{"id":610329,"date":"2023-08-10T16:27:16","date_gmt":"2023-08-10T14:27:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/?p=610329"},"modified":"2023-08-10T16:27:16","modified_gmt":"2023-08-10T14:27:16","slug":"bsh-forcimi-i-lekut-e-ka-ulur-inflacionin-me-2-5-pike-i-ka-kursyer-ekonomise-92-miliarde-leke-ne-dy-vjet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/2023\/08\/10\/bsh-forcimi-i-lekut-e-ka-ulur-inflacionin-me-2-5-pike-i-ka-kursyer-ekonomise-92-miliarde-leke-ne-dy-vjet\/","title":{"rendered":"BSH: Forcimi i Lekut e ka ulur inflacionin me 2.5 pik\u00eb, i ka kursyer ekonomis\u00eb 92 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb n\u00eb dy vjet","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"

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P\u00ebrmir\u00ebsimi i bilancit t\u00eb jasht\u00ebm t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb shqiptare \u00ebsht\u00eb faktori kryesor q\u00eb ka sjell\u00eb forcimin e monedh\u00ebs vendase n\u00eb kursin e k\u00ebmbimit.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb raportin e radh\u00ebs t\u00eb politik\u00ebs monetare, Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb ka sjell\u00eb nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb rreth faktor\u00ebve q\u00eb kan\u00eb sjell\u00eb forcimin e Lekut dhe efekteve t\u00eb k\u00ebtij forcimi n\u00eb ekonomi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sipas Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, forcimi i kursit nominal t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit gjat\u00eb tremujor\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit ka ardhur kryesisht si rezultat i forcimit t\u00eb trendit t\u00eb kursit real t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit, ose me fjal\u00eb t\u00eb tjera i p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsimit strukturor t\u00eb sektorit t\u00eb jasht\u00ebm t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb dhe rritjes n\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00ebsi t\u00eb produktivitetit t\u00eb saj, si edhe i r\u00ebnies s\u00eb primeve t\u00eb rrezikut, ose e th\u00ebn\u00eb ndryshe, i rritjes s\u00eb besimit t\u00eb publikut n\u00eb monedh\u00ebn komb\u00ebtare.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u00eb dy k\u00ebta faktor\u00eb duket se diktohen nga p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsimi strukturor i bilancit t\u00eb jasht\u00ebm t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb shqiptare, p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsim i cili ilustrohet me disa tregues.<\/span><\/p>\n

Deficiti i llogaris\u00eb korrente ka pasur nj\u00eb trend t\u00eb qart\u00eb r\u00ebn\u00ebs gjat\u00eb k\u00ebsaj periudhe, nga niveli 7.7% i PBB n\u00eb vitin 2021 n\u00eb nivelin 6% n\u00eb vitin 2022 dhe m\u00eb tej n\u00eb 3.1% n\u00eb tremujorin e par\u00eb t\u00eb vitit 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ky p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsim \u00ebsht\u00eb diktuar nga rritja e k\u00ebrkes\u00ebs s\u00eb huaj p\u00ebr sh\u00ebrbimet shqiptare t\u00eb turizmit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Flukset hyr\u00ebse t\u00eb turizmit arrit\u00ebn nivelin e 2.8 miliard\u00eb eurove n\u00eb 2022 dhe t\u00eb 624 milion eurove n\u00eb tremujorin e par\u00eb t\u00eb vitit 2023, duke p\u00ebrshpejtuar ndjesh\u00ebm normat e rritjes.<\/span><\/p>\n

Paralelisht me to, remitancat kan\u00eb ardhur n\u00eb rritje, duke siguruar prurje valutore rreth 833.7 milion\u00eb euro n\u00eb 2022 dhe 213.7 milion\u00eb euro n\u00eb tremujorin e par\u00eb t\u00eb vitit atual.<\/span><\/p>\n

Flukset hyr\u00ebse t\u00eb investimeve t\u00eb huaja direkte (IHD) arrit\u00ebn n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb larta historike prej 1.3 miliard\u00eb euro n\u00eb vitin 2022, me nj\u00eb rritje 33%, dhe mbet\u00ebn t\u00eb larta edhe gjat\u00eb tremujorit t\u00eb par\u00eb t\u00eb vitit 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn linj\u00eb, dhe po aq e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme raporti i financimit t\u00eb deficitit t\u00eb llogaris\u00eb korrente ka ardhur n\u00eb rritje. IHD-t\u00eb jan\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se t\u00eb mjaftueshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb financuar t\u00eb gjith\u00eb deficitin korrent dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb rezultuar n\u00eb tepric\u00eb valute n\u00eb treg. P\u00ebr vitin 2022, ky raport q\u00ebndroi n\u00eb nivelin 111.7%, nd\u00ebrsa p\u00ebr tremujorin e par\u00eb t\u00eb vitit 2023 u rrit n\u00eb 195.2%.<\/span><\/p>\n

K\u00ebto zhvillime n\u00ebnkuptojn\u00eb se flukset hyr\u00ebse t\u00eb valut\u00ebs n\u00eb vend kan\u00eb qen\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb larta se ato dal\u00ebse duke krijuar tepric\u00eb oferte p\u00ebr valut\u00ebn n\u00eb treg, \u00e7ka ka krijuar premisa p\u00ebr mbi\u00e7mim t\u00eb vazhduesh\u00ebm t\u00eb monedh\u00ebs vendase.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb aspektin makroekonomik, Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb vler\u00ebson se forcimi i kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit ka qen\u00eb faktori kryesor n\u00eb nivelet e ul\u00ebta t\u00eb inflacionit n\u00eb vend, nivele t\u00eb cilat kan\u00eb qen\u00eb dhe mbeten m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebtat n\u00eb rajon, duke reduktuar pasojat negative t\u00eb goditjes s\u00eb huaj n\u00eb fuqin\u00eb bler\u00ebse t\u00eb familjeve shqiptare.<\/span><\/p>\n

Paralelisht me t\u00eb, niveli m\u00eb i ul\u00ebt i inflacionit ka diktuar nj\u00eb normalizim m\u00eb t\u00eb ngadalt\u00eb t\u00eb q\u00ebndrimit t\u00eb politik\u00ebs monetare, duke mbajtur t\u00eb ul\u00ebta kostot e financimit dhe duke mb\u00ebshtetur ecurin\u00eb e konsumit dhe t\u00eb investimeve n\u00eb vend.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sipas vler\u00ebsimeve t\u00eb Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, n\u00eb munges\u00eb t\u00eb forcimit t\u00eb kursit gjat\u00eb dy viteve t\u00eb fundit, norma e inflacionit do t\u00eb ishte 2.5 pik\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje m\u00eb e lart\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Niveli m\u00eb i lart\u00eb i inflacionit do t\u00eb diktonte nj\u00eb normalizim m\u00eb agresiv t\u00eb q\u00ebndrimit t\u00eb politik\u00ebs monetare nga ai q\u00eb ka nd\u00ebrmarr\u00eb Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, duke rritur kostot e financimit p\u00ebr bizneset dhe familjet shqiptare.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb k\u00ebto rrethana, inflacioni m\u00eb i lart\u00eb dhe kushtet m\u00eb t\u00eb shtr\u00ebnguara t\u00eb financimit do t\u00eb kishin nj\u00eb ndikim frenues mbi aktivitetin ekonomik.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00ebr vitin 2022, kostoja ekonomike e k\u00ebtij normalizimi m\u00eb t\u00eb shpejt\u00eb t\u00eb politik\u00ebs monetare, do t\u00eb ishte 32 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb (ose m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 1% e PBB-s\u00eb). P\u00ebr vitin 2023, kostoja ekonomike shtes\u00eb e k\u00ebtij normalizimi do t\u00eb ishte rreth 60 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb, ose m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 2.5% e PBB-s\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gjithashtu, sipas Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb forcimi i kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit ka ndihmuar n\u00eb forcimin e stabilitetit financiar, n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsimit t\u00eb bilanceve financiare t\u00eb kredimarr\u00ebsve n\u00eb valut\u00eb dhe efektit pozitiv n\u00eb nivelin e kredive me probleme, t\u00eb cilat mbeten n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb ul\u00ebta.<\/span><\/p>\n

Banka qendrore vler\u00ebson se forcimi i kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit ka rritur q\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebrin\u00eb e borxhit t\u00eb huaj dhe atij publik t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb shqiptare, duke ndihmuar n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb indirekte edhe n\u00eb uljen e kostove t\u00eb sh\u00ebrbimit dhe t\u00eb rifinancimit t\u00eb tyre.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mb\u00ebshtetur n\u00eb analiz\u00ebn e m\u00ebsip\u00ebrme, Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb vler\u00ebson se, n\u00eb prani t\u00eb presioneve t\u00eb forta inflacioniste n\u00eb tregjet e huaja, forcimi i lekut ka ndihmuar n\u00eb ruajtjen e fuqis\u00eb bler\u00ebse t\u00eb familjeve shqiptare, n\u00eb ruajtjen n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb ul\u00ebta t\u00eb normave t\u00eb interesit dhe t\u00eb kostove t\u00eb financimit.<\/span><\/p>\n

VINI RE<\/span>: Ky material \u00ebsht\u00eb pron\u00ebsi intelektuale e Monitor<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

  P\u00ebrmir\u00ebsimi i bilancit t\u00eb jasht\u00ebm t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb shqiptare \u00ebsht\u00eb faktori kryesor q\u00eb ka sjell\u00eb forcimin e monedh\u00ebs vendase n\u00eb kursin e k\u00ebmbimit. N\u00eb raportin e radh\u00ebs t\u00eb politik\u00ebs monetare, Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb ka sjell\u00eb nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb rreth faktor\u00ebve q\u00eb kan\u00eb sjell\u00eb forcimin e Lekut dhe efekteve t\u00eb k\u00ebtij forcimi n\u00eb ekonomi. Sipas Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":30,"featured_media":610330,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-610329","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-fast-foodi"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/610329","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/30"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=610329"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/610329\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/610330"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=610329"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=610329"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=610329"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}