{"id":624813,"date":"2023-10-19T17:00:30","date_gmt":"2023-10-19T15:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/?p=624813"},"modified":"2023-10-19T17:00:30","modified_gmt":"2023-10-19T15:00:30","slug":"banka-boterore-cmimet-e-larta-kontratat-ppp-dhe-fatkeqesite-natyrore-rrezikojne-perspektiven-ekonomike-te-shqiperise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/2023\/10\/19\/banka-boterore-cmimet-e-larta-kontratat-ppp-dhe-fatkeqesite-natyrore-rrezikojne-perspektiven-ekonomike-te-shqiperise\/","title":{"rendered":"Banka Bot\u00ebrore: \u00c7mimet e larta, kontratat PPP dhe fatkeq\u00ebsit\u00eb natyrore rrezikojn\u00eb perspektiv\u00ebn ekonomike t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

Rritjet e m\u00ebtejshme t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb ushqimeve dhe energjis\u00eb shihen si nj\u00eb rrezik i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm p\u00ebr rritjen ekonomike t\u00eb vendit dhe uljen e varf\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, lajm\u00ebroi sot Banka Bot\u00ebrore n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet raportit t\u00eb rregullt rajonal \u201cDrejt rritjes s\u00eb Q\u00ebndrueshme\u201d, n\u00eb t\u00eb cilin u vler\u00ebsuan si rreziqe potenciale p\u00ebr perspektiven e kontratat koncesionar\u00eb PPP dhe fatkeq\u00ebsit\u00eb natyrore.<\/span><\/p>\n

Banka analizoi se \u00e7mimet e larta ndikojn\u00eb negativisht n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurat reale t\u00eb disponueshme dhe ngadal\u00ebsojn\u00eb uljen e varf\u00ebris\u00eb dhe potencialisht kufizojn\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00ebn fiskale.<\/span><\/p>\n

Si nj\u00eb ekonomi e vog\u00ebl dhe e hapur, Shqip\u00ebria \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e ekspozuar ndaj goditjeve t\u00eb jashtme, si recesioni n\u00eb Europ\u00eb dhe shtr\u00ebngimi i m\u00ebtejsh\u00ebm i kushteve t\u00eb financimit n\u00eb tregjet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare n\u00eb vitet n\u00eb vijim. Nd\u00ebrsa si rreziqe t\u00eb brendshme potenciale konsiderohen fatkeq\u00ebsit\u00eb natyrore, partneritetet publike-private dhe nd\u00ebrmarrjet shtet\u00ebrore, si dhe rreziqet fiskale q\u00eb rrjedhin nga nj\u00eb sektor energjetik i bazuar n\u00eb hidrocentrale, t\u00eb cilat varen kryesisht nga ndryshimet n\u00eb kushtet hidrologjike.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb kontekstin e shtr\u00ebngimit t\u00eb kushteve financiare n\u00eb tregjet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare dhe rritjes s\u00eb kufizuar ekonomike n\u00eb Europ\u00eb, rritja e PBB-s\u00eb pritet t\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsohet n\u00eb 3.6 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb vitin 2023. Megjithat\u00eb, rritja e sektor\u00ebve t\u00eb turizmit dhe nd\u00ebrtimit pritet t\u00eb nxis\u00eb eksportet, konsumin dhe rritjen e investimeve me ritme t\u00eb ngjashme me periudh\u00ebn para pandemis\u00eb, referoi BB, n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb. Kontributi i p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm i investimeve n\u00eb rritjen ekonomike pritet t\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsohet, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb efektit t\u00eb baz\u00ebs shum\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb krahasuese dhe p\u00ebrfundimit t\u00eb programeve p\u00ebr rind\u00ebrtimin pas t\u00ebrmetit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Norma e inflacionit parashikohet t\u00eb filloj\u00eb t\u00eb kthehet n\u00eb objektivin prej 3 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb vitin 2024. Bilanci primar pritet t\u00eb arrij\u00eb n\u00eb 0.1 p\u00ebr qind t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2023 dhe t\u00eb q\u00ebndroj\u00eb pozitiv n\u00eb p\u00ebrputhje me rregullin fiskal. N\u00eb an\u00ebn e shpenzimeve pritet konsolidim fiskal. P\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhurat, qeveria planifikon t\u00eb prezantoj\u00eb masa t\u00eb m\u00ebtejshme t\u00eb politik\u00ebs tatimore, si\u00e7 parashikohet n\u00eb Strategjin\u00eb Afatmesme p\u00ebr t\u00eb Ardhurat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Borxhi publik pritet t\u00eb vijoj\u00eb r\u00ebnien gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs afatmesme, si rezultat i rritjes m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb nominale dhe p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsimit gradual t\u00eb bilancit primar. Duke pasur parasysh var\u00ebsin\u00eb n\u00eb rritje t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb nga financimi i jasht\u00ebm, rreziqet q\u00eb lidhen me kursin e k\u00ebmbimit, norm\u00ebn e interesit dhe rifinancimin mbeten t\u00eb larta.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pozicioni fiskal i qeveris\u00eb u p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsua n\u00eb gjysm\u00ebn e par\u00eb t\u00eb vitit 2023. Qeveria sh\u00ebnoi nj\u00eb suficit t\u00eb lart\u00eb si rezultat i rritjes s\u00eb fort\u00eb t\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave dhe shpenzimeve m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta. T\u00eb ardhurat nga grantet dhan\u00eb kontributin m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb n\u00eb rritjen e totalit t\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave (14.5 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb terma vjetor\u00eb, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb disbursimeve t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb), t\u00eb ndjekura nga t\u00eb ardhurat nga kontributet e sigurimeve shoq\u00ebrore dhe t\u00eb ardhurat nga tatimi mbi t\u00eb ardhurat personale, duke reflektuar rritjen e pag\u00ebs minimale t\u00eb detyrueshme.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rritja e shpenzimeve ishte relativisht e vog\u00ebl me 3.4 p\u00ebr qind (n\u00eb terma vjetor\u00eb), por ritmi i rritjes pritet t\u00eb p\u00ebrshpejtohet gjat\u00eb gjasht\u00ebmujorit t\u00eb dyt\u00eb t\u00eb vitit 2023 p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb rritjes s\u00eb shpenzimeve kapitale. Me nj\u00eb deficit t\u00eb parashikuar prej 2.5 p\u00ebr qind t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2023, borxhi publik pritet t\u00eb arrij\u00eb n\u00eb 63.4 p\u00ebr qind t\u00eb PBBs\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2023, nga 65.1 p\u00ebr qind e PBBs\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n

VINI RE<\/span>: Ky material \u00ebsht\u00eb pron\u00ebsi intelektuale e Monitor<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rritjet e m\u00ebtejshme t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb ushqimeve dhe energjis\u00eb shihen si nj\u00eb rrezik i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm p\u00ebr rritjen ekonomike t\u00eb vendit dhe uljen e varf\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, lajm\u00ebroi sot Banka Bot\u00ebrore n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet raportit t\u00eb rregullt rajonal \u201cDrejt rritjes s\u00eb Q\u00ebndrueshme\u201d, n\u00eb t\u00eb cilin u vler\u00ebsuan si rreziqe potenciale p\u00ebr perspektiven e kontratat koncesionar\u00eb PPP dhe fatkeq\u00ebsit\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":30,"featured_media":624814,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[65],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-624813","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lajme"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/624813","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/30"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=624813"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/624813\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/624814"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=624813"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=624813"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=624813"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}