{"id":434944,"date":"2021-03-08T17:33:34","date_gmt":"2021-03-08T16:33:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hashtag.al\/?p=434944"},"modified":"2021-03-08T17:21:49","modified_gmt":"2021-03-08T16:21:49","slug":"2011-2020-qarqet-e-kukesit-dhe-beratit-me-renien-me-te-madhe-te-lindjeve","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/2021\/03\/08\/2011-2020-qarqet-e-kukesit-dhe-beratit-me-renien-me-te-madhe-te-lindjeve\/","title":{"rendered":"2011-2020, qarqet e Kuk\u00ebsit dhe Beratit me r\u00ebnien m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb lindjeve","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"

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Lindjet jan\u00eb v\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb trajektore r\u00ebnieje n\u00eb dekad\u00ebn e fundit, por n\u00eb disa qarqe fenomeni ka qen\u00eb m\u00eb agresiv.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs 2011 \u2013 2020 lindjet n\u00eb shkall\u00eb komb\u00ebtare kan\u00eb r\u00ebn\u00eb me 18 %. Nga 34,285 bebe t\u00eb lindura m\u00eb 2011 n\u00eb vitin 2020 linden 28,075.<\/span><\/p>\n

Qarku i Kuk\u00ebsit sh\u00ebnoi r\u00ebnien m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe n\u00eb shkall\u00eb vendi. Gjat\u00eb dhjet\u00ebvje\u00e7arit t\u00eb fundit n\u00eb prefektur\u00ebn Verilindore lindshm\u00ebria sh\u00ebnoi r\u00ebnie me 37.8 p\u00ebr qind. Edhe pse qarku ka ende nj\u00eb norm\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb fertilitetit, lindshm\u00ebria ka p\u00ebsuar r\u00ebnie p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb emigrimit masiv t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb jasht\u00eb vendit dhe n\u00eb qytetet e t\u00eb tjera. <\/span><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb anket\u00eb e INSTAT p\u00ebr emigracionin n\u00eb vitin 2019 gjeti se rreth 30% e familjeve n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb qark kishin nj\u00eb an\u00ebtar n\u00eb emigracion. Gjithashtu Kuk\u00ebsi rezultoi prefektura me p\u00ebrqindjen m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb q\u00eb ndryshon vendbanimin brenda vendit, me 16,1 p\u00ebr qind t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb p\u00ebrgjithshme banuese n\u00eb vitin 2011.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pas Kuk\u00ebsit r\u00ebnien m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb gjat\u00eb dekad\u00ebs s\u00eb fundit e ka sh\u00ebnuar qarku i Beratit me 34.3%. Lindjet n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb qark kan\u00eb ran\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtat arsye si n\u00eb Kuk\u00ebs. Pasi gjat\u00eb 2011-2020 prefektura e Beratit ka par\u00eb tkurrje t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb emigrimit t\u00eb brendsh\u00ebm dhe t\u00eb jasht\u00eb. Familjet me emigrant\u00eb u shtuan me 24 p\u00ebr qind gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs n\u00eb fjal\u00eb sipas anket\u00ebs s\u00eb emigracionit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gjirokastra renditet e treta p\u00ebr r\u00ebnien e madhe t\u00eb lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb me 32.2% dhe m\u00eb pas Vlora me mbi 31 p\u00ebr qind p\u00ebr t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn periudh\u00eb. R\u00ebnia e lindjeve edhe n\u00eb k\u00ebto qarqe lidhet e plakjen popullsis\u00eb p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb largimit t\u00eb te rinjve n\u00eb mosh\u00eb riprodhimi n\u00eb emigracion ose n\u00eb Tiran\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb t\u00eb kund\u00ebrt r\u00ebnien m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt t\u00eb lindjeve e kishin Tirana dhe Durr\u00ebsi p\u00ebrkat\u00ebsisht me -1.6 dhe -12.0%. K\u00ebto dy qarqe edhe pse me r\u00ebnie t\u00eb lindjeve kan\u00eb shtes\u00eb natyrore pozitive t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb zhvendosjeve t\u00eb nga rrethet e tjera drejt tyre.<\/span><\/p>\n

Si pasoj\u00eb e k\u00ebsaj situate zhvillimet demografike jan\u00eb duke u zhvilluar sipas skenar\u00ebve pesimist\u00eb t\u00eb projeksioneve t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb. Sipas rishikimit t\u00eb fundit q\u00eb i takon periudh\u00ebs 2019-2031, n\u00eb skenarin pesimist indeksi i fertilitetit p\u00ebr nj\u00eb grua n\u00eb vitin 2019 ishte 1.36 nj\u00ebsoj si n\u00eb skenarin p\u00ebsimit, por n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen treguesi mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsohet p\u00ebrtej k\u00ebtij skenari p\u00ebr shkak se anketat e t\u00ebrthort\u00eb tregojn\u00eb se emigracioni gjat\u00eb dekad\u00ebs s\u00eb fundit ka qen\u00eb m\u00eb i lart\u00eb se pritshm\u00ebrit\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vendet e Evrop\u00ebs Lindore p\u00ebrjetuan r\u00ebnie t\u00eb lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb gjat\u00eb viteve 1990 dhe 2000, ku indeksi Sintetik i Fekonditetit (ISF) arriti n\u00eb nivele shum\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta. Rastet m\u00eb ekstreme jan\u00eb ato t\u00eb Bullgaris\u00eb (1,09 f\u00ebmij\u00eb p\u00ebr grua) dhe t\u00eb Republik\u00ebs \u00c7eke (1,13 f\u00ebmij\u00eb p\u00ebr grua), p\u00ebr pjes\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr t\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs Lindore ISF arriti minimumin, rreth vler\u00ebs 1,2 lindje p\u00ebr grua.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb hipotez\u00ebn e lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb s\u00eb ul\u00ebt n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri mendohet q\u00eb ISF do t\u00eb arrij\u00eb nivelin 1,2 n\u00eb vitin 2031, por zhvillimet reale po tregojn\u00eb se ky nivel do t\u00eb arrihet para k\u00ebtij viti.<\/span><\/p>\n

VINI RE<\/strong><\/span>: Ky material \u00ebsht\u00eb pron\u00ebsi intelektuale e Monitor<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"\"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Lindjet jan\u00eb v\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb trajektore r\u00ebnieje n\u00eb dekad\u00ebn e fundit, por n\u00eb disa qarqe fenomeni ka qen\u00eb m\u00eb agresiv. Gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs 2011 \u2013 2020 lindjet n\u00eb shkall\u00eb komb\u00ebtare kan\u00eb r\u00ebn\u00eb me 18 %. Nga 34,285 bebe t\u00eb lindura m\u00eb 2011 n\u00eb vitin 2020 linden 28,075. Qarku i Kuk\u00ebsit sh\u00ebnoi r\u00ebnien m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe n\u00eb shkall\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":51,"featured_media":434947,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[65,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-434944","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lajme","category-te-fundit"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/434944","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/51"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=434944"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/434944\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/434947"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=434944"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=434944"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=434944"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}