{"id":552367,"date":"2022-09-30T19:17:58","date_gmt":"2022-09-30T17:17:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/?p=552367"},"modified":"2022-09-30T20:00:44","modified_gmt":"2022-09-30T18:00:44","slug":"kush-perfiton-me-shume-nga-sabotimi-i-nord-stream","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/2022\/09\/30\/kush-perfiton-me-shume-nga-sabotimi-i-nord-stream\/","title":{"rendered":"Kush p\u00ebrfiton m\u00eb shum\u00eb nga sabotimi i Nord Stream? – Analiza","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Nga Stephen Bryen dhe Shoshana Bryen<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Shtetet e Bashkuara kan\u00eb kund\u00ebrshtuar prej koh\u00ebsh var\u00ebsin\u00eb e NATO-s (ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht t\u00eb Gjermanis\u00eb) nga gazi natyror rus. Shtetet e Bashkuara, n\u00eb fakt, p\u00ebrdor\u00ebn kontrollet e eksportit p\u00ebr t\u00eb bllokuar tubacionin origjinal Yamal n\u00eb vitet 1980, duke besuar se k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimi i nj\u00eb nd\u00ebrprerjeje ruse do ndryshonte vendimet politike t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb vitin 2018, presidenti i at\u00ebhersh\u00ebm Donald Trump paralajm\u00ebroi evropian\u00ebt n\u00eb Asamblen\u00eb e P\u00ebrgjithshme t\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb p\u00ebr potencialin e nj\u00eb nd\u00ebrprerjeje ruse t\u00eb energjis\u00eb. Ekziston nj\u00eb video e delegacionit gjerman n\u00eb UNGA q\u00eb shfaqet duke u tallur me ish-presidentin amerikan Trump. M\u00eb pas ndodhi sulmi ndaj Ukrain\u00ebs dhe shkurtimet e m\u00ebdha n\u00eb d\u00ebrgimin e gazit natyror rus n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tani, nd\u00ebrsa Norvegjia dhe Polonia njoftojn\u00eb hapjen e gazsjell\u00ebsit Trans Baltik, tubacionet e Rusis\u00eb Nord Stream 1 dhe Nord Stream 2 jan\u00eb d\u00ebmtuar pran\u00eb ishullit danez t\u00eb Bornholm n\u00eb Detin Baltik. Tre shkelje t\u00eb ve\u00e7anta t\u00eb tubacionit jan\u00eb t\u00eb dukshme, duke p\u00ebrjashtuar n\u00eb thelb mund\u00ebsin\u00eb e nj\u00eb defekti teknik.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrsa tubacionet tani p\u00ebr tani nuk funksionojn\u00eb, ato mbahen t\u00eb mbushura me gaz natyror n\u00ebn presion dhe gazi po fryn deri n\u00eb sip\u00ebrfaqe. Kjo sugjeron se d\u00ebmtimi n\u00eb t\u00eb dy tubacionet ishte i konsideruesh\u00ebm, megjith\u00ebse mbetet p\u00ebr t’u b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb vler\u00ebsim i plot\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Riparimet, duket se do k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb pak koh\u00eb edhe n\u00ebse i jepet p\u00ebrpar\u00ebsi gazsjell\u00ebsit t\u00eb par\u00eb Nord Stream, duke e b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb pamundur q\u00eb ai t\u00eb kthehet n\u00eb sh\u00ebrbim para dimrit, edhe n\u00ebse ka nj\u00eb ndryshim n\u00eb situat\u00ebn politike.<\/span><\/p>\n

Supozimet e para kan\u00eb qen\u00eb se tubacionet Nord Stream u sabotuan n\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrpjekje p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndikuar n\u00eb luft\u00ebn e Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb. Nj\u00eb operacion i till\u00eb do k\u00ebrkonte aft\u00ebsin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb lokalizuar tubacionet dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb vendosur ngarkesa shp\u00ebrthyese n\u00eb tre vende t\u00eb ndryshme. N\u00ebse kjo ka ndodhur, pyetja \u00ebsht\u00eb kush e b\u00ebri at\u00eb dhe pse?<\/span><\/p>\n

Tubacionet Nord Stream jan\u00eb n\u00eb thell\u00ebsi detare q\u00eb variojn\u00eb nga 80 n\u00eb 110 metra. P\u00ebr t\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb mundur shp\u00ebrthimet jan\u00eb dashur t\u00eb p\u00ebrdoren mjete detare zhyt\u00ebse.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Tubat n\u00ebnujor\u00eb t\u00eb Nord Stream<\/a><\/span> jan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb prej \u00e7eliku t\u00eb klasit DNV SA\u00cbL 485 (t\u00eb ngjashme me klas\u00ebn X70) p\u00ebr trash\u00ebsi muri q\u00eb shkojn\u00eb nga 26.8 n\u00eb 34.4 milimetra dhe jan\u00eb prodhuar nga gjasht\u00eb prodhues t\u00eb kualifikuar (nj\u00eb n\u00eb Rusi, kat\u00ebr n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb dhe nj\u00eb n\u00eb Japoni). P\u00ebrve\u00e7 k\u00ebsaj tubat jan\u00eb t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtjell\u00eb me beton e k\u00ebsisoj d\u00ebmtimi i q\u00ebllimsh\u00ebm nuk do t\u00eb ishte i leht\u00eb. Ukraina ka th\u00ebn\u00eb tashm\u00eb se sabotimi \u00ebsht\u00eb kryer nga rus\u00ebt.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cRrjedhja e gazit n\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb gjer\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb gj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr ve\u00e7se nj\u00eb sulm terrorist i planifikuar nga Rusia dhe nj\u00eb akt agresioni ndaj BE-s\u00eb.\u201d<\/em> – shkroi n\u00eb Twitter<\/a><\/span> k\u00ebshilltari presidencial i Kievit, Mikhaylo Podolyak.<\/span><\/p>\n

Problemi me k\u00ebt\u00eb argument \u00ebsht\u00eb se Rusia do humbiste gjith\u00eb ndikimin e saj me Evrop\u00ebn n\u00ebse do shkat\u00ebrronte tubacionet e veta. T\u00eb dy Nord Stream 1 dhe Nord Stream 2<\/a><\/span> jan\u00eb n\u00eb pron\u00ebsi t\u00eb nj\u00eb projekti t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt. Gazprom ka 51% dhe kat\u00ebr partner\u00eb per\u00ebndimor\u00eb pjes\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr.<\/span><\/p>\n

PEGI\/E.ON (EONGn.DE)<\/a><\/span> dhe Wintershall Dea (WINT.UL) (BASFn.DE<\/a>) kan\u00eb nga 15.5% secili dhe French Engie (ENGIE.PA<\/a><\/span>) dhe holandez\u00ebt e Gasunie (GSUNI.UL) nga 9% secila.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukraina nga ana e saj \u00a0mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb nj\u00eb kandidate n\u00eb p\u00ebrpjekjen p\u00ebr t\u00eb d\u00ebmtuar Rusin\u00eb ekonomikisht, tani dhe n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen. Por n\u00ebse \u00ebsht\u00eb k\u00ebshtu dhe Ukraina zbulohet si fajtori, marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet e saj me Evrop\u00ebn dhe NATO-n do d\u00ebmtoheshin jasht\u00ebzakonisht shum\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pothuajse \u00e7do vend evropian ka aft\u00ebsin\u00eb teknike p\u00ebr t\u00eb operuar n\u00eb det t\u00eb hapur me mjete t\u00eb pilotuara n\u00eb larg\u00ebsi dhe disa prej tyre kan\u00eb sh\u00ebrbime ushtarake n\u00ebnujore t\u00eb cilat mund t\u00eb sulmojn\u00eb dhe shkat\u00ebrrojn\u00eb objektivat n\u00ebnujore. Por cili shtet evropian do d\u00ebshironte ta b\u00ebnte k\u00ebt\u00eb?<\/span><\/p>\n

Do t\u00eb ishte shum\u00eb e rrezikshme p\u00ebr \u00e7do shtet evropian t\u00eb kryente nj\u00eb operacion sabotues kund\u00ebr dy tubacioneve. S\u00eb pari, ashtu si rus\u00ebt kan\u00eb nevoj\u00eb p\u00ebr Nord Stream 1 dhe Nord Stream 2 q\u00eb t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb paprekura p\u00ebr arsyet e tyre, evropian\u00ebt kan\u00eb nevoj\u00eb p\u00ebr to nj\u00ebsoj p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb d\u00ebrgesave t\u00eb ardhshme t\u00eb gazit. P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, nj\u00eb veprim i till\u00eb mund t\u00eb konsiderohet nga Rusia si nj\u00eb akt lufte.<\/span><\/p>\n

Megjithat\u00eb, ka disa p\u00ebrjashtime t\u00eb mundshme. Finlanda \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb mosmarr\u00ebveshje serioze me Rusin\u00eb q\u00eb filloi me vendimin e Finland\u00ebs p\u00ebr t’u an\u00ebtar\u00ebsuar n\u00eb NATO. N\u00eb maj, Rusia nd\u00ebrpreu furnizimin me gaz n\u00eb Finland\u00eb dhe m\u00eb her\u00ebt Rusia ndaloi furnizimet me energji elektrike.<\/span><\/p>\n

Por \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb kuptohet pse Finlanda mund t\u00eb konsideroj\u00eb tubacionet Nord Stream si nj\u00eb objektiv p\u00ebr \u00e7do hakmarrje. Vet\u00eb Finlanda ka vendosur embargo ndaj qymyrit dhe naft\u00ebs ruse.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusia ka gjithashtu nj\u00eb marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnie shum\u00eb t\u00eb tensionuar me shtetet baltike dhe secili prej tyre mund t\u00eb kryej\u00eb akte sabotuese kund\u00ebr tubacioneve Nord Stream. Megjithat\u00eb, fakti q\u00eb kjo do e privonte Evrop\u00ebn nga furnizimet e gazit n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen e af\u00ebrt, duke supozuar fundin e sanksioneve, e b\u00ebn k\u00ebt\u00eb nj\u00eb l\u00ebvizje t\u00eb pamundur p\u00ebr \u00e7do vend q\u00eb varet nga NATO p\u00ebr sigurin\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/span><\/p>\n

A mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb sabotuar SHBA-t\u00eb tubacionet Nord Stream p\u00ebr t\u00eb hequr ndikimin e presidentit rus Putin mbi Evrop\u00ebn k\u00ebt\u00eb dim\u00ebr?<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00ebse n\u00eb Uashington kishte frik\u00eb se Evropa mund t\u00eb thyente marr\u00ebveshjen p\u00ebr sanksionimin e Rusis\u00eb p\u00ebr sulmin e saj ndaj Ukrain\u00ebs, p\u00ebr t\u00eb shp\u00ebtuar veten nga nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb energjetike k\u00ebt\u00eb dim\u00ebr, at\u00ebher\u00eb mund t\u00eb kishte logjik\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb l\u00ebvizje t\u00eb till\u00eb, por edhe rreziqe t\u00eb m\u00ebdha politike, strategjike dhe t\u00eb siguris\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

SHBA \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb lojtar i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm energjetik q\u00eb d\u00ebrgon LNG n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb n\u00eb sasi gjithnj\u00eb n\u00eb rritje. Evropa ka p\u00ebrdorur LNG e furnizuar nga SHBA-ja<\/a><\/span> p\u00ebr t\u00eb ndihmuar n\u00eb mbushjen e rezervuar\u00ebve t\u00eb saj t\u00eb magazinimit p\u00ebr dimrin e ardhsh\u00ebm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Shumica e d\u00ebrgesave amerikane kalojn\u00eb p\u00ebrmes Franc\u00ebs, me Spanj\u00ebn dhe Holand\u00ebn si rrug\u00eb dyt\u00ebsore. Ka raporte q\u00eb SHBA-ja e ka aft\u00ebsin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb ofruar LNG n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb dhe Azi por \u00e7mimet e gazit natyror n\u00eb SHBA mund t\u00eb rriten ndjesh\u00ebm n\u00ebse d\u00ebrgohet m\u00eb shum\u00eb LNG.<\/span><\/p>\n

Askush nuk mund t’i p\u00ebrgjigjet pyetjes se kush e sabotoi gazsjell\u00ebsin Nord Stream. Sidoqoft\u00eb, sabotimi i duksh\u00ebm i tubacioneve tregon pap\u00ebrgjegjshm\u00ebrin\u00eb e Evrop\u00ebs n\u00eb pranimin e gazit nga nj\u00eb armik i njohur dhe fakti q\u00eb ia hodh\u00ebn me t\u00eb p\u00ebr 37 vjet, n\u00eb retrospektiv\u00eb, \u00ebsht\u00eb i mahnitsh\u00ebm.<\/span><\/p>\n

VINI RE<\/strong><\/span>: Ky material \u00ebsht\u00eb pron\u00ebsi intelektuale e Asia Times<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nga Stephen Bryen dhe Shoshana Bryen Shtetet e Bashkuara kan\u00eb kund\u00ebrshtuar prej koh\u00ebsh var\u00ebsin\u00eb e NATO-s (ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht t\u00eb Gjermanis\u00eb) nga gazi natyror rus. Shtetet e Bashkuara, n\u00eb fakt, p\u00ebrdor\u00ebn kontrollet e eksportit p\u00ebr t\u00eb bllokuar tubacionin origjinal Yamal n\u00eb vitet 1980, duke besuar se k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimi i nj\u00eb nd\u00ebrprerjeje ruse do ndryshonte vendimet politike t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":51,"featured_media":552368,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-552367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ballina","category-nderkombetare"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/552367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/51"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=552367"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/552367\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/552368"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=552367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=552367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=552367"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}