{"id":518553,"date":"2022-04-19T09:04:47","date_gmt":"2022-04-19T07:04:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/?p=518553"},"modified":"2022-04-19T09:11:39","modified_gmt":"2022-04-19T07:11:39","slug":"levizjet-e-shahut-ne-azi-pse-modi-nuk-do-largohet-nga-putini","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/2022\/04\/19\/levizjet-e-shahut-ne-azi-pse-modi-nuk-do-largohet-nga-putini\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u00ebvizjet e shahut n\u00eb Azi, pse Modi nuk do largohet nga Putini – Analiza","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/span><\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrsa demokracit\u00eb globale u rreshtuan<\/a> <\/span>p\u00ebr t\u00eb d\u00ebnuar veprimet e Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, nj\u00eb vend ishte m\u00eb pak i hapur n\u00eb kritikat e tij, dhe ishte demokracia<\/a> <\/span>m\u00eb e madhe nga t\u00eb gjitha: India.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gjat\u00eb gjith\u00eb kriz\u00ebs s\u00eb vazhdueshme, qeveria n\u00eb Indi ka shmangur me kujdes marrjen e nj\u00eb q\u00ebndrimi t\u00eb qart\u00eb. Ajo ka abstenuar<\/a> <\/span>n\u00eb \u00e7do rezolut\u00eb t\u00eb Kombeve t\u00eb Bashkuara q\u00eb ka t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb me k\u00ebt\u00eb \u00e7\u00ebshtje dhe ka kund\u00ebrshtuar t’i bashkohet komunitetit nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar n\u00eb masat ekonomike kund\u00ebr Mosk\u00ebs, duke shkaktuar nj\u00eb paralajm\u00ebrim<\/a> <\/span>nga SHBA p\u00ebr anashkalimin e sanksioneve t\u00eb mundshme.<\/span><\/p>\n

Madje edhe deklaratat nga India q\u00eb d\u00ebnonin vrasjen masive t\u00eb raportuara t\u00eb civil\u00ebve ukrainas, nuk i vinin fajin ndonj\u00eb pale, teksa b\u00ebnin thirrje p\u00ebr nj\u00eb hetim t\u00eb paansh\u00ebm.<\/span><\/p>\n

Si nj\u00eb studiues<\/a> <\/span>i politik\u00ebs s\u00eb jashtme dhe t\u00eb siguris\u00eb indiane, e di se t\u00eb kuptuarit e q\u00ebndrimit t\u00eb Indis\u00eb ndaj luft\u00ebs n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb i nd\u00ebrlikuar. N\u00eb nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb konsiderueshme, vendimi i Indis\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur marrjen e nj\u00eb pozicioni t\u00eb qart\u00eb rrjedh nga nj\u00eb var\u00ebsi nga Rusia n\u00eb nj\u00eb mori \u00e7\u00ebshtjesh – diplomatike, ushtarake dhe t\u00eb lidhura me energjin\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Moska si partner strategjik<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Ky q\u00ebndrim nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb krejt\u00ebsisht i ri. P\u00ebr nj\u00eb s\u00ebr\u00eb \u00e7\u00ebshtjesh me pesh\u00eb globale, India ka shmangur prej koh\u00ebsh miratimin e nj\u00eb pozicioni t\u00eb fort\u00eb bazuar n\u00eb statusin<\/a> <\/span>e saj si nj\u00eb shtet i pap\u00ebrfshir\u00eb – nj\u00eb nga disa vende q\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb zyrtarisht aleat<\/a> <\/span>me asnj\u00eb bllok pushteti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nga nj\u00eb k\u00ebndv\u00ebshtrim strategjik sot, vendimmarr\u00ebsit n\u00eb Nju Delhi besojn\u00eb se ata nuk mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrballojn\u00eb t\u00eb tjet\u00ebrsojn\u00eb Rusin\u00eb, sepse ata besojn\u00eb se Moska do t\u00eb v\u00ebr\u00eb veton ndaj \u00e7do rezolute negative t\u00eb K\u00ebshillit t\u00eb Sigurimit t\u00eb Kombeve t\u00eb Bashkuara p\u00ebr \u00e7\u00ebshtjen e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb rajonit t\u00eb diskutuesh\u00ebm t\u00eb Kashmirit<\/a><\/span>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Q\u00eb nga ndarja e n\u00ebnkontinentit n\u00eb vitin 1947, India dhe Pakistani kan\u00eb luftuar tre luft\u00ebra<\/a> <\/span>mbi Kashmirin dhe rajoni vazhdon t\u00eb jet\u00eb nj\u00eb burim tensioni.<\/span><\/p>\n

Duke u kthyer n\u00eb dit\u00ebt e Bashkimit Sovjetik, India \u00ebsht\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetur n\u00eb veton<\/a> <\/span>e Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb OKB p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbrojtur veten nga \u00e7do deklarat\u00eb negative p\u00ebr Kashmirin. P\u00ebr shembull, gjat\u00eb kriz\u00ebs s\u00eb Pakistanit Lindor t\u00eb vitit 1971 – q\u00eb \u00e7oi n\u00eb krijimin e Bangladeshit – sovjetik\u00ebt mbrojt\u00ebn<\/a> <\/span>Indin\u00eb nga censura n\u00eb OKB, duke v\u00ebn\u00eb veton ndaj nj\u00eb rezolute q\u00eb k\u00ebrkon t\u00ebrheqjen e trupave nga rajoni i diskutuesh\u00ebm.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb total, sovjetik\u00ebt dhe Rusia e kan\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur t\u00eb drejt\u00ebn e vetos gjasht\u00eb<\/a> <\/span>her\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbrojtur Indin\u00eb. Indis\u00eb nuk i \u00ebsht\u00eb dashur t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetet tek Rusia p\u00ebr veton q\u00eb nga fundi i Luft\u00ebs s\u00eb Ftoht\u00eb. Por me tensionin mbi Kashmirin ende t\u00eb lart\u00eb mes luftimeve sporadike, Nju Delhi do t\u00eb d\u00ebshiroj\u00eb t\u00eb siguroj\u00eb q\u00eb Moska t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb an\u00ebn e saj n\u00ebse ajo del s\u00ebrish p\u00ebrpara K\u00ebshillit t\u00eb Sigurimit.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb pjes\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe, marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnia e ngusht\u00eb e Indis\u00eb me Rusin\u00eb buron nga besnik\u00ebria e Luft\u00ebs s\u00eb Ftoht\u00eb. India u zhvendos n\u00eb orbit\u00ebn sovjetike kryesisht si nj\u00eb kund\u00ebrv\u00ebnie ndaj aleanc\u00ebs strategjike t\u00eb Amerik\u00ebs me Pakistanin<\/a><\/span>, kund\u00ebrshtarin n\u00ebnkontinental t\u00eb Indis\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

India shpreson gjithashtu p\u00ebr mb\u00ebshtetjen ruse – ose t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn asnjan\u00ebsin\u00eb – n\u00eb mosmarr\u00ebveshjen<\/a> <\/span>e saj t\u00eb gjat\u00eb kufitare me Republik\u00ebn Popullore t\u00eb Kin\u00ebs. India dhe Kina ndajn\u00eb nj\u00eb kufi prej m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 3,500 kilometrash, vendndodhja e t\u00eb cilit \u00ebsht\u00eb kontestuar p\u00ebr 80 vjet, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb edhe gjat\u00eb nj\u00eb lufte<\/a> <\/span>n\u00eb 1962 q\u00eb nuk arriti t\u00eb zgjidhte \u00e7\u00ebshtjen.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mbi t\u00eb gjitha, India nuk d\u00ebshiron q\u00eb Rusia t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb an\u00ebn e Kin\u00ebs n\u00ebse do t\u00eb ket\u00eb p\u00ebrplasje t\u00eb m\u00ebtejshme n\u00eb Himalaje, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht pasi mosmarr\u00ebveshja<\/a> <\/span>kufitare ka dal\u00eb s\u00ebrish n\u00eb plan t\u00eb par\u00eb q\u00eb nga viti 2020, me p\u00ebrleshje t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme midis Ushtris\u00eb Indiane dhe Ushtris\u00eb \u00c7lirimtare Popullore t\u00eb Kin\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusia si furnizues i arm\u00ebve<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

India \u00ebsht\u00eb gjithashtu shum\u00eb e varur nga Rusia p\u00ebr nj\u00eb s\u00ebr\u00eb arm\u00ebsh. N\u00eb fakt, 60% deri n\u00eb 70% e arsenalit konvencional t\u00eb Indis\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb me origjin\u00eb<\/a> <\/span>sovjetike ose ruse.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gjat\u00eb dhjet\u00ebvje\u00e7arit t\u00eb fundit, Nju Delhi ka k\u00ebrkuar t\u00eb shum\u00ebfishoj\u00eb<\/a> <\/span>ndjesh\u00ebm burimet p\u00ebr blerjet e tij t\u00eb arm\u00ebve. P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb q\u00ebllim, ai ka bler\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 20 miliard\u00eb dollar\u00eb<\/a><\/span> pajisje ushtarake nga SHBA gjat\u00eb dhjet\u00ebvje\u00e7arit t\u00eb fundit apo m\u00eb shum\u00eb. Megjithat\u00eb, ajo ende nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb largohet nga Rusia p\u00ebr sa i p\u00ebrket arm\u00ebve. <\/span><\/p>\n

Ajo q\u00eb nd\u00ebrlikon \u00e7\u00ebshtjet \u00ebsht\u00eb se Rusia dhe India kan\u00eb zhvilluar lidhje t\u00eb ngushta t\u00eb prodhimit ushtarak. P\u00ebr gati dy dhjet\u00ebvje\u00e7ar\u00eb, t\u00eb dy vendet kan\u00eb bashk\u00ebprodhuar raket\u00ebn<\/a> <\/span>me p\u00ebrdorim t\u00eb gjer\u00eb \u2018BrahMos\u2019, e cila mund t\u00eb gjuhet nga anije, avion\u00eb ose nga toka.<\/span><\/p>\n

S\u00eb fundmi India mori porosin\u00eb e saj t\u00eb par\u00eb t\u00eb eksportit<\/a> <\/span>p\u00ebr raket\u00ebn e prodhuar, nga Filipinet. Kjo lidhje e mbrojtjes me Rusin\u00eb mund t\u00eb nd\u00ebrpritet vet\u00ebm me kosto t\u00eb konsiderueshme financiare dhe strategjike p\u00ebr Indin\u00eb. <\/span><\/p>\n

Gjithashtu, Rusia, ndryshe nga \u00e7do vend per\u00ebndimor, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb Shtetet e Bashkuara, ka qen\u00eb e gatshme t\u00eb ndaj\u00eb forma t\u00eb caktuara t\u00eb teknologjis\u00eb s\u00eb arm\u00ebve me Indin\u00eb. P\u00ebr shembull, Rusia i ka dh\u00ebn\u00eb Indis\u00eb nj\u00eb n\u00ebndet\u00ebse b\u00ebrthamore t\u00eb klasit \u2018Akula<\/a><\/span>\u2019. Asnj\u00eb vend tjet\u00ebr nuk ka qen\u00eb i gatsh\u00ebm t’i ofroj\u00eb Indis\u00eb armatim t\u00eb ngjash\u00ebm, pjes\u00ebrisht p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb shqet\u00ebsimeve se teknologjia do t\u00eb ndahet me Rusin\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb \u00e7do rast, Rusia \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje t’i siguroj\u00eb Indis\u00eb armatime t\u00eb teknologjis\u00eb s\u00eb lart\u00eb me \u00e7mime duksh\u00ebm m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta se \u00e7do furnizues per\u00ebndimor. Nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebr t’u habitur, pavar\u00ebsisht kund\u00ebrshtimit t\u00eb konsideruesh\u00ebm amerikan, q\u00eb India zgjodhi t\u00eb blej\u00eb sistemin<\/a> <\/span>rus t\u00eb mbrojtjes raketore S-400.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mb\u00ebshtetja p\u00ebr energjin\u00eb<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00ebm industria e mbrojtjes e Indis\u00eb q\u00eb varet nga Moska. Sektori energjetik i Indis\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb gjithashtu i lidhur pazgjidhshm\u00ebrisht me Rusin\u00eb. Q\u00eb kur administrata e Xhorxh W Bush i dha fund statusit<\/a><\/span> t\u00eb Indis\u00eb si nj\u00eb vend b\u00ebrthamor – nj\u00eb em\u00ebrtim q\u00eb ajo e kishte vendosur p\u00ebr testimin e arm\u00ebve b\u00ebrthamore jasht\u00eb kufijve t\u00eb Traktatit t\u00eb Mosp\u00ebrhapjes B\u00ebrthamore – India ka zhvilluar nj\u00eb program b\u00ebrthamor civil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Edhe pse sektori mbetet relativisht<\/a> <\/span>i vog\u00ebl p\u00ebr sa i p\u00ebrket prodhimit total t\u00eb energjis\u00eb, ai \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb rritje dhe Rusia \u00ebsht\u00eb shfaqur si nj\u00eb partnere ky\u00e7e. Pasi marr\u00ebveshja b\u00ebrthamore civile SHBA-Indi e vitit 2008 i lejoi Indis\u00eb t\u00eb merrte pjes\u00eb n\u00eb tregtin\u00eb normale b\u00ebrthamore civile, Rusia shpejt n\u00ebnshkroi nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje p\u00ebr t\u00eb nd\u00ebrtuar gjasht\u00eb<\/a> <\/span>reaktor\u00eb b\u00ebrthamor\u00eb n\u00eb vend.<\/span><\/p>\n

As SHBA-s\u00eb dhe as ndonj\u00eb vend<\/a> <\/span>tjet\u00ebr per\u00ebndimor nuk jan\u00eb treguar t\u00eb gatsh\u00ebm t\u00eb investojn\u00eb n\u00eb sektorin e energjis\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore civile t\u00eb Indis\u00eb p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb nj\u00eb ligji mjaft kufizues p\u00ebr p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebsin\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore, i cili thot\u00eb se nd\u00ebrtuesi i uzin\u00ebs ose ndonj\u00eb prej p\u00ebrb\u00ebr\u00ebsve t\u00eb tij do t\u00eb jet\u00eb p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebs n\u00eb rast aksidenti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Por meqen\u00ebse qeveria ruse ka th\u00ebn\u00eb se do t\u00eb marr\u00eb p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebsin\u00eb e nevojshme n\u00eb rast t\u00eb nj\u00eb aksidenti b\u00ebrthamor, ajo ka mundur t\u00eb hyj\u00eb n\u00eb sektorin e energjis\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore n\u00eb Indi. Qeverit\u00eb per\u00ebndimore, megjithat\u00eb, nuk jan\u00eb t\u00eb gatshme t\u00eb ofrojn\u00eb garanci t\u00eb tilla p\u00ebr kompanit\u00eb e tyre tregtare.<\/span><\/p>\n

Larg energjis\u00eb b\u00ebrthamore, India gjithashtu ka investuar n\u00eb fushat ruse t\u00eb naft\u00ebs dhe gazit. Komisioni shtet\u00ebror i Naft\u00ebs dhe Gazit Natyror i Indis\u00eb, p\u00ebr shembull, \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb prej koh\u00ebsh n\u00eb nxjerrjen<\/a> <\/span>e l\u00ebnd\u00ebve djeg\u00ebse fosile jasht\u00eb ishullit Sakhalin, nj\u00eb ishull rus n\u00eb Oqeanin Paq\u00ebsor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dhe duke pasur parasysh se India importon af\u00ebrsisht 85% t\u00eb k\u00ebrkesave t\u00eb saj p\u00ebr naft\u00eb bruto nga jasht\u00eb – megjith\u00ebse vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e vog\u00ebl nga Rusia – v\u00ebshtir\u00eb se \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb mbyll\u00eb linj\u00ebn<\/a> <\/span>ruse.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sekretari amerikan i Shtetit, Antony Blinken koh\u00ebt e fundit vuri n\u00eb dukje<\/a><\/span> se \u2018marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet e Indis\u00eb me Rusin\u00eb jan\u00eb zhvilluar gjat\u00eb dhjet\u00ebvje\u00e7ar\u00ebve n\u00eb nj\u00eb koh\u00eb kur Shtetet e Bashkuara nuk ishin n\u00eb gjendje t\u00eb ishin nj\u00eb partner i Indis\u00eb\u2019 dhe sugjeroi q\u00eb Uashingtoni ishte i p\u00ebrgatitur tani p\u00ebr t\u00eb qen\u00eb si partner.<\/span><\/p>\n

Por duke pasur parasysh konsideratat diplomatike, ushtarake dhe energjetike, \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb shihet q\u00eb India t\u00eb shmanget \u00a0nga q\u00ebndrimi i saj ekuilibrues ndaj Rusis\u00eb s\u00eb shpejti.<\/span><\/p>\n

*Sumit Ganguly<\/a> <\/span>\u00ebsht\u00eb Profesor i shquar i Shkencave Politike dhe katedr\u00ebs Tagore n\u00eb Kulturat dhe Qytet\u00ebrimet Indiane t\u00eb Universitetit t\u00eb Indian\u00ebs<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Ky artikull \u00ebsht\u00eb ribotuar nga \u2018The Conversation\u2019. Lexoni artikullin<\/a> <\/span>origjinal.<\/span><\/p>\n

VINI RE<\/strong><\/span>: Ky material \u00ebsht\u00eb pron\u00ebsi intelektuale e Asia Times<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nd\u00ebrsa demokracit\u00eb globale u rreshtuan p\u00ebr t\u00eb d\u00ebnuar veprimet e Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, nj\u00eb vend ishte m\u00eb pak i hapur n\u00eb kritikat e tij, dhe ishte demokracia m\u00eb e madhe nga t\u00eb gjitha: India. Gjat\u00eb gjith\u00eb kriz\u00ebs s\u00eb vazhdueshme, qeveria n\u00eb Indi ka shmangur me kujdes marrjen e nj\u00eb q\u00ebndrimi t\u00eb qart\u00eb. Ajo ka abstenuar […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":51,"featured_media":518554,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,53],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-518553","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ballina","category-fast-foodi"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/518553","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/51"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=518553"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/518553\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/518554"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=518553"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=518553"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=518553"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}