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Inflacioni baz\u00eb ra p\u00ebr t\u00eb kat\u00ebrtin muaj radhazi n\u00eb qershor, por ngelet ende ndjesh\u00ebm sip\u00ebr nivelit t\u00eb inflacionit mesatar n\u00eb ekonomi.<\/span><\/p>\n Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave nga Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, ky tregues zbriti n\u00eb 5.18%, nga 5.41% q\u00eb kishte qen\u00eb n\u00eb muajin maj. Aktualisht, inflacioni baz\u00eb ndodhet n\u00eb nivelin m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt q\u00eb prej marsit t\u00eb vitit t\u00eb kaluar.<\/span><\/p>\n Edhe rritja mujore e indeksit u ngadal\u00ebsua m\u00eb tej n\u00eb 0.16%, nga 0.26% q\u00eb kishte qen\u00eb p\u00ebr muajin maj. Rritja mujore e inflacionit baz\u00eb ishte m\u00eb e ul\u00ebt q\u00eb prej tetorit t\u00eb vitit 2021.<\/span><\/p>\n Inflacioni baz\u00eb arriti nivelin m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb historik prej 8.74% mes dhjetorit 2022 dhe janarit 2023, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb vazhdim ka ndjekur nj\u00eb tendenc\u00eb r\u00ebn\u00ebse. Pjes\u00ebrisht, kjo r\u00ebnie i detyrohet edhe efektit t\u00eb baz\u00eb krahasuese. Inflacioni baz\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb tregues q\u00eb llogaritet nga Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb mbi 69.2% t\u00eb shport\u00ebs s\u00eb p\u00ebrgjithshme t\u00eb Indeksit t\u00eb \u00c7mimeve t\u00eb Konsumit.<\/span><\/p>\n Inflacioni baz\u00eb mat ndryshimin e \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb konsumit, duke p\u00ebrjashtuar ato produkte q\u00eb p\u00ebr nga natyra e tyre kan\u00eb luhatshm\u00ebri t\u00eb lart\u00eb, kryesisht produktet ushqimore dhe ato energjetike. <\/span><\/p>\n Q\u00ebllimi i inflacionit baz\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb ta zhvesh\u00eb rritjen e p\u00ebrgjithshme t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve nga efektet e goditjeve t\u00eb ofert\u00ebs apo nga faktor\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb me ndikim afatshkurt\u00ebr. Megjithat\u00eb, sipas Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, n\u00eb p\u00ebrllogaritjen e inflacionit baz\u00eb ajo p\u00ebrfshin edhe disa produkte t\u00eb ve\u00e7anta ushqimore, q\u00eb nd\u00ebr vite kan\u00eb d\u00ebshmuar q\u00ebndrueshm\u00ebri t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve.<\/span><\/p>\n Megjith\u00ebse inflacioni baz\u00eb po bie, ai ngelet n\u00eb vazhdim\u00ebsi sip\u00ebr vler\u00ebs s\u00eb inflacionit mesatar n\u00eb ekonomi. Sipas INSTAT, n\u00eb muajin qershor, inflacioni p\u00ebsoi nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr r\u00ebnie t\u00eb leht\u00eb, duke zbritur n\u00eb nivelin 4.5%, m\u00eb i ul\u00ebti q\u00eb prej shkurtit t\u00eb vitit t\u00eb kaluar. Presionet inflacioniste jan\u00eb zbutur disi nga tregjet e l\u00ebnd\u00ebve t\u00eb para dhe nga importet n\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi, por ngelen t\u00eb larta n\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb e brendshme, kryesisht p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb rritjes s\u00eb pagave dhe v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsive p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjetur forc\u00eb pune t\u00eb mjaftueshme.<\/span><\/p>\n Megjith\u00ebse n\u00eb r\u00ebnie, inflacioni ngelet duksh\u00ebm sip\u00ebr objektivit prej 3% t\u00eb bank\u00ebs qendrore. Pas mbledhes s\u00eb fundit, n\u00eb muajin korrik, K\u00ebshilli Mbik\u00ebqyr\u00ebs parashikonte se inflacioni do t\u00eb ktehet n\u00eb objektiv brenda gjysm\u00ebs s\u00eb par\u00eb t\u00eb vitit 2024. Megjith\u00ebse edhe n\u00eb njoftimin e fundit p\u00ebrmendet mund\u00ebsia e nj\u00eb normalizimi t\u00eb m\u00ebtejsh\u00ebm t\u00eb politik\u00ebs monetare, paralajm\u00ebrimet p\u00ebr rritje t\u00eb m\u00ebtejshme t\u00eb normave t\u00eb interesit duken m\u00eb pak eksplicite.<\/span><\/p>\n \u201cK\u00ebshilli gjykon se presionet e larta inflacioniste nga ekonomia e brendshme mbeten nj\u00eb faktor rreziku p\u00ebr stabilitetin e \u00e7mimeve n\u00eb vend. N\u00eb k\u00ebto rrethana, ai do t\u00eb monitoroj\u00eb me kujdes situat\u00ebn p\u00ebr t\u00eb vler\u00ebsuar n\u00eb vazhdim\u00ebsi ecurin\u00eb e presioneve inflacioniste dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb identifikuar n\u00eb koh\u00eb masat e nevojshme p\u00ebr arritjen e objektivit, p\u00ebrfshi edhe normalizimin e m\u00ebtejsh\u00ebm t\u00eb q\u00ebndrimit t\u00eb politik\u00ebs monetare.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n N\u00eb \u00e7do rast, politika monetare do t\u00eb siguroj\u00eb kushtet e nevojshme p\u00ebr respektimin e objektivit t\u00eb stabilitetit t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve n\u00eb afatin e mes\u00ebm, duke u kujdesur n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb t\u00eb minimizoj\u00eb ndikimin e saj n\u00eb frenimin e aktivitetit ekonomik dhe pasojave t\u00eb mundshme t\u00eb pad\u00ebshirueshme n\u00eb stabilitetin financiar,\u201d<\/em> thuhet n\u00eb deklarat\u00ebn e K\u00ebshillit Mbik\u00ebqyr\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n K\u00ebt\u00eb vit, Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb e ka ngadal\u00ebsuar rritjen e normave t\u00eb interesit. N\u00eb shtat\u00eb muaj, norma baz\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb her\u00eb, me 0.25 pik\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje, n\u00eb muajin mars. Norma baz\u00eb prej 3% \u00ebsht\u00eb ndjesh\u00ebm m\u00eb e ul\u00ebt se ajo e Bank\u00ebs Qendrore Europiane dhe nd\u00ebr m\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebtat aktualisht n\u00eb Europ\u00eb. Frenimi i Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb mund t\u00eb shpjegohet kryesisht me forcimin e paprecedent t\u00eb Lekut n\u00eb kursin e k\u00ebmbimit valutor.\/E.Shehu<\/span><\/p>\n