{"id":508009,"date":"2022-03-01T11:35:11","date_gmt":"2022-03-01T10:35:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/?p=508009"},"modified":"2022-03-01T11:35:11","modified_gmt":"2022-03-01T10:35:11","slug":"analiza-nderhyrja-ushtarake-e-rusise-ne-ukraine-shenon-fundin-e-nje-epoke","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/2022\/03\/01\/analiza-nderhyrja-ushtarake-e-rusise-ne-ukraine-shenon-fundin-e-nje-epoke\/","title":{"rendered":"Analiza – Nd\u00ebrhyrja ushtarake e Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb sh\u00ebnon fundin e nj\u00eb epoke","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Nga Fyodor Lukyanov, kryeredaktor i revist\u00ebs \u2018Rusia n\u00eb \u00c7\u00ebshtjet Globale\u2019, kryetar i Presidiumit t\u00eb K\u00ebshillit p\u00ebr Politikat e Jashtme dhe Mbrojt\u00ebse dhe drejtor k\u00ebrkimor i Klubit Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar t\u00eb Diskutimit Valdai.<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrhyrja ushtarake e Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb ka sh\u00ebnuar fundin e nj\u00eb epoke n\u00eb gjendjen e \u00e7\u00ebshtjeve globale pasi presidenti Vladimir Putin nisi aksionin jav\u00ebn e kaluar. Ndikimi i saj do t\u00eb ndihet p\u00ebr vitet n\u00eb vijim, por Moska e ka pozicionuar veten t\u00eb \u2018b\u00ebhet nj\u00eb agjent i ndryshimit kardinal p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjith\u00eb bot\u00ebn\u2019.<\/span><\/p>\n

Operacioni i Forcave t\u00eb Armatosura Ruse n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb sh\u00ebnon fundin e nj\u00eb epoke. Filloi me r\u00ebnien e Bashkimit Sovjetik dhe shp\u00ebrb\u00ebrjen e tij n\u00eb 1991, kur nj\u00eb struktur\u00eb mjaft e q\u00ebndrueshme bipolare u p\u00ebrmbys nga ai q\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimisht u b\u00eb i njohur si \u2018Rendi Bot\u00ebror Liberal\u2019. Kjo i hapi rrug\u00ebn SHBA-s\u00eb dhe aleat\u00ebve t\u00eb saj p\u00ebr t\u00eb luajtur nj\u00eb rol dominues n\u00eb politik\u00ebn nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare t\u00eb p\u00ebrqendruar rreth ideologjis\u00eb universaliste.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kriza u shfaq shum\u00eb koh\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb, megjith\u00ebse nuk pati rezistenc\u00eb t\u00eb konsiderueshme nga fuqit\u00eb e m\u00ebdha, q\u00eb mbet\u00ebn t\u00eb pak\u00ebnaqur me pozicionin e tyre n\u00eb fush\u00ebn e re t\u00eb loj\u00ebs politike. N\u00eb fakt, p\u00ebr nj\u00eb koh\u00eb mjaft t\u00eb gjat\u00eb (t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn nj\u00eb dekad\u00eb e gjysm\u00eb), praktikisht nuk kishte pasur fare kund\u00ebrshtim. <\/span><\/p>\n

Vendet joper\u00ebndimore, p\u00ebrkat\u00ebsisht Kina dhe Rusia, b\u00ebn\u00eb p\u00ebrpjekje p\u00ebr t’u integruar n\u00eb hierarki. Pekini jo vet\u00ebm q\u00eb ia doli ta b\u00ebj\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb, por edhe shfryt\u00ebzoi n\u00eb maksimum situat\u00ebn p\u00ebr t\u00eb fituar terren si lojtar dominues. Moska, megjithat\u00eb, doli shum\u00eb m\u00eb keq dhe iu desh m\u00eb shum\u00eb koh\u00eb p\u00ebr t’u p\u00ebrshtatur me k\u00ebt\u00eb rend t\u00eb ri bot\u00ebror dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb \u00e7imentuar nj\u00eb vend t\u00eb respektuesh\u00ebm n\u00eb radh\u00ebt e saj.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sistemi doli t\u00eb ishte jofleksib\u00ebl dhe i l\u00ebkundsh\u00ebm pasi konceptualisht p\u00ebrjashtonte \u00e7do ekuilib\u00ebr fuqie. M\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishmja, megjithat\u00eb, ai nuk lejoi nj\u00eb nivel t\u00eb mjaftuesh\u00ebm t\u00eb shum\u00ebllojshm\u00ebris\u00eb kulturore dhe politike, e cila \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb thelb thelb\u00ebsore p\u00ebr funksionimin e q\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm t\u00eb bot\u00ebs. Nj\u00eb bot\u00ebkuptim uniform q\u00eb p\u00ebrjashtonte t\u00eb gjith\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00ebt u imponua duke p\u00ebrdorur mjete t\u00eb ndryshme, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb q\u00ebndrimet ndaj veprimtaris\u00eb ushtarake.<\/span><\/p>\n

Operacioni rus \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb pasqyr\u00eb e asaj q\u00eb SHBA dhe aleat\u00ebt e saj kan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se nj\u00eb her\u00eb n\u00eb dekadat e fundit n\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshme t\u00eb bot\u00ebs.<\/span><\/p>\n

Si\u00e7 thot\u00eb legjenda, Car Pjetri i Madh ngriti nj\u00eb dolli p\u00ebr \u2018m\u00ebsuesit e tij suedez\u00eb\u2019 pas betej\u00ebs s\u00eb Poltav\u00ebs n\u00eb 1709. Udh\u00ebheqja e tanishme ruse mund t\u00eb thot\u00eb gjithashtu se ka m\u00ebsuar shum\u00eb nga Per\u00ebndimi. N\u00eb veprimet e Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, \u00ebsht\u00eb e leht\u00eb t\u00eb identifikohen element\u00eb – nga ushtarak\u00ebt tek ato informative – q\u00eb ishin t\u00eb pranish\u00ebm n\u00eb fushatat e Amerik\u00ebs dhe t\u00eb NATO-s kund\u00ebr Jugosllavis\u00eb, Irakut dhe Libis\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tensionet kan\u00eb vluar prej koh\u00ebsh dhe Ukraina tani \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb vija e par\u00eb vendimtare. Kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb betej\u00eb ideologjike si ajo e d\u00ebshmuar n\u00eb gjysm\u00ebn e dyt\u00eb t\u00eb shekullit t\u00eb nj\u00ebzet\u00eb. Hegjemonia bot\u00ebrore aktualisht po sfidohet n\u00eb favor t\u00eb nj\u00eb modeli shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb shp\u00ebrndar\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Koncepti i vjet\u00ebr i Luft\u00ebs s\u00eb Ftoht\u00eb i \u2018sferave t\u00eb ndikimit\u2019 nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb i zbatuesh\u00ebm sepse bota \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb transparente dhe e nd\u00ebrlidhur, duke e b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb mundur izolimin vet\u00ebm n\u00eb nj\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb kufizuar. T\u00eb pakt\u00ebn, kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb ajo q\u00eb ne kemi menduar – deri m\u00eb tani.<\/span><\/p>\n

Si\u00e7 ka ndodhur shpesh n\u00eb t\u00eb kaluar\u00ebn, lufta e tanishme po b\u00ebhet p\u00ebr nj\u00eb territor t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm strategjik. Fjala e vjet\u00ebr \u2018historia p\u00ebrs\u00ebritet\u2019 \u00ebsht\u00eb e dukshme kur kaloni nga nj\u00eb media n\u00eb tjetr\u00ebn. Dy qasje t\u00eb ndryshme jan\u00eb p\u00ebrplasur. <\/span><\/p>\n

Nga nj\u00ebra an\u00eb, ekziston ushtrimi i fuqis\u00eb s\u00eb fort\u00eb klasike, e cila udh\u00ebhiqet nga parime t\u00eb thjeshta, t\u00eb pal\u00ebmuara, por qart\u00ebsisht t\u00eb kuptueshme – gjaku dhe dheu. Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, nga ana tjet\u00ebr \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb metod\u00eb moderne e p\u00ebrhapjes s\u00eb interesave dhe ndikimit, e realizuar p\u00ebrmes nj\u00eb s\u00ebr\u00eb mjetesh ideologjike, komunikuese dhe ekonomike, t\u00eb cilat jan\u00eb efektive dhe, n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, t\u00eb lakueshme – q\u00eb zakonisht quhen \u2018vlera\u2019.<\/span><\/p>\n

Q\u00eb nga Lufta e Ftoht\u00eb, metoda m\u00eb moderne e k\u00ebtyre qasjeve ka qen\u00eb pothuajse gjithmon\u00eb metoda e p\u00ebrdorur. Le ta quajm\u00eb at\u00eb me emrin e saj n\u00eb mod\u00eb, por t\u00eb pasakt\u00eb – \u2018luft\u00eb hibride\u2019. Megjithat\u00eb, n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe, kjo nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrballur kurr\u00eb me rezistenc\u00eb serioze, e l\u00ebre m\u00eb konfrontim t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb t\u00eb armatosur.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukraina 2022 \u00ebsht\u00eb testi vendimtar q\u00eb do t\u00eb provoj\u00eb se cila nga k\u00ebto qasje do t\u00eb mbret\u00ebroj\u00eb fitimtare. N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kuptim, ata q\u00eb dyshojn\u00eb se pasojat mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb thella nga sa mendonin jan\u00eb t\u00eb sakt\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Udh\u00ebheqja ruse, e cila vendosi p\u00ebr hapa jasht\u00ebzakonisht drastik\u00eb, me siguri i kuptoi pasojat, ose madje aspiroi me vet\u00ebdije p\u00ebr to. Faqja e bashk\u00ebpunimit me Per\u00ebndimin \u00ebsht\u00eb mbyllur. Kjo nuk do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se izolacionizmi do t\u00eb b\u00ebhet norm\u00eb, por sh\u00ebnon fundin e nj\u00eb kapitulli t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm historik n\u00eb marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet politike. Lufta e re e Ftoht\u00eb nuk do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfundoj\u00eb shpejt.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pas ca koh\u00ebsh, efektet q\u00eb ka shkaktuar operacioni aktual ushtarak ka shum\u00eb t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb fillojn\u00eb t\u00eb zbehen dhe disa forma nd\u00ebrveprimi do t\u00eb rifillojn\u00eb, por linja \u00ebsht\u00eb t\u00ebrhequr pashmangshm\u00ebrisht. Edhe n\u00eb nj\u00eb skenar t\u00eb favorsh\u00ebm, do t\u00eb kalojn\u00eb shum\u00eb vite para se t\u00eb hiqen sanksionet dhe lidhjet t\u00eb rivendosen gradualisht dhe n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb selektive. <\/span><\/p>\n

Ristrukturimi i prioriteteve ekonomike do t\u00eb k\u00ebrkoj\u00eb nj\u00eb qasje t\u00eb ndryshme, e cila do t\u00eb stimuloj\u00eb zhvillimin n\u00eb disa m\u00ebnyra dhe do ta ngadal\u00ebsoj\u00eb at\u00eb n\u00eb disa m\u00ebnyra. Pjesa m\u00eb aktive e shoq\u00ebris\u00eb ruse do t\u00eb duhet t\u00eb kuptoj\u00eb se m\u00ebnyra e tyre e vjet\u00ebr e jet\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb zhdukur.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusia ka vendosur t\u00eb v\u00ebr\u00eb n\u00eb prov\u00eb forc\u00ebn e saj dhe, n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb agjent i ndryshimit kardinal p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjith\u00eb bot\u00ebn.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u00ebrshtati n\u00eb shqip, Hashtag.al<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nga Fyodor Lukyanov, kryeredaktor i revist\u00ebs \u2018Rusia n\u00eb \u00c7\u00ebshtjet Globale\u2019, kryetar i Presidiumit t\u00eb K\u00ebshillit p\u00ebr Politikat e Jashtme dhe Mbrojt\u00ebse dhe drejtor k\u00ebrkimor i Klubit Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar t\u00eb Diskutimit Valdai. Nd\u00ebrhyrja ushtarake e Rusis\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb ka sh\u00ebnuar fundin e nj\u00eb epoke n\u00eb gjendjen e \u00e7\u00ebshtjeve globale pasi presidenti Vladimir Putin nisi aksionin jav\u00ebn e […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":51,"featured_media":508010,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-508009","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ballina","category-nderkombetare"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/508009","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/51"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=508009"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/508009\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/508010"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=508009"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=508009"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=508009"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}