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P\u00ebr jav\u00eb t\u00eb t\u00ebra, virolog\u00ebt kan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb pyetje t\u00eb vazhdueshme. Pse krahasuar ne vendet e tjera, shum\u00eb pak nga gjerman\u00ebt e prekur nga koronavirusi kan\u00eb humbur jet\u00ebn?<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00eb Itali, 9.5 p\u00ebrqind e njer\u00ebzve q\u00eb kan\u00eb testuar pozitivisht p\u00ebr virusin, kan\u00eb humbur jet\u00ebn sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiluara nga Universitetin Johns Hopkins n\u00eb SHBA. N\u00eb Franc\u00eb, norma \u00ebsht\u00eb 4.3 p\u00ebrqind. Por n\u00eb Gjermani, \u00ebsht\u00eb 0.4 p\u00ebrqind.<\/span><\/p>\n Arsyeja m\u00eb e madhe p\u00ebr ndryshimin, thon\u00eb ekspert\u00ebt e s\u00ebmundjes infektive, \u00ebsht\u00eb puna e Gjermanis\u00eb n\u00eb dit\u00ebt e para t\u00eb shp\u00ebrthimit t\u00eb saj p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjurmuar, testuar dhe kontrolluar grupet e infektuara.<\/span><\/p>\n Kjo do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se Gjermania ka nj\u00eb pasqyr\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb sakt\u00eb t\u00eb madh\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb shp\u00ebrthimit t\u00eb saj sesa vendet q\u00eb testojn\u00eb vet\u00ebm pacient\u00ebt duksh\u00ebm simptomatik\u00eb, t\u00eb s\u00ebmur\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00eb ose me rrezik m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n “N\u00eb fillim, kur pat\u00ebm relativisht pak raste, kur erdhi puna p\u00ebr t’i gjetur dhe izoluar ato, ne b\u00ebm\u00eb pun\u00eb mjaft t\u00eb mir\u00eb n\u00eb Gjermani,”<\/em> tha Reinhard Busse, drejtor i Departamentit t\u00eb Menaxhimit t\u00eb Kujdesit Sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsor n\u00eb Universitetin e Teknologjis\u00eb n\u00eb Berlin. “Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb arsyeja kryesore.”<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n Faktor\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb, t\u00eb till\u00eb si mosha e t\u00eb infektuarve dhe koha e shp\u00ebrthimit n\u00eb Gjermani, gjithashtu luajn\u00eb nj\u00eb rol n\u00eb shkall\u00ebt e ndryshme t\u00eb vdekjeve. Por testimi gjer\u00ebsisht ka qen\u00eb thelb\u00ebsor. <\/span><\/p>\n Gjermania, me 31.150 raste n\u00eb mesdit\u00ebn e s\u00eb mart\u00ebs, duket se ka nj\u00eb shp\u00ebrthim m\u00eb t\u00eb madh se Franca, me 20.1149. Por niveli m\u00eb i lart\u00eb i vdekjeve n\u00eb Franc\u00eb n\u00ebnkupton q\u00eb kishte m\u00eb shum\u00eb raste t\u00eb padiagnostikuara atje. P\u00ebrhapja e Franc\u00ebs mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb e madhe se ajo e Gjermanis\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Fillimisht, t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn, autoritetet sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsore t\u00eb vendit gjurmuan grupet me rrezik infeksioni n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrpikt\u00eb. Kur nj\u00eb individ testoi pozitivisht, ata p\u00ebrdornin gjurmimin e kontaktit p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjetur njer\u00ebz t\u00eb tjer\u00eb me t\u00eb cil\u00ebt kishin pasur lidhje dhe m\u00eb pas i testuan dhe karantinuan ata, duke thyer k\u00ebshtu zinxhirin e infeksionit.<\/span><\/p>\n Christian Drosten, nj\u00eb virolog n\u00eb spitalin Charit\u00e9 n\u00eb Berlin, tha se ai \u00ebsht\u00eb “plot\u00ebsisht i bindur” se aft\u00ebsia e lart\u00eb diagnostike e Gjermanis\u00eb ” <\/em>na ka siguruar nj\u00eb ep\u00ebrsi ekstreme n\u00eb zbulimin e epidemis\u00eb \u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n Por ai paralajm\u00ebroi kund\u00ebr vet\u00ebk\u00ebnaq\u00ebsis\u00eb dhe tha q\u00eb niveli i vdekjeve do t\u00eb rritet: “Ne nuk jemi p\u00ebrjashtim”.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n Epidemiolog\u00ebt thon\u00eb se \u00ebsht\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme t\u00eb shikoni shp\u00ebrthimin e Gjermanis\u00eb n\u00eb dy faza t\u00eb ve\u00e7anta. Nd\u00ebrsa p\u00ebrhapja n\u00eb komunitet u b\u00eb e p\u00ebrhapur, zinxhir\u00ebt e infeksionit n\u00eb disa raste u b\u00ebn\u00eb t\u00eb pamundur t\u00eb gjurmohen.<\/span><\/p>\n Me rastet q\u00eb rriten n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb eksponenciale, autoritetet sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsore jan\u00eb p\u00ebrpjekur t\u00eb urdh\u00ebrojn\u00eb distancimin shoq\u00ebror dhe ndalimin e veprimtarive masive. Shtetet federale kan\u00eb kufizuar tubimet jasht\u00eb sht\u00ebpis\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb maksimum prej dy personash.<\/span><\/p>\n Koreja e Jugut, e cila \u00ebsht\u00eb vler\u00ebsuar si nj\u00eb model p\u00ebr t’iu p\u00ebrgjigjur shp\u00ebrthimit, ka nj\u00eb norm\u00eb vdekjeje prej 1.3 p\u00ebrqind. Busse krediton norm\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt t\u00eb Gjermanis\u00eb n\u00eb koh\u00ebn e duhur t\u00eb nd\u00ebrhyrjes.<\/span><\/p>\n “N\u00eb Koren\u00eb e Jugut, ka nj\u00eb koh\u00ebzgjatje m\u00eb t\u00eb gjat\u00eb t\u00eb infeksioneve, k\u00ebshtu q\u00eb ne nuk mund t\u00eb krahasohemi v\u00ebrtet,”<\/em> tha ai. “Kemi mjaft raste t\u00eb reja pozitive.”<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n Busse tha se Gjermania \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e krahasueshme me Norvegjin\u00eb. Vendi skandinav \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb pik\u00eb t\u00eb ngjashme n\u00eb shp\u00ebrthimin e tij, ai gjithashtu ka punuar p\u00ebr t\u00eb testuar dhe p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsuar raste, dhe gjithashtu ka nj\u00eb norm\u00eb vdekjeje prej 0.4 p\u00ebrqind.<\/span><\/p>\n N\u00ebse masat distancuese t\u00eb Gjermanis\u00eb do t\u00eb “rrafshojn\u00eb kurb\u00ebn” nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb ende e qart\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Lothar Wieler, presidenti i Agjencis\u00eb Federale p\u00ebr Kontrollin e S\u00ebmundjeve, tha nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb e rritjes eksponenciale mund t\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsohej por paralajm\u00ebroi se ishte shum\u00eb her\u00ebt p\u00ebr t\u00eb th\u00ebn\u00eb, duke pasur parasysh luhatjet n\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebna. Ai tha se pamja do jet\u00eb e qart\u00eb disa dit\u00eb m\u00eb.<\/span><\/p>\n Kriteret fillestare t\u00eb testimit t\u00eb Gjermanis\u00eb nuk ishin m\u00eb t\u00eb gjera se sa Italia. Njer\u00ebzit u testuan n\u00ebse kishin simptoma dhe kishin qen\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb zon\u00eb rreziku, ose n\u00ebse kishin kontakte me nj\u00eb rast t\u00eb konfirmuar me koronavirus. Por shum\u00eb raste fillestare kishin lidhje t\u00eb qarta me udh\u00ebtimet jasht\u00eb shtetit.<\/span><\/p>\n Udh\u00ebzimet q\u00eb nga at\u00ebher\u00eb jan\u00eb zgjeruar dhe testimet jan\u00eb rritur gjat\u00eb jav\u00ebve t\u00eb fundit. Numri i t\u00eb testuarve u rrit nga 35,000 n\u00eb jav\u00ebn e par\u00eb t\u00eb marsit n\u00eb 100,000 n\u00eb t\u00eb dyt\u00ebn, sipas shoqat\u00ebs mjek\u00ebsore t\u00eb Gjermanis\u00eb. Vler\u00ebsimet nuk p\u00ebrfshijn\u00eb teste t\u00eb kryera brenda spitaleve.<\/span><\/p>\n T\u00eb rinjt\u00eb p\u00ebrballen m\u00eb mir\u00eb me koronavirusin sesa t\u00eb moshuarit. P\u00ebrhapja fillestare e Italis\u00eb goditi n\u00eb qendr\u00ebn e nj\u00eb popullsie t\u00eb plakur. Lauterbach tha se ai priste q\u00eb niveli i vdekjeve t\u00eb Gjermanis\u00eb t\u00eb rritet pasi segmentet m\u00eb t\u00eb prekshme t\u00eb shoq\u00ebris\u00eb do infektohen.<\/span><\/p>\n P\u00ebr shkak se testimi nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb universal, dhe shum\u00eb njer\u00ebz me koronavirus nuk mund t\u00eb diagnostikohen kurr\u00eb, nj\u00eb norm\u00eb e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb e vdekjes \u00ebsht\u00eb e pamundur t\u00eb p\u00ebrcaktohet.<\/span><\/p>\n Por ekspert\u00ebt thon\u00eb se norma ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb jet\u00eb duksh\u00ebm m\u00eb e lart\u00eb n\u00eb vende t\u00eb tilla si Spanja dhe Italia, ku sistemi sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsor po shkat\u00ebrrohet.<\/span><\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/hashtag.al\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/gjermanicovid.PNG3_.png\")
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