{"id":296978,"date":"2019-05-15T07:19:43","date_gmt":"2019-05-15T05:19:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hashtag.al\/?p=296978"},"modified":"2019-05-15T07:20:50","modified_gmt":"2019-05-15T05:20:50","slug":"lindjet-ne-2019-en-ne-minimumin-historik-ne-cilin-qytet-lindin-me-shume","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/2019\/05\/15\/lindjet-ne-2019-en-ne-minimumin-historik-ne-cilin-qytet-lindin-me-shume\/","title":{"rendered":"Lindjet n\u00eb 2019-\u00ebn n\u00eb minimumin historik, n\u00eb cilin qytet lindin m\u00eb shum\u00eb","gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"text"}]},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

Largimi i t\u00eb rinjve, tendenca e \u00e7ifteve p\u00ebr t\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb m\u00eb pak f\u00ebmij\u00eb, pasiguria p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhmen, t\u00eb ardhurat e pakta t\u00eb disponueshme, ndryshimi i stilit t\u00eb jetes\u00ebs po e japin gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb efektin e tyre n\u00eb nj\u00eb prej treguesve demografik\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm, at\u00eb t\u00eb lindjeve.<\/span>
\nSipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb INSTAT, numri i lindjeve n\u00eb tremujorin e par\u00eb t\u00eb vitit ishte 5,986, me nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie prej 10% n\u00eb raport me t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn periudh\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00eb viti m\u00eb par\u00eb. T\u00eb dh\u00ebnat historike t\u00eb INSTAT tregojn\u00eb se ky \u00ebsht\u00eb tremujori me numrin m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt t\u00eb lindjeve, i pas viteve \u201990 (shiko grafikun: \u201cLindjet sipas tremujor\u00ebve\u201d).<\/span>
\nNga 12 qarqe t\u00eb vendit, 9 prej tyre p\u00ebsuan r\u00ebnie t\u00eb numrit t\u00eb lindjeve, n\u00eb tremujorin e par\u00eb 2019, krahasuar me tremujorin e par\u00eb 2018. R\u00ebniet m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha n\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje t\u00eb lindjeve, gjat\u00eb k\u00ebsaj periudhe u sh\u00ebnuan n\u00eb qarkun e Gjirokastr\u00ebs me 21,8 % dhe qarkun e Shkodr\u00ebs me 19,4 %. Nj\u00eb rritje n\u00eb p\u00ebrqindje t\u00eb lindjeve u regjistrua n\u00eb qarqet Dib\u00ebr me 16,1 %, Kor\u00e7\u00eb me 1,3 % dhe Kuk\u00ebs me 0,4 % (shiko tabel\u00ebn: \u201cLindjet sipas Qarqeve, Tregues Tremujor\u00eb\u201d).<\/span>
\nN\u00eb raport me popullsin\u00eb, numri m\u00eb i lart\u00eb i lindjeve n\u00eb tremujorin e par\u00eb ishte n\u00eb Dib\u00ebr, me 2.97 lindje p\u00ebr 1000 banor\u00eb, sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb p\u00ebrpunuara nga Monitor, bazuar n\u00eb shifrat e INSTAT p\u00ebr popullsin\u00eb sipas qarqeve. N\u00eb vend t\u00eb dyt\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb Kuk\u00ebsi me 2.96 lindje p\u00ebr 1000 banor\u00eb. M\u00eb pas renditet Tirana, q\u00eb e ka k\u00ebt\u00eb tregues n\u00eb 2.22 dhe Durr\u00ebsi (2.18).<\/span>
\nQarku me numrin m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt t\u00eb lindjeve n\u00eb raport me popullsin\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb Vlora, q\u00eb n\u00eb tremujorin e par\u00eb sh\u00ebnoi 1.54 lindje p\u00ebr 1000 banor\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa para saj renditet Gjirokastra (1.58), dhe Shkodra (1.8)- shiko grafikun: \u201cLindjet p\u00ebr 1000 banor\u00eb, T I 2019\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pasojat e r\u00ebnies s\u00eb lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Ekspert\u00ebt e demografis\u00eb e konsiderojn\u00eb alarmante r\u00ebnien e numrit t\u00eb lindjeve, pasi ky hendek nuk mund t\u00eb rikuperohet, ndryshe nga emigracioni q\u00eb shpresat p\u00ebr rikthim ekzistojn\u00ebgjithmon\u00eb.<\/span>
\nN\u00eb bot\u00ebn e zhvilluar, nj\u00eb norm\u00eb fertiliteti prej 2.1 konsiderohet si niveli i z\u00ebvend\u00ebsit t\u00eb popullat\u00ebs, apo me fjal\u00eb t\u00eb tjera, numri mesatar i lindjeve p\u00ebr grua p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbajtur numrin e popullsis\u00eb n\u00eb nivel konstant.<\/span>
\nNorma e fertilitetit n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri ka hyr\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb trend r\u00ebn\u00ebs q\u00eb prej 2013-s. N\u00eb 2017-n norma mesatare e fertilitetit ishte 1.48, nga 1.54 q\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb vit m\u00eb par\u00eb. Kjo norm\u00eb ishte dhe m\u00eb e ul\u00ebt se mesatarja e Bashkimit Europian n\u00eb 2016-n. Lindjet mesatare p\u00ebr grua n\u00eb Bashkimin Europian ishin 1.6. Kjo norm\u00eb varion nga 1.94 lindje n\u00eb Franc\u00eb deri n\u00eb 1.4 n\u00eb Spanj\u00eb dhe n\u00eb Itali.<\/span>
\nQarqet me lindshm\u00ebrin\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri jan\u00eb Vlora me 1.2 lindje p\u00ebr grua, Kor\u00e7a dhe Gjirokastra me 1.3 lindje p\u00ebr grua, Shkodra dhe Tirana me 1.4 lindje p\u00ebr grua, Fieri me 1.5 lindje.<\/span>
\nQarqet q\u00eb kan\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn mesatare lindshm\u00ebrie prej 1.6, sa edhe mesatarja e Bashkimit Europian, jan\u00eb Durr\u00ebsi, Berati dhe Elbasani. Nd\u00ebrsa Lezha ka nj\u00eb mesatare prej 1.8 lindje p\u00ebr grua.<\/span>
\nOrganizata e Kombeve t\u00eb Bashkuara, n\u00eb parashikimin e saj p\u00ebr popullsin\u00eb shqiptare, sipas norm\u00ebs s\u00eb fertilitetit parashikonte n\u00eb Variantin pesimist q\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2100, popullsia e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb do t\u00eb jet\u00eb vet\u00ebm 860 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb. Nd\u00ebrsa skenari normal parashikon q\u00eb Shqip\u00ebria t\u00eb popullohet me vet\u00ebm 1 milion\u00eb e 600 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb. Skenari optimist, me emigracion zero dhe ecuri normale t\u00eb normave t\u00eb fertilitetit parashikon q\u00eb popullsia e vendit, deri n\u00eb vitin 2100, t\u00eb jet\u00eb 2 milion\u00eb e 800 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb, nga rreth 2,9 milion\u00eb q\u00eb num\u00ebrohen af\u00ebrsisht aktualisht.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

VINI RE:<\/span> Ky artikull \u00ebsht\u00eb pron\u00eb intelektuale e Monitor.al<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\" \"\" \"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Largimi i t\u00eb rinjve, tendenca e \u00e7ifteve p\u00ebr t\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb m\u00eb pak f\u00ebmij\u00eb, pasiguria p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhmen, t\u00eb ardhurat e pakta t\u00eb disponueshme, ndryshimi i stilit t\u00eb jetes\u00ebs po e japin gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb efektin e tyre n\u00eb nj\u00eb prej treguesve demografik\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm, at\u00eb t\u00eb lindjeve. Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb INSTAT, numri […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":30,"featured_media":296979,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[65,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-296978","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lajme","category-te-fundit"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/296978","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/30"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=296978"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/296978\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/296979"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=296978"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=296978"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=296978"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}