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Sipas parashikimit t\u00eb fundit ekonomik t\u00eb Organizat\u00ebs p\u00ebr Bashk\u00ebpunim dhe Zhvillim (OECD), rritja ekonomike bot\u00ebrore mbetet e fort\u00eb, por ka kaluar pikun e saj t\u00eb fundit dhe rrezikon t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me risqe m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb rritjen e tensioneve tregtare dhe shtr\u00ebngimin e kushteve financiare. Parashikimet e rritjes p\u00ebr vitin 2019 jan\u00eb rishikuar p\u00ebr shumic\u00ebn e ekonomive m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha n\u00eb bot\u00eb. Prodhimi i Brendsh\u00ebm Bruto (PBB) bot\u00ebror pritet t\u00eb rritet me 3.5% n\u00eb vitin 2019, krahasuar me 3.7% n\u00eb parashikimin e majit t\u00eb kaluar dhe me 3.5% n\u00eb vitin 2020. N\u00eb shum\u00eb vende, papun\u00ebsia \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb larta dhe mungesat e shumta t\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb pun\u00ebs po fillojn\u00eb t\u00eb b\u00ebhen m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha.<\/p>\n
Normat e larta t\u00eb interesit dhe vler\u00ebsimi i dollarit amerikan kan\u00eb rezultuar n\u00eb nj\u00eb rrjedhje t\u00eb kapitalit nga ekonomit\u00eb e vendeve n\u00eb zhvillim dhe duke dob\u00ebsuar edhe monedhat e tyre. Stimuli monetar dhe fiskal po t\u00ebrhiqet gradualisht n\u00eb zon\u00ebn e OECD. Parashikimi jo fort i q\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm p\u00ebr 2019, pasqyron edhe perspektivat e p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsuara, kryesisht n\u00eb tregjet e vendeve n\u00eb zhvillim, si Turqia, Argjentina dhe Brazili. Nd\u00ebrsa ngadal\u00ebsimi i m\u00ebtejsh\u00ebm i parashikuar n\u00eb 2020 \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb nj\u00eb pasqyrim i zhvillimit n\u00eb ekonomit\u00eb e vendeve t\u00eb p\u00ebrparuara.<\/p>\n
Duke prezantuar Parashikimin, Sekretari i P\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm i OECD-s\u00eb, Angel Gurr\u00eda, tha se konfliktet e tregtis\u00eb dhe pasiguria politike po shtojn\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsit\u00eb me t\u00eb cilat ballafaqohen qeverit\u00eb q\u00eb rritja ekonomike t\u00eb jet\u00eb e fort\u00eb, e q\u00ebndrueshme dhe gjith\u00ebp\u00ebrfshir\u00ebse. \u201cNe nxisim politik\u00ebb\u00ebr\u00ebsit q\u00eb t\u00eb mund t\u00eb rikthejn\u00eb besimin n\u00eb sistemin e tregtis\u00eb bazuar n\u00eb rregulla nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare dhe n\u00eb zbatimin e reformave q\u00eb nxisin rritjen dhe standardet e jetes\u00ebs, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht ndaj m\u00eb t\u00eb prekshm\u00ebve\u201d, tha m\u00eb tej z. Gurr\u00eda.<\/p>\n
Sipas vler\u00ebsimit n\u00eb Parashikim thuhet se tensionet tregtare jan\u00eb duke e d\u00ebmtuar tashm\u00eb PBB-n\u00eb dhe tregtin\u00eb globale dhe n\u00ebse SHBA-ja rrit tarifat p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjitha mallrat kineze me 25%, dhe Kina t\u2019i p\u00ebrgjigjet k\u00ebtij veprimi me t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn monedh\u00eb, at\u00ebher\u00eb aktiviteti ekonomik bot\u00ebror mund t\u00eb shkoj\u00eb n\u00eb nivele t\u00eb ul\u00ebta. Deri n\u00eb vitin 2021, PBB-ja bot\u00ebrore do t\u00eb goditej me 0.5%, me rreth 0.8% n\u00eb SHBA dhe me 1% n\u00eb Kin\u00eb. Nj\u00eb pasiguri m\u00eb e madhe do t\u00eb ndikonte m\u00eb shum\u00eb negativisht mbi k\u00ebto efekte duke shkaktuar investime m\u00eb t\u00eb dob\u00ebta n\u00eb mbar\u00eb bot\u00ebn.<\/p>\n
Parashikimi tregon se rritja vjetore e trafikut t\u00eb anijeve n\u00eb terminalet e kontejner\u00ebve, q\u00eb p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebson rreth 80% t\u00eb tregtis\u00eb nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare t\u00eb mallrave, ka r\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00ebn 3% nga af\u00ebrsisht 6% n\u00eb vitin 2017. Rritja n\u00eb Kin\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb leht\u00ebsuar n\u00eb vitin 2018, n\u00eb mes t\u00eb rregullave m\u00eb t\u00eb rrepta mbi nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsit financiar\u00eb \u201ct\u00eb bankave hije\u201d jasht\u00eb sektorit bankar formal, nj\u00eb procesi m\u00eb t\u00eb rrept\u00eb miratimi p\u00ebr investimet e qeveris\u00eb vendore dhe tarifat e reja amerikane mbi importet kineze. Masat nxit\u00ebse dhe kushtet m\u00eb t\u00eb lehta financiare nga banka qendrore mund t\u00eb ndihmojn\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb nxitur m\u00eb tej rritjen e ngadal\u00ebsuar, por gjithashtu mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsojn\u00eb stabilitetin financiar, citohet n\u00eb Parashikim. Nj\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsim m\u00eb i mpreht\u00eb n\u00eb rritjen kineze do t\u00eb d\u00ebmtonte ndjesh\u00ebm edhe rritjen bot\u00ebrore, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00ebse do t\u00eb godiste besimin e tregut financiar.<\/p>\n
Me normat e ul\u00ebta t\u00eb interesit n\u00eb shum\u00eb vende, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb Eurozon\u00eb dhe me nivelet historikisht t\u00eb larta t\u00eb borxhit ndaj PBB-s\u00eb (si ai publik ashtu edhe ai privat), hap\u00ebsira e politik\u00ebb\u00ebr\u00ebsve p\u00ebr manovrim n\u00eb rast t\u00eb nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie m\u00eb t\u00eb dukshme bot\u00ebrore \u00ebsht\u00eb e kufizuar. OECD thot\u00eb se \u00ebsht\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme t\u00eb ruhet kapaciteti p\u00ebr politikat e taksave dhe shpenzimeve p\u00ebr t\u00eb nxitur k\u00ebrkes\u00ebn n\u00eb rast se rritja dob\u00ebsohet ndjesh\u00ebm. Megjith\u00ebse nj\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00eb e till\u00eb fiskale \u00ebsht\u00eb e kufizuar, veprimi koordinuar do t\u00eb jet\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb efektiv n\u00eb krahasim me veprimin e vendeve n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb individuale. Ai duhet t\u00eb fokusohet n\u00eb masat e rritjes ekonomike, si investimi n\u00eb infrastruktur\u00ebn fizike dhe dixhitale, duke targetuar rritjen e shpenzimeve t\u00eb konsumit m\u00eb shum\u00eb drejt m\u00eb t\u00eb varf\u00ebrve.<\/p>\n
Laurence Boone, kryeekonomistja e OECD, tha se ka pak t\u00eb dh\u00ebna t\u00eb cilat tregojn\u00eb se ngadal\u00ebsimi do t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb i ashp\u00ebr sesa ai i parashikuar. Rreziqet jan\u00eb t\u00eb larta p\u00ebr ta konsideruar situat\u00ebn alarmante dhe p\u00ebr t\u2019u p\u00ebrgatitur p\u00ebr \u00e7do stuhi q\u00eb mund t\u00eb dal\u00eb p\u00ebrpara. Bashk\u00ebpunimi n\u00eb politik\u00ebn fiskale n\u00eb nivel global dhe at\u00eb t\u00eb Eurozon\u00ebs do t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb nevojshme. Ajo shtoi se mb\u00ebshtetja e ekonomis\u00eb globale p\u00ebrfshin dh\u00ebnien e p\u00ebrgjigjeve ndaj shqet\u00ebsimeve t\u00eb ndryshme t\u00eb njer\u00ebzve, si p\u00ebr shembull, mosrritjes s\u00eb pagave, rritjes s\u00eb standardeve t\u00eb jetes\u00ebs dhe rritjen e mund\u00ebsive t\u00eb ndryshme. Nxitja e konkurrenc\u00ebs p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsuar dinamik\u00ebn e biznesit mund t\u00eb ndihmoj\u00eb, duke forcuar pozitat negociuese t\u00eb pun\u00ebtor\u00ebve dhe duke ulur \u00e7mimet p\u00ebr konsumator\u00ebt. Investimi tek aft\u00ebsit\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb po ashtu i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm. Ai rrit produktivitetin dhe t\u00eb ardhurat dhe zvog\u00eblon pabarazit\u00eb midis pun\u00ebtor\u00ebve.\/ Monitor<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sipas parashikimit t\u00eb fundit ekonomik t\u00eb Organizat\u00ebs p\u00ebr Bashk\u00ebpunim dhe Zhvillim (OECD), rritja ekonomike bot\u00ebrore mbetet e fort\u00eb, por ka kaluar pikun e saj t\u00eb fundit dhe rrezikon t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me risqe m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb rritjen e tensioneve tregtare dhe shtr\u00ebngimin e kushteve financiare. Parashikimet e rritjes p\u00ebr vitin 2019 jan\u00eb rishikuar p\u00ebr […]<\/p>\n","protected":false,"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"rendered","format":"html"}]},"author":30,"featured_media":263325,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[65,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-263323","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lajme","category-te-fundit"],"gt_translate_keys":[{"key":"link","format":"url"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/263323","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/30"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=263323"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/263323\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/263325"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=263323"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=263323"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.hashtag.al\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=263323"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}