{"id":395140,"date":"2020-08-21T11:13:47","date_gmt":"2020-08-21T09:13:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hashtag.al\/?p=395140"},"modified":"2020-08-21T11:15:16","modified_gmt":"2020-08-21T09:15:16","slug":"the-economist-ballkani-po-mbetet-pa-njerez-popullsia-e-shqiperise-pritet-te-tkurret-me-26-deri-ne-2050","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/2020\/08\/21\/the-economist-ballkani-po-mbetet-pa-njerez-popullsia-e-shqiperise-pritet-te-tkurret-me-26-deri-ne-2050\/","title":{"rendered":"The Economist: Ballkani po mbetet pa njer\u00ebz, popullsia e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb pritet t\u00eb tkurret me 26% deri n\u00eb 2050","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cPo plaken, po vdesin, po largohen\u201d. K\u00ebshtu titullohet nj\u00eb artikull i fundit i revist\u00ebs s\u00eb njohur The Economist, ku trajtohet fenomeni i tkurrjes s\u00eb popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb Ballkanit.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cProblemet e shumta t\u00eb rajonit i shtyjn\u00eb njer\u00ebzit e rinj, t\u00eb talentuar t\u00eb largohen. Por ato nuk do t\u00eb arrijn\u00eb t\u00eb kapin pjes\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs pa njer\u00ebz t\u00eb rinj, t\u00eb talentuar, q\u00eb do t\u00eb gjeneronin prosperitet. N\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb Ballkanin, popullsit\u00eb po zvog\u00eblohen dhe plaken, dhe n\u00ebse situate nuk ndryshon edhe m\u00eb shum\u00eb do t\u00eb largohen\u201d<\/em>, shkruhet n\u00eb artikull.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb grafikun e paraqitur nga The Economist, p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb parashikohet q\u00eb popullsia do t\u00eb reduktohet me 26% deri n\u00eb vitin 2050, n\u00eb krahasim me vitin 1989. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb tkurrja m\u00eb e madhe n\u00eb Ballkan, me p\u00ebrjashtim t\u00eb Bosnj\u00ebs (-37%)- (sh\u00ebnim i Monitor). Sipas grafikut, reduktimin m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt do e ket\u00eb Mali i Zi, me 3% dhe Kosova, me 11% (shig grafikun n\u00eb fund).<\/span><\/p>\n

Ndon\u00ebse \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb mas\u00ebsh emigracionin, The Economist thot\u00eb se t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat q\u00eb jan\u00eb n\u00eb dispozicion japin nj\u00eb pamje t\u00eb qart\u00eb. Popullsia e \u00e7do vendi ballkanik po zvog\u00eblohet p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb emigrimit dhe lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb s\u00eb ul\u00ebt. <\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb t\u00eb kaluar\u00ebn, popullsia u rrit p\u00ebrs\u00ebri pas val\u00ebve t\u00eb emigrimit, pasi shum\u00eb gra kishin gjasht\u00eb f\u00ebmij\u00eb. Tani pak kan\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se nj\u00eb. Serbia mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb pensionist\u00eb sesa njer\u00ebz n\u00eb mosh\u00eb pune deri vitin e ardhsh\u00ebm.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00eb afat t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr qeverit\u00eb nuk e kan\u00eb problem emigrimin sepse ul papun\u00ebsin\u00eb dhe rrit d\u00ebrgesat nga jasht\u00eb. Por, n\u00eb planin afatgjat\u00eb, thot\u00eb Vladimir Nikitovic, demograf serb, \u00ebsht\u00eb \u201ckatastrofike\u201d. Rreth 50,000 njer\u00ebz largohen nga Serbia \u00e7do vit. Nga ata q\u00eb kthehen, rreth 10,000 jan\u00eb pensionist\u00eb q\u00eb kan\u00eb kaluar jet\u00ebn e tyre t\u00eb pun\u00ebs n\u00eb Per\u00ebndim. F\u00ebmij\u00ebt e tyre nuk do t\u2019i ndjekin nga pas.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rajoni ka disa nga nivelet m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta t\u00eb lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb bot\u00eb. Grat\u00eb boshnjake kan\u00eb mesatarisht 1.3 f\u00ebmij\u00eb dhe kroat\u00eb 1.4 (Shqip\u00ebria e ka k\u00ebt\u00eb tregues 1.37-sh\u00ebnim i Monitor). Kosova, me nj\u00eb mosh\u00eb mesatare 29 vje\u00e7, ka popullsin\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb re t\u00eb rajonit, por shkalla e pjelloris\u00eb s\u00eb saj prej 2.0 (vet\u00ebm n\u00ebn shkall\u00ebn e z\u00ebvend\u00ebsimit) ka r\u00ebn\u00eb gjithashtu p\u00ebr vite me radh\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Diku tjet\u00ebr, normat jan\u00eb t\u00eb ngjashme me ato t\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs Per\u00ebndimore. Por p\u00ebr shkak se Ballkani pothuajse nuk pret emigrant\u00eb taksapagues, parat\u00eb p\u00ebr pensionist\u00ebt jan\u00eb t\u00eb pakta.<\/span><\/p>\n

Efektet e tkurrjes s\u00eb popullsis\u00eb jan\u00eb t\u00eb ashpra. Kombinimi i emigrimit t\u00eb shpejt\u00eb, pjelloris\u00eb s\u00eb ul\u00ebt dhe imigracionit t\u00eb lart\u00eb prodhon rezultatin m\u00eb t\u00eb keq t\u00eb imagjinuesh\u00ebm, thot\u00eb Kresimir Ivanda, demograf kroat. <\/span><\/p>\n

Greqia, Italia dhe Spanja kan\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt t\u00eb lindjeve, por t\u00ebrheqin shum\u00eb emigrant\u00eb. N\u00eb Poloni, m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 1 milion ukrainas kan\u00eb mbushur boshll\u00ebqet n\u00eb tregun e pun\u00ebs t\u00eb l\u00ebn\u00eb nga emigracioni.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sigurisht, p\u00ebr qytetar\u00ebt e vendeve t\u00eb Ballkanit, marrja e pagave m\u00eb t\u00eb larta jasht\u00eb vendit \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrfitim. Remus Gabriel Anghel, nj\u00eb demograf n\u00eb Rumani, thot\u00eb se p\u00ebrvojat e migrimit t\u00eb 15 viteve t\u00eb kaluara kan\u00eb qen\u00eb gjithashtu nj\u00eb l\u00ebvizje e ndryshimeve shoq\u00ebrore. <\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00eb par\u00eb, njer\u00ebzit thjesht donin t\u00eb plot\u00ebsonin nevojat e tyre; tani ata q\u00eb kan\u00eb jetuar n\u00eb Evrop\u00ebn per\u00ebndimore k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb shkolla, spitale dhe sh\u00ebrbime m\u00eb t\u00eb mira. Kjo, thot\u00eb zoti Anghel, \u00ebsht\u00eb di\u00e7ka q\u00eb qeveria \u201cnuk e kupton v\u00ebrtet\u201d, shkruan The Economist.<\/span><\/p>\n

VINI RE<\/strong><\/span>: Ky material \u00ebsht\u00eb pron\u00ebsi intelektuale e Monitor<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cPo plaken, po vdesin, po largohen\u201d. K\u00ebshtu titullohet nj\u00eb artikull i fundit i revist\u00ebs s\u00eb njohur The Economist, ku trajtohet fenomeni i tkurrjes s\u00eb popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb Ballkanit. \u201cProblemet e shumta t\u00eb rajonit i shtyjn\u00eb njer\u00ebzit e rinj, t\u00eb talentuar t\u00eb largohen. Por ato nuk do t\u00eb arrijn\u00eb t\u00eb kapin pjes\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":51,"featured_media":395143,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[65,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-395140","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lajme","category-te-fundit"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/395140","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/51"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=395140"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/395140\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/395143"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=395140"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=395140"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=395140"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}