, p\u00ebr t\u00eb qen\u00eb e suksesshme, duhej t\u00eb luftonte n\u00eb nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb tjet\u00ebr,” kujtoi nj\u00eb zyrtar i lart\u00eb i administrat\u00ebs i p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb ngusht\u00eb n\u00eb planifikim.<\/span><\/p>\n Ushtria e Ukrain\u00ebs, pas shp\u00ebrb\u00ebrjes s\u00eb Bashkimit Sovjetik, ishte b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb forc\u00eb mbrojt\u00ebse. Q\u00eb nga viti 2014, ajo ishte p\u00ebrqendruar n\u00eb nj\u00eb luft\u00eb t\u00eb ashp\u00ebr, por t\u00eb nivelit t\u00eb ul\u00ebt kund\u00ebr forcave t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetura nga Rusia n\u00eb rajonin lindor t\u00eb Donbasit. P\u00ebr t\u00eb orkestruar nj\u00eb p\u00ebrparim n\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb do k\u00ebrkonte nj\u00eb ndryshim t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm n\u00eb struktur\u00ebn e forc\u00ebs dhe taktikat e tij.<\/span><\/p>\n Planifikimi k\u00ebrkonte nj\u00eb st\u00ebrvitje m\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb dhe m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb per\u00ebndimore, q\u00eb deri n\u00eb at\u00eb pik\u00eb ishte p\u00ebrqendruar n\u00eb m\u00ebsimin e grupeve t\u00eb vogla dhe individ\u00ebve t\u00eb p\u00ebrdornin arm\u00ebt e siguruara nga per\u00ebndimi.<\/span><\/p>\n Mij\u00ebra trupa do udh\u00ebzoheshin n\u00eb Gjermani n\u00eb formacione t\u00eb m\u00ebdha dhe manovra t\u00eb stilit amerikan n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e betej\u00ebs, parimet e t\u00eb cilave datonin n\u00eb Luft\u00ebn e Dyt\u00eb Bot\u00ebrore. P\u00ebr trupat amerikane, st\u00ebrvitja n\u00eb ato q\u00eb njiheshin si operacione t\u00eb “arm\u00ebve t\u00eb kombinuara” shpesh zgjati m\u00eb shum\u00eb se nj\u00eb vit. Plani i Ukrain\u00ebs propozoi ta kondensoj\u00eb at\u00eb n\u00eb disa muaj.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb vend q\u00eb t\u00eb gjuanin artileri, m\u00eb pas t\u00eb “ecnin p\u00ebrpara” dhe t\u00eb gjuanin m\u00eb shum\u00eb, ukrainasit do “luftonin dhe gjuanin n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb”, me brigada t\u00eb sapost\u00ebrvitura q\u00eb do l\u00ebviznin p\u00ebrpara me mjete t\u00eb blinduara dhe mb\u00ebshtetje artilerie “n\u00eb nj\u00eb lloj m\u00ebnyre simfonike” tha zyrtari i lart\u00eb i administrat\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n Administrata Biden njoftoi n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb janarit se do d\u00ebrgonte automjete luftarake Bradley; Britania pranoi t\u00eb transferonte 14 tanke Challenger. M\u00eb von\u00eb at\u00eb muaj, pas nj\u00eb njoftimi t\u00eb hidhur t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb se do siguronte tanke m\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrparuar Abrams M1 deri n\u00eb vjesht\u00eb, Gjermania dhe vendet e tjera t\u00eb NATO-s premtuan qindra tanke Leopard t\u00eb prodhimit gjerman, n\u00eb koh\u00eb p\u00ebr kund\u00ebrofensiv\u00ebn.<\/span><\/p>\n Nj\u00eb problem shum\u00eb m\u00eb i madh ishte furnizimi me predha artilerie 155 mm, t\u00eb cilat do t’i mund\u00ebsonin Ukrain\u00ebs t\u00eb konkurronte me arsenalin e madh t\u00eb artileris\u00eb s\u00eb Rusis\u00eb. Pentagoni llogariti se Kievit i duheshin 90,000 cop\u00eb ose m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb muaj. Nd\u00ebrsa prodhimi i SHBA-s\u00eb po rritej, nuk kapte ende m\u00eb shum\u00eb se nj\u00eb t\u00eb dhjet\u00ebn e numrit.<\/span><\/p>\n “Ishte thjesht matematik\u00eb,”<\/em> tha ish-zyrtari i lart\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n “N\u00eb nj\u00eb \u00e7ast t\u00eb caktuar, ne thjesht nuk do ishim n\u00eb gjendje t’i siguronim ato.”<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n Sullivan parashtroi mund\u00ebsi t\u00eb tjera. Koreja e Jugut kishte sasi masive t\u00eb municioneve t\u00eb ofruara nga SHBA-ja, por ligjet e saj ndalonin d\u00ebrgimin e arm\u00ebve n\u00eb zonat e luft\u00ebs. Pentagoni llogariti se rreth 330,000 predha 155 mm mund t\u00eb transferoheshin nga ajri dhe deti brenda 41 dit\u00ebve n\u00ebse Seuli mund t\u00eb bindej.<\/span><\/p>\n Zyrtar\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb administrat\u00ebs kishin folur me homolog\u00ebt n\u00eb Seul, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt ishin t\u00eb hapur p\u00ebr sa koh\u00eb q\u00eb dispozita ishte indirekte. Predhat filluan t\u00eb rrjedhin n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb vitit, duke e b\u00ebr\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimisht Koren\u00eb e Jugut nj\u00eb furnizues m\u00eb t\u00eb madh t\u00eb municioneve t\u00eb artileris\u00eb p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn sesa t\u00eb gjitha kombet evropiane s\u00eb bashku.<\/span><\/p>\n Alternativa m\u00eb e menj\u00ebhershme do p\u00ebrfshinte furnizimin e arsenalit t\u00eb ushtris\u00eb amerikane t\u00eb predhave 155 mm, t\u00eb cilat, ndryshe nga varianti i Kores\u00eb s\u00eb Jugut, ishin t\u00eb mbushura me municione th\u00ebrrmuese. Pentagoni kishte mij\u00ebra prej tyre, q\u00eb kishin z\u00ebn\u00eb pluhur p\u00ebr dekada. Por Sekretari i Shtetit Antony Blinken nuk e pranoi.<\/span><\/p>\n Brenda kokave t\u00eb k\u00ebtyre predhave, t\u00eb njohura zyrtarisht si Municione Konvencionale t\u00eb P\u00ebrmir\u00ebsuara me Q\u00ebllime t\u00eb Dyfishta, ose DPICM, ishin dhjet\u00ebra bomba q\u00eb do shp\u00ebrndaheshin n\u00eb nj\u00eb zon\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb. <\/span><\/p>\n Disa do d\u00ebshtonin n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb pashmangshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb shp\u00ebrthyer, duke paraqitur nj\u00eb rrezik afatgjat\u00eb p\u00ebr civil\u00ebt, dhe 120 vende – duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb shumic\u00ebn e aleat\u00ebve t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb, por jo Ukrain\u00ebn apo Rusin\u00eb – kishin n\u00ebnshkruar nj\u00eb traktat q\u00eb i ndalonte ato. D\u00ebrgimi i tyre do t’i kushtonte Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara nj\u00eb kapital moral n\u00eb nivelin e luft\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n P\u00ebrball\u00eb kund\u00ebrshtimeve t\u00eb forta t\u00eb Blinken, Sullivan paraqiti shqyrtimin e DPICM-ve. Ata nuk do t’i referoheshin Bidenit p\u00ebr miratim, t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn tani p\u00ebr tani.<\/span><\/p>\n Presidenti ukrainas Volodymyr Zelensky ishte mburrur n\u00eb shkurt se viti 2023 do ishte nj\u00eb \u201cvit fitoreje\u201d. Deri n\u00eb maj, kur u b\u00eb kjo foto, kund\u00ebrofensiva nuk kishte filluar ende, pavar\u00ebsisht shpresave t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb<\/span><\/em><\/p><\/div>\n A mund t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb Ukraina?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n Me grupin q\u00eb ra dakord q\u00eb Shtetet e Bashkuara dhe aleat\u00ebt mund t\u00eb siguronin at\u00eb q\u00eb ata besonin se ishin furnizimet dhe st\u00ebrvitja e nevojshme p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn, Sullivan u p\u00ebrball me pjes\u00ebn e dyt\u00eb t\u00eb ekuacionit: A mund t\u00eb kishte sukses Ukraina?<\/span><\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/reznikov.png\")
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