{"id":534865,"date":"2022-07-10T15:25:51","date_gmt":"2022-07-10T13:25:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/?p=534865"},"modified":"2022-07-10T15:25:51","modified_gmt":"2022-07-10T13:25:51","slug":"banka-boterore-shumica-e-vendeve-po-shkojne-drejt-nje-recesioni-mund-te-rikthehet-stagflacioni-si-i-viteve-1970","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/2022\/07\/10\/banka-boterore-shumica-e-vendeve-po-shkojne-drejt-nje-recesioni-mund-te-rikthehet-stagflacioni-si-i-viteve-1970\/","title":{"rendered":"Banka Bot\u00ebrore: Shumica e vendeve po shkojn\u00eb drejt nj\u00eb recesioni, mund t\u00eb rikthehet ‘stagflacioni’ si i viteve 1970","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/span><\/p>\n

Investitor\u00ebt, bankier\u00ebt dhe sip\u00ebrmarr\u00ebsit kan\u00eb diskutuar shanset e nj\u00eb recesioni t\u00eb ardhsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr muaj t\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00eb. Tani institucioni kryesor nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar i paras\u00eb n\u00eb bot\u00eb po i bashkohet korit se ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb ket\u00eb nj\u00eb recesion dhe paralajm\u00ebron se di\u00e7ka edhe m\u00eb e keqe mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb horizont.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rritja ekonomike globale pritet t\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsohet para fundit t\u00eb vitit dhe shumica e vendeve duhet t\u00eb fillojn\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrgatiten p\u00ebr nj\u00eb recesion, sipas parashikimit t\u00eb fundit ekonomik t\u00eb Bank\u00ebs Bot\u00ebrore t\u00eb publikuar t\u00eb mart\u00ebn.<\/span><\/p>\n

“P\u00ebr shum\u00eb vende, recesioni do t\u00eb jet\u00eb i v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr t’u shmangur,” shkroi presidenti i Bank\u00ebs Bot\u00ebrore, David Malpass, p\u00ebrcjell Fortune<\/a><\/span>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rritja merr goditje<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Norma e rritjes globale pritet t\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsohet nga 5.7% n\u00eb 2021 n\u00eb 2.9% k\u00ebt\u00eb vit, sipas raportit. Banka Bot\u00ebrore, e cila vepron si nj\u00eb organ nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar huadh\u00ebn\u00ebs p\u00ebr ekonomit\u00eb n\u00eb zhvillim, kishte parashikuar nj\u00eb rritje prej 4.1% p\u00ebr vitin 2022 janarin e kaluar.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ekonomia globale tashm\u00eb e d\u00ebmtuar nga pasojat e pandemis\u00eb COVID-19, e cila i la zinxhir\u00ebt e furnizimit nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar n\u00eb prishje pengoi ndjesh\u00ebm rritjen e t\u00eb ardhurave dhe p\u00ebrpjekjet p\u00ebr uljen e varf\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb vendet n\u00eb zhvillim, sipas raportit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kjo b\u00ebri q\u00eb Banka Bot\u00ebrore t\u00eb parashikonte nj\u00eb rritje m\u00eb t\u00eb ngadalt\u00eb, por edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb fuqishme n\u00eb vitet e ardhshme t\u00eb rritjes globale duke filluar nga viti 2022, por pas shp\u00ebrthimit t\u00eb luft\u00ebs n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, institucioni u detyrua t\u00eb ulte ndjesh\u00ebm parashikimet e tij p\u00ebr t\u00eb llogaritur rritjen e \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb ushqimit dhe karburantit dhe nd\u00ebrpreu rrjetet e tregtis\u00eb nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cPak m\u00eb shum\u00eb se dy vjet pasi COVID-19 shkaktoi recesionin m\u00eb t\u00eb thell\u00eb global q\u00eb nga Lufta e Dyt\u00eb Bot\u00ebrore, ekonomia bot\u00ebrore \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrs\u00ebri n\u00eb rrezik<\/em>\u201d, shkruan Malpass.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb SHBA, pushtimi rus i Ukrain\u00ebs dhe nj\u00eb rritje e shpejt\u00eb e \u00e7mimeve e kan\u00eb shtyr\u00eb Rezerv\u00ebn Federale n\u00eb nj\u00eb strategji t\u00eb rritjes agresive t\u00eb normave t\u00eb interesit p\u00ebr t\u00eb zbutur inflacionin, por kjo po i b\u00ebn investitor\u00ebt gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb t\u00eb turbullt. N\u00ebse normat e interesit shkojn\u00eb shum\u00eb lart, si\u00e7 besojn\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb ekonomist\u00ebt, ekonomia mund t\u00eb rrezikoj\u00eb t\u2019i kthehet tkurrjes dhe recesionit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Fjala “recesion” mund t\u00eb ngjall imazhe t\u00eb frikshme t\u00eb r\u00ebnies s\u00eb tregut t\u00eb vitit 2008, por shumica e ekonomist\u00ebve mendojn\u00eb se n\u00ebse ka nj\u00eb recesion, nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie e asaj shkalle nuk ka gjasa, me shumic\u00ebn e njer\u00ebzve q\u00eb sigurojn\u00eb se rezultati ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb jet\u00eb nj\u00eb recesion i leht\u00eb, si\u00e7 \u00ebsht\u00eb normale n\u00eb fund t\u00eb cikleve t\u00eb biznesit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Por Banka Bot\u00ebrore po paralajm\u00ebron se edhe nj\u00eb recesion i leht\u00eb mund t\u00eb l\u00ebr\u00eb shenja t\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshme n\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb globale, pasi kombinimi i forcave t\u00eb sotme ekonomike mund t\u00eb \u00e7oj\u00eb n\u00eb “stagflacion”, nj\u00eb p\u00ebrzierje e rritjes s\u00eb ul\u00ebt dhe \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb larta q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb toksike p\u00ebr ekonomit\u00eb n\u00eb vendet n\u00eb zhvillim.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rikthimi i stagflacionit<\/strong>?<\/span><\/p>\n

Malpass p\u00ebrmendi k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimin e stagflacionit shum\u00eb her\u00eb n\u00eb raportin e Bank\u00ebs Bot\u00ebrore, duke v\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb dukje ngjashm\u00ebrit\u00eb n\u00eb mjediset e politik\u00ebs monetare midis t\u00eb tashmes dhe her\u00ebs s\u00eb fundit q\u00eb goditi stagflacioni.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cDisa vite t\u00eb inflacionit mbi mesataren dhe rritjes n\u00ebn mesatare tani \u00ebsht\u00eb e mundur, me pasoja potencialisht destabilizuese p\u00ebr ekonomit\u00eb me t\u00eb ardhura t\u00eb ul\u00ebta dhe t\u00eb mesme. \u00cbsht\u00eb nj\u00eb fenomen \u2013 stagflacioni \u2013 q\u00eb bota nuk e ka par\u00eb q\u00eb nga vitet 1970,\u201d shkroi ai.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stagflacioni ndodh kur rritja ekonomike kalon p\u00ebrmes nj\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsimi t\u00eb konsideruesh\u00ebm, por inflacioni dhe \u00e7mimet e larta vazhdojn\u00eb. Hera e fundit q\u00eb bota kaloi nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb stagflacion-iste ishte gjat\u00eb goditjeve t\u00eb naft\u00ebs t\u00eb viteve 1970, kur \u00e7mimet e larta t\u00eb naft\u00ebs shkaktuan inflacion t\u00eb lart\u00eb n\u00eb mbar\u00eb bot\u00ebn dhe nj\u00eb recesion n\u00eb vendet q\u00eb importonin v\u00ebllime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha nafte nga Lindja e Mesme.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stagflacioni mund t\u00eb konsiderohet m\u00eb i keqi nga t\u00eb gjith\u00eb treguesit ekonomik\u00eb, pasi inflacioni zakonisht tenton t\u00eb kund\u00ebrshtoj\u00eb nj\u00eb ekonomi n\u00eb tkurrje. Por t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtat kushte q\u00eb nis\u00ebn stagflacionin e viteve 1970 duket se po kthehen.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cRritjet e normave t\u00eb interesit q\u00eb k\u00ebrkoheshin p\u00ebr t\u00eb kontrolluar inflacionin n\u00eb fund t\u00eb viteve 1970 ishin aq t\u00eb pjerr\u00ebta sa shkaktuan nj\u00eb recesion global, s\u00eb bashku me nj\u00eb varg krizash borxhi n\u00eb ekonomit\u00eb n\u00eb zhvillim, duke sjell\u00eb nj\u00eb ‘dekad\u00eb t\u00eb humbur’ n\u00eb disa prej tyre. \u201d, shkroi Malpass, duke shtuar se t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtat modele t\u00eb rritjes s\u00eb p\u00ebrmbajtur, normave t\u00eb larta t\u00eb interesit dhe rritjes s\u00eb borxhit publik n\u00eb shum\u00eb vende po shfaqen sot.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rifillimi i operacioneve normale t\u00eb zinxhirit t\u00eb furnizimit dhe rritja e prodhimit n\u00eb mbar\u00eb bot\u00ebn jan\u00eb \u00e7el\u00ebsi p\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur stagflacionin, tha Malpass, por nuk do t\u00eb jet\u00eb e leht\u00eb. Bllokimet e COVID-19 n\u00eb qendrat e prodhimit t\u00eb Kin\u00ebs gjat\u00eb muajve t\u00eb fundit i dhan\u00eb nj\u00eb goditje prodhimit global dhe kufizimet e energjis\u00eb si rezultat i luft\u00ebs po i pengojn\u00eb zinxhir\u00ebt e furnizimit t\u00eb kthehen n\u00eb normalitet t\u00eb plot\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Investitor\u00ebt, bankier\u00ebt dhe sip\u00ebrmarr\u00ebsit kan\u00eb diskutuar shanset e nj\u00eb recesioni t\u00eb ardhsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr muaj t\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00eb. Tani institucioni kryesor nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar i paras\u00eb n\u00eb bot\u00eb po i bashkohet korit se ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb ket\u00eb nj\u00eb recesion dhe paralajm\u00ebron se di\u00e7ka edhe m\u00eb e keqe mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb horizont. Rritja ekonomike globale pritet t\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsohet […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":32,"featured_media":534867,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,6,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-534865","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ballina","category-nderkombetare","category-te-fundit"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/534865","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=534865"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/534865\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/534867"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=534865"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=534865"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=534865"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}